The Golden State Warriors (20-4) host the Portland Trail Blazers (11-14) Wednesday at Chase Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
Portland has lost six of its past seven games including three straight to the San Antonio Spurs, Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Clippers. The Trail Blazers are 9-15-1 ATS and 12-13 O/U with the 18th-best net rating.
Golden State has alternated wins and losses the past five games (3-2 ATS) with the latest being a 126-95 beatdown of the Orlando Magic Monday. The Warriors are 17-6-1 ATS and 7-16-1 O/U with the best net rating in the NBA.
The Warriors crushed the Trail Blazers 118-103 Nov. 26 in their first head-to-head meeting of the season. Golden State is 4-1 overall and 3-2 ATS in its last five home games vs. Portland.
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Trail Blazers at Warriors odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Trail Blazers +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Warriors -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +14.5 (-115) | Warriors -14.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Trail Blazers at Warriors key injuries
Trail Blazers
- PG Damian Lillard (abdomen) out
- SF Nassir Little (ankle) questionable
- SG C.J. McCollum (lung) out
- SG Ben McLemore (hip) questionable
- PG Anfernee Simons (ankle) questionable
- C Cody Zeller (quad) questionable
Warriors
- None
Trail Blazers at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 114, Trail Blazers 96
Money line
PASS because I’d never lay -1400 with any NBA regular-season favorite even as one as profitable as Golden State.
All of Golden State’s perceived edges in this matchup are appropriately baked into the Warriors’ price point (-1400). If anything, there’s value on the Trail Blazers (+750) inexplicably stealing this game outright.
But the Warriors will probably drub the Trail Blazers, so PASS.
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the WARRIORS -14.5 (-107) for a tiny wager if at all because a lot of things have to go right for an NBA team to cover as a double-digit favorite. If a massive favorite has just one off-shooting quarter then that ticket could go in the trash.
You could make a better argument that more things would have to go wrong for Golden State to not cover this spread. Portland’s injuries are mounting and it would take a no-show from the Warriors for them to get inside the number.
Aside from a career performance out of big Portland C Jusuf Nurkic, I don’t see an area for the Trail Blazers to attack the Warriors.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 215.5 (-110) for a half unit as my favorite wager in this game.
Portland only scored 103 points in its first game vs. Golden State and that was with both Lillard and McCollum in the starting five. As previously discussed, without these guys in the lineup, it’s hard to see how the Trail Blazers score against a Warriors defense ranked first in defensive rating.
The Trail Blazers have the second-worst offensive efficiency on the road, according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Typically, role players shoot better at home, but since the Trail Blazers are starting backups and are on the road, I don’t see them getting hot from the field.
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