In a welterweight bout on the main card, Randy Brown and Francisco Trinaldo meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 211 at UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 211: Brown vs. Trinaldo odds, with expert picks and predictions.
The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.
Brown takes the walk to the octagon as the much bigger fighter, standing 6 inches taller than Trinaldo, while holding an 8-inch reach advantage over the Brazilian southpaw.
The Jamaican fighter also holds a 4.42-to-3.15 significant strikes landed per minute advantage and has a 52.29% significant strikes accuracy percentage compared to 50.44% for Trinaldo.
Not only is Brown the finer physical specimen, but he is also 12 years younger than the veteran Trinaldo. The 32-year old enters on a 3-fight win streak, last posting a split-decision win over Khaos Williams in May. Trinaldo, 44, has won his past 2 bouts, sneaking by Danny Roberts via unanimous decision at UFC 274 in May, while topping Dwight Grant by split-decision prior to that in Oct. 2021.
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UFC Fight Night 211 Brown vs. Trinaldo odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:11 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Brown -360 (bet $360 to win $100) | Trinaldo +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -145 | Under +105)
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UFC Fight Night 211 Brown vs. Trinaldo picks and predictions
Records: Brown (15-4-0) | Trinaldo (28-8-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Brown (-360), a.k.a. “Rudeboy”, will cost you over 3 1/2 times your potential return if you want to play him straight up on the 2-way line. That’s not a good play for such a small return.
Instead, look to BROWN BY POINTS (+135) at plus money. Each of his past 2 fights against Williams and Jared Gooden went the distance and Trinaldo hasn’t had a stoppage in each of the past 3. The Brazilian veteran still has tremendous cardio and has gone the distance in 6 of his past 7 bouts.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-145) is the way to go. Brown and Trinaldo won’t get the finish in this fight. The 32-year-old Jamaican fighter will be looking for the early knockout, but Trinaldo is a crafty veteran who has seen it all.
YES (-140): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is also an OK play, although there isn’t really much of a difference between the Over 2.5 Rounds bet and this one. In the event of a late Round 3 finish, you get a little wiggle room with the Over 2.5 Rounds.
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