The Texas Rangers (22-29) and Seattle Mariners (23-27) play the first of a four-game series at T-Mobile Park Thursday with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rangers vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Kolby Allard is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 3.15 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 over 20 IP through 10 relief appearances with no starts.
Allard hasn’t made a start this season. He appeared in a three-inning relief outing May 8 at Seattle and allowed a run and two hits while striking out two.
RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 4-2 with a 5.09 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 over 40 2/3 IP through 8 starts.
Flexen is coming off a horrendous outing Friday yielding eight earned runs, 10 hits and a walk while retiring just five batters in a loss. His ERA shot up from 3.46 to 5.09 as a result. He allowed four runs and 10 hits in 6 1/3 innings in a win at Texas May 7.
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Rangers at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rangers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rangers -1.5 (+145) | Mariners +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -115 | Under -105)
Prediction
Mariners 7, Rangers 6
Money line (ML)
The MARINERS (-110) are the lean here as Flexen had some success against the Rangers (-110) earlier in the month. I just don’t trust Allard, who will be making his first start. He won’t last long, and it will be up to a Texas bullpen that is just been so-so with a 4.16 ERA and 23 homers allowed.
In addition, the Rangers have lost eight straight games in the Pacific Northwest and eight of the past 10 meetings overall.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The MARINERS +1.5 (-175) is a decent play if you’re looking for a little bit of insurance. This is a pitching matchup that isn’t very good, but at least Flexen has pitched into the seventh inning against the Rangers -1.5 (+145) this season. That has to count for something, right?
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the best play in this game. The Over has cashed in five straight on the road for the Rangers while going 7-1 in their past eight divisional games. The Over has also hit in each of the past four meetings in this series.
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