Analysts predict Americans will wager a record $1.8 billion on the 2022 World Cup

“This will certainly be the most bet-upon soccer event ever in the U.S.”

American adults plan to bet a total of $1.8 billion on the Qatar 2022 FIFA World Cup, according to a survey from the American Gaming Association.

The survey estimates that 29% of American adults who plan to watch the World Cup intend to also bet on the tournament. That comes to a total of 20.5 million people, or 8% of the adult population.

“As the first World Cup with widespread availability of legal sports betting, this will certainly be the most bet-upon soccer event ever in the U.S.,” said AGA senior vice president Casey Clark. “With more than half of all American adults having access to legal betting options in their home market, legal sports betting will deepen American fan engagement in the most-watched sporting event in the world.”

According to the AGA, 72% of U.S. World Cup bettors plan to place traditional bets — either online, with a bookie or at a physical sportsbook. This outpaces other major sporting events where people have more casual options to wager, like March Madness brackets or Super Bowl squares.

Unfortunately, too much of that money is being wasted on the U.S. team, which has +10000 odds to win the tournament at BetMGM.

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The mandatory COVID app for the Qatar World Cup is basically government-sponsored spyware

Another reason to stay away from this World Cup.

In just over three weeks, the 2022 World Cup will kick off in Qatar — a country about the size of the state of Connecticut with zero noted soccer history. The entire buildup to this World Cup has been an embarrassment for FIFA, which shamelessly accepted bribes in the bidding process and refused to move the tournament over the subsequent eight years even amid well-documented human rights abuses.

I can go all day about the reasons that fans should avoid traveling to Qatar for this World Cup (hotel shortage, lack of infrastructure, draconian laws). But for the fans who are indeed making the trip to Qatar, they better be prepared to give the Qatari government access to their phones because the mandatory COVID app is essentially state-sponsored spyware.

According to Norwegian news outlet NRK (h/t SB Nation), the “Ehteraz” COVID app required for visitors is going to give Qatar full access to phones and its data in ways that should make visitors think twice about going (or at least bringing personal phones to Qatar).

The app will do the following, via SB Nation:

– Always on, GPS-aided tracking

– Complete access to the phone, including the ability to read, erase, or modify data

– Remote access to connect to WiFi and Bluetooth

– The ability to override all other apps on the phone

– Complete control ensuring the device can’t be turned off or made to sleep

These functions can be used to read personal correspondence like texts and messaging apps. Fans are also giving the Qatari government the ability to remote access their phones by downloading the app, and that function could remain intact when fans return home. Doesn’t that sound great?

If someone must go to Qatar for this World Cup, the safest bet would be to purchase a burner phone and toss it upon leaving the country. But of course, you could just stay home because this World Cup is setting up to be the Fyre Fest of soccer tournaments.

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World Cup 2022 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing the soccer odds to win the World Cup 2022 in Qatar, with picks, predictions and best bets.

The World Cup 2022 draw was held Friday, April 1, and countries now know their respective groups. Qatar is the host nation with opening matches kicking off Nov. 21. Below, we look at the World Cup 2022 odds and make our expert World Cup picks, predictions and bets.

The World Cup will run for about a month with the title match set for Dec. 18 in Lusail. While the time of year sounds strange, it’s because this version of the Cup was shifted from its traditional June/July timeframe to avoid the summer heat in the desert.

Three teams in the 32-team Cup field are not yet known as 37 teams were drawn Friday. The final three teams will be determined in June when the European and intercontinental playoffs conclude.

Team USA was drawn into Group B with England, Iran and Wales or Scotland or Ukraine. Scotland and Ukraine will meet in June in a playoff delayed because of Russia’s attack on Ukraine. The winner will then face Wales later in the month for the World Cup berth.

Let’s dive into who has the best odds on the board.

World Cup 2022 favorites – Expert pick

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, April 2 at 11:18 p.m. ET.

FRANCE +550 (bet $100 to win $550)

France isn’t the technical favorite. That title belongs to the Neymar-led Brazil (+450). England (+550) is the only other nation with odds shorter than +750.

France had a disappointing out in Euro 2020, which actually was played in 2021 due to Covid-19. However, France has an absolutely dominant squad with talent all over the pitch.

In the attack, F Kylian Mbappe and F Karim Benzema will headline the team’s best XI. Benzema ranks No. 1 in La Liga scoring, having notched 24 goals in 26 games. Mbappe is just as lethal and was dubbed the best young player in the 2018 World Cup. He’s arguably better now.

France also has length and talent in MF Paul Pogba and MF N’Golo Kanté, the latter of which is among the best defensive mids in the world. Both were dubbed top-10 midfielders in the world.

With experienced defending and goalkeeping, FRANCE (+550) is my favorite to win the World Cup. It’s definitely worth a gamble at 5.5 to 1.

World Cup 2022 picks – contender

BELGIUM +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)

Belgium lost to Italy in a thrilling 2-1 quarterfinal match in Euro 2020.

Belgium should be seen as a real threat here, especially when it has the best midfielder in the world in Kevin De Bruyne. F/MF Eden Hazard and G Thibaut Courtois are also difference-makers and among the best at their respective position.

Belgium finished 3rd in the 2018 World Cup, losing to France 1-0 in the semifinal and blanking England 2-0 in the 3rd-place match. Belgium is good enough and consistent enough to go far, and at +1200, it has great value to win it all.

Belgium was 6-0-2 in qualifying players with 25 goals for and 6 against. It is rolling and is worth a play here. While it ranks 2nd in FIFA’s Men World Rankings, it gets no respect with the 7th-best odds.

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World Cup 2022 picks – Long shots

USA +10000 (bet $100 to win $10,000)

Sure, there might be some bias here, but considering the ceiling for the men’s national team, at +10000, it is worth a look. The Americans are laced with talent from Chelsea F/MF Christian Pulisic to Barcelona D Sergino Dest.

The USMNT also has a relatively easy route.

Even if they finish 2nd Group B, they’ll likely get the Netherlands. The US is a proven side, having taken down No. 9 Mexico 1-0 in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final.

The talent, upside, and route are there. At +1000, there is some value here.

DENMARK +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)

Denmark is also worth look as the odds are just too sweet.

With a gritty defense and a competent attack, Denmark put on a show in Euro 2020, losing to England 2-1 in extra time in the semifinal. The game was in London, giving the British a slight edge.

Thirty-year-old MF Christian Eriksen, who suffered cardiac arrest in Euro 2020, is stable and back on the pitch. He’ll be a factor in the attack, currently playing for EPL’s Brentford.

Denmark, No. 11 in the FIFA rankings, went 9-1-0 in qualifying, totaling 30 goals and allowing 3. Denmark, which tied with Germany for the most points in qualifying, is an elite side and has good odds at +3000.

Odds to win Group B

(No suggested plays at this time)

ENGLAND

  • Yes -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • No +200 (bet $100 to win $200)

IRAN

  • Yes +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
  • No -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)

USA

  • Yes +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • No -1205 (bet $1,205 to win $100)

Odds to qualify from Group B

(No suggested plays at this time)

ENGLAND

  • Yes -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
  • No +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)

IRAN

  • Yes +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
  • No -599 (bet $599 to win $100)

USA

  • Yes +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • No -140 (bet $140 to win $100)

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