On Thursday, the No. 6 Purdue Boilermakers (16-3) travel to Carver–Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (14-5). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Purdue vs. Iowa odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Purdue is coming off a win this past Sunday at home against Northwestern, crushing their Big Ten foe by 20. They’re 5-3 in conference play and 2-2 on the road with their most impressive victory coming on the road against the then-top-25 Illinois.
As for Iowa, they’re a strong 11-1 at home, coming off a 17-point home victory over Penn State on Saturday. Before that, they suffered a discouraging loss on the road to Rutgers. Iowa is 4-4 in conference play.
Purdue at Iowa odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Purdue -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Iowa +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -2.5 (-105) | Iowa +2.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Purdue at Iowa odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 77, Iowa 73
Money line
PASS on the money line.
With late-game fouling playing a factor in close games, I’d prefer to gamble with the few points. The Boilermakers at -140 is good enough odds to consider though.
Against the spread
BET on PURDUE -2.5 (-105).
While neither team has necessarily dominated conference play, Purdue has looked better against Big Ten opponents. In conference play, they rank No. 1 in points per game, scoring 77.6 per game.
They also rank second in three-pointers made and attempted. Defending the three is a point of weakness of Iowa as they have the 7th-worst percentage from deep in Big Ten play.
Similarly, Purdue averages the most free throw makes and attempts per game; whereas Iowa ranks 13th in opponents’ free throw attempts and shooting. They just aren’t a great defending team, and the conference’s best offense should be able to abuse that.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 153.5 (-112).
Both teams are allowing under 72 points per game in conference play, and this total assumes around 77 points to each. Purdue is just 4-4 despite scoring the most points per game in conference action.
Their offense is typically overrated, and topping this total seems unlikely.
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