Tag: Providence Friars vs. Xavier Musketeers odds predictions pick betting line spread

Providence at Xavier odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Providence at Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 17 Providence Friars (17-5, 9-2 Big East) visit the No. 15 Xavier Musketeers (17-5, 9-2) in a top-20 matchup in Cincinnati. The contest at the Cintas Center will tip off at 6:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Providence vs. Xavier odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Providence is on a 3-game win streak straight up and against the spread (ATS). The Friars are a mid-pace squad which is efficient at both ends of the floor and works with monster edges in free-throw frequency. Through 22 games, Providence has attempted 179 more free throws than its opponents.

The Musketeers are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against  Providence. That stretch includes an overtime game and 3 other games decided by 2 scores or less.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Providence at Xavier odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Providence +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Xavier -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence +4.5 (-115) | Xavier -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Providence at Xavier picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 74, Providence 70

Moneyline

Lots of juice drowning out true probabilities here. PASS.

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Against the spread

Xavier does well to avoid too many fouls. And the Musketeers are not a great perimeter-defense team, a weakness we should not expect Providence to adequately leverage.

An Xavier win by 2-to-5 points holds as a reasonable outcome. It is not one conducive to unearthing much, if any value. PASS.

Over/Under

After the last 7 outright Providence wins, the Under has gone 6-1.

The Friars’ defensive efficiency has been trending the right way. The Musketeers have played a schedule leaning toward much better offensive opponents. Both teams have slower pace numbers over recent games.

Wednesday’s figure is 16 points higher than the average listed totals from 2 meetings a year ago. Don’t expect a lot of add-on points in the turnover, 2nd-chance, and 3-point departments. BACK THE UNDER 153.5 (-105).

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Providence at Xavier odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Providence at Xavier odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 17 Providence Friars (16-2, 6-1 Big East) travel to Cintas Center in Cincinnati for a meeting with the No. 23 Xavier Musketeers (14-4, 4-3). Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Providence vs. Xavier odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Musketeers have failed to cover in six of their last seven games. While they’re 10-8 against the spread (ATS), they’ve been far from the same team in Big East competition where they’re just 1-6 ATS.

The Musketeers average 74.5 points per game but their strength comes in their defensive play that holds opponents to just 40.3% shooting. Xavier will have its hands full against a Friars squad that shoots 44.6% from the field.

C Nate Watson is the main threat for Providence, a team that’s 11-7 ATS this season. They’ve covered six of their last 10 games and are 3-1 straight-up (SU) on the road this season.

Providence at Xavier odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Providence +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Xavier -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Providence +8.5 (-110) | Xavier -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Providence at Xavier odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 70, Providence 66

Money line

PASS on the money line.

Xavier is 10-1 at home, so it should come out on top. However, the money line is certainly not worth betting on at -420. Providence (+320) is the only playable money line wager, but I’d rather take the points in this situation.

Against the spread

BET on PROVIDENCE +8.5 (-110).

The Musketeers have failed to cover the spread in four straight games, two of which they were 2-point favorites. On the other hand, Providence has covered four of its last seven outings.

Watson should prove to be too versatile for Mucketeers’ leading scorer Jack Nunge, a 7-foot center. This game is going to be won or lost in the paint, and Watson should prove to be more physical.

I expect a close, hard-fought game with the Friars playing better basketball as of late and the Musketeers playing to the level of their competition.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 138.5 (-107).

Neither team is great at shooting with both hitting under 34% of their attempts from deep. While the Friars are 9-9 O/U this season, it’s been profitable to bet on fewer points in Xavier games as they’re just 7-10-1 O/U.

Xavier has scored fewer than 70 points in three of its last four games and Providence has scored more than 70 points in just two of its last 10 outings. Neither team has been scoring a ton lately, making the Under an attractive play.

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Providence at Xavier odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Providence Friars at Xavier Musketeers sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Providence Friars (7-4 overall, 3-2 Big East) travel to Cincinnati to tangle with the Xavier Musketeers (9-2, 2-2) in a Sunday morning Big East battle at Cintas Center in Cincinnati, Ohio. Tip-off is at 11 a.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Providence-Xavier college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Providence at Xavier: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Providence +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Xavier -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Providence +3.5 (-115) | Xavier -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Providence at Xavier: Three things to know

  1. As a team  shooting just 28.6% from 3-point range, the Friars rely on inside scoring for the bulk of their 74.7 points per game. C Nate Watson provides much of what Providence needs inside. The 6-foot-10 senior is the Friars’ second-leading scorer and has had several impressive showings when Providence is away from home. Watson has three double-doubles on the season and is averaging 18.5 points and 7.0 rebounds per contest.
  2. Xavier opened its 2020-21 season with eight consecutive wins. Half of the wins in that streak were in games decided by three or fewer points. Since then, the Musketeers have lost two of three, and they haven’t exactly been dialed in with their shooting. Over its last three games, Xavier is shooting just 38.6% from the floor; that includes a shaky 19.1% mark from 3-point range.
  3. Last season, Xavier and Providence split a pair of meetings with each side claiming wins on home hardwood. The Musketeers defeated the Friars 64-58 at Cintas Center Feb. 8. In series home games since 2014, Xavier is 6-1 straight-up and 4-3 against the spread.

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Providence at Xavier: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Xavier 71, Providence 68

Money line (ML)

The Xavier rotation doesn’t have a ton of beef down low, but what’s there has been effective in defending around the paint. That will be a key in this game.

G Jared Bynum is questionable (groin) for this game, and the Providence sophomore’s 4.5 assists per game would certainly be missed.

The Musketeers’ recent shooting woes could likely be a small-sample aberration and provide a little too much lean toward fade wagers. Those performances were mostly against strong defensive teams. Xavier is the strongest defensive team in this one. There is a SLIVER OF VALUE IN XAVIER (-160).

Against the spread (ATS)

Consider a PASS or perhaps a partial-unit play on Xavier. The Musketeers are the lean by 3-5 points.

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg this one as a slight lean on the UNDER 139.5 (-110). The tempo of the game figures to be on the slow side, and the market may be slow to adjust the Friars’ early offensive numbers downward.

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