Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (10-6) visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (11-4) Monday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Trail Blazers have an 11-5 against the spread (ATS) record, but in their last game they failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites at home against the Utah Jazz, losing 118-113 on Saturday. Portland is 4-3 ATS in its last 7, but hasn’t covered in 3 straight games. They’ll face the Bucks without G Damian Lillard, their leading scorer.

The Bucks are 8-1 straight up at home and 10-5 ATS on the season. They most failed to cover as 1-point favorites Friday, losing 110-102 on the road in Philadelphia. The Bucks are 5-5 ATS over their last 10. They’re led by F Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 29.5 points, 12 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game.

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Trail Blazers at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Bucks -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +7.5 (+100) | Bucks -7.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers at Bucks key injuries

Trail Blazers

  • G Damian Lillard (soleus) out

Bucks

  • G Khris Middleton (wrist) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Trail Blazers at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 112, Trail Blazers 102

Moneyline

PASS.

The Bucks at -380 doesn’t make much sense, but the Blazers without their leading scorer are doubtful to pull off the upset. PASS on the moneyline values.

Against the spread

LEAN BUCKS -7.5 (-120).

Without Lillard, the Bucks will be able to put G Jrue Holiday, who is a former All-Defensive star, on the Blazers’ main option, G Anfernee Simons.

The Bucks have been one of the best teams in the NBA at home this season, and they are a strong 7-2 ATS at home as well.

Portland has lost 2 straight and should be in disarray against a defensive team like Milwaukee without Lillard. Back the Bucks -7.5 (-120).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 215.5 (-110).

Milwaukee is 4-5 O/U at home this season.

It has lengthy players that should bode well in transition, but the Bucks rank just 15th in pace. The Blazers are slow and rank 27th in pace, so this should be a slow-tempo game.

Portland is 5-10-1 O/U this season while Milwaukee is 5-10 O/U to start the year. Both of those, and the absence of Lillard, bodes well here for the Under 215.5 (-110).

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Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (23-34) visit Fiserv Forum Monday to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (35-22). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Trail Blazers vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Bucks haven’t played since Thursday, failing to cover as 3-point underdogs on the road in Phoenix. Milwaukee lost by 24 (131-107), snapping a four-game win streak.

The Bucks are 26-31 against the spread (ATS) and 5-5 over their last 10. They rank 6th in points per game and 15th in opponents’ points per game.

As for the Trail Blazers, they traded away 3 starters (SF Norman Powell, PF Robert Covington, and SG CJ McCollum) prior to the Feb. 10 deadline.

Since then, they’ve covered both games, winning outright at home against the Knicks and Lakers, respectively as 4.5-point and 9.5-point underdogs. Portland has covered just 3 of its last 10 though.

Trail Blazers at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Trail Blazers +850 (bet $100 to win $850) | Bucks -1800 (bet $1800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Trail Blazers +14.5 (-107) | Bucks -14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers at Bucks key injuries

Trail Blazers

  • SG Eric Bledsoe (Achilles) out
  • PG Damian Lillard (core) out
  • SF Nassir Little (shoulder) out
  • PG Dennis Smith Jr. (elbow) out

Bucks

  • PF Giannis Antetokounmpo (ankle) probable
  • SG Pat Connaughton (finger) out
  • PG George Hill (neck) out

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Trail Blazers at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 119, Trail Blazers 105

Money line

PASS.

Milwaukee (-1800) is far too expensive to consider in this spot. Also, the Bucks have been playing well enough to not warrant any type of wager on the Blazers at +850.

Against the spread

LEAN to the TRAIL BLAZERS +14.5 (-107).

While many players are out, the Blazers have a group that plays hard, led by SG Josh Hart and SG Anfernee Simons, two players that combined for 53 against the Knicks Saturday.

Milwaukee destroyed Portland by 29 (137-108) Feb. 5, but having inserted 3 new starters, this is a different Blazers team. The Bucks are tied with the 76ers as the fourth-worst covering team at home, just 11-17 ATS.

With a backdoor cover entirely possible as well, the Blazers, who rank 14th in turnover rate and 3rd in defensive-rebounding rate, should be able to limit their mistakes and keep this game within 16.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 228.5 (-110).

As noted, the Blazers are in the top half of the league in turnovers and don’t allow many offensive boards. They also rank 18th in pace and are just 26-30-1 O/U this season.

The Bucks have more consistently hit the Under as well, just 27-30 O/U. At home, they’re just 12-16 O/U.

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