Citrus Bowl: Purdue vs. LSU odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Purdue vs. LSU Citrus Bowl odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Purdue Boilermakers (8-5) meet the No. 15 LSU Tigers (9-4) Monday in the Citrus Bowl in Orlando. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. LSU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

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Both teams come into this game after tough losses in its conference championship games. Purdue, after surprisingly winning the Big Ten West,  was manhandled 43-22 by No. 2 Michigan while LSU was crushed 50-30 by No. 1 Georgia.

Because of these losses and the lack of an elite bowl game, both teams are dealing with opt outs of players entering the NFL Draft.

Most significantly for LSU will be WR Kayshon Boutte, who flip-flopped before pulling out.

Purdue will be dealing with the defection of its coach Jeff Brohm, who returned home to Louisville. His brother Brian Brohm will leadPurdue, which also lost QB Aidan O’Connell and star WR Charlie Jones, who finished the season with 110 receptions for 1,361 yards and 12 TD. With no run game to mention, the opt outs of O’Connell and Jones will be a major issue for the Boilermakers.

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Purdue vs. LSU odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Purdue +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | LSU -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): LSU +15.5 (-110) | LSU -15.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -113 | U: -107)

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Purdue vs. LSU picks and predictions

Prediction

LSU 37, Purdue 28

Moneyline

PASS.

LSU at -750 is not worth making a wager on unless you are making a big parlay. Even then, it is a bit too high to be worth it. Purdue at +525 against a more talented SEC team is also not worth the risk. I would need far higher odds to bet on Purdue in this game. Just stay away.

Against the spread

BET PURDUE +15.5 (-110).

We have seen in games which are not a playoff game that SEC teams usually phone it in. Much like the 30-3 loss by Florida in the Las Vegas Bowl this season, a chance to make a bowl does not mean much. But it still does mean something to the Purdue players who are playing. They will play hard and although it will not be enough to win, they will score enough to make this game closer then the 15.5 spread being offered up. Purdue +15.5 (-110) is the right way to play this game.

Over/Under

BET OVER 55.5 (-113).

Starters or not, players in bowl games like to score when possible.

Arkansas and Kansas went to a 55-53 triple overtime decision while an entirely undermanned Pitt team beat UCLA 37-35 and Notre Dame won 45-38 without its starting QB or elite TE. Points can be had in bowl games and the points should be flowing in this one. Take Over 55.5 (-113) as my favorite play.

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