Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (21-22) battle the Denver Nuggets (30-13) Tuesday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets beat the Orlando Magic 119-116 at home Sunday, failing to cover as an 11-point favorite. Denver is 23-20 against the spread (ATS) on the season and is 19-3 straight up at home. It has covered 5 of its last 6 and 8 of its last 10. The Nuggets rank 1st in field goal percentage (50.9%) and 3-point FG percentage (39.9%).

The Trail Blazers beat the Dallas Mavericks 140-123 Sunday, covering as a 9.5-point favorite. Portland is 24-19 ATS on the season and 10-14 straight up on the road. It is just 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games. The Blazers rank 17th in points per game (113.3) and 13th in opponents’ points per game (112.6).

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Trail Blazers at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Nuggets -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +6.5 (-108) | Nuggets -6.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Trail Blazers at Nuggets key injuries

Trail Blazers

Not yet submitted

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (ankle) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Trail Blazers at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 122, Trail Blazers 117

Moneyline

PASS.

The Nuggets are 19-3 at home, and the Blazers are 10-14 on the road. The moneyline values, while justified, present little value.

Against the spread

LEAN TRAIL BLAZERS +6.5 (-108).

The Blazers are on fire and have covered 2 straight games, beat Dallas by 7 and then 17. They scored 136 points, then 140 and are averaing 113.3 PPG this season. They have already played Denver 3 times this season, and although Portland is 1-2, it would be 2-1 ATS at this number. The Blazers are a strong 24-19 ATS on the season.

The Nuggets are 23-20 ATS this season. Their defense is lacking though, ranking 24th in opponents’ FG percentage (48%) which should let the red-hot Blazers stay close.

Considering how the 3 prior meetings have gone, back a close game which suggests betting TRAIL BLAZERS +6.5 (-108).

Over/Under

BET OVER 237.5 (-112).

In 2 of the 3 matchups this season, these teams would have combined to top this total. With key offensive players healthy, this should be a high-scoring battle. Denver has the No. 1 offense in terms of efficiency and hasn’t defended well against Portland this season, allowing 120 or more in 2 of the 3 games.

Denver has gone Over 120 in 6 of its last 7 home games as well and is 6-4 O/U in its last 10. Portland has gone Over in 3 straight games well. Back the OVER 237.5 (-112).

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Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (17-15) battle the Denver Nuggets (19-11) at Ball Arena Friday. Tip from the Mile High City is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets beat the Memphis Grizzlies 105-91 Tuesday. They covered as 1-point home underdogs, leading by 21 points after 1 quarter and holding on. Denver pushed its against-the-spread (ATS) record to 13-17 and it’s just 2-7 ATS over its last 9 games. The Nuggets’ weakness is in their defense, ranking 28th in opponents’ field goal percentage (48.7%).

The Trail Blazers lost 101-98 to the Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday. failing to cover as 4-point favorites. The loss pushed their season-long ATS record to 20-12 but they are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games. Portland has the league’s best 3-point shooting attack (38.9%).

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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.

Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets key injuries

Trail Blazers

G Damian Lillard (wrist) probable
C Jusuf Nurkic (calf) probable

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable
F Michael Porter Jr. (heel) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Trail Blazers 121, Nuggets 119

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Trail Blazers (+160) to win here, but I prefer to take the points and play the spread despite the enticing price-tag.

Against the spread

BET TRAIL BLAZERS +4.5 (-110).

The Blazers’ playmakers are too good for a Denver team that is as susceptible to shooters as any in the league. Portland is the best 3-point shooting team in the league, and Denver’s main weakness is effectively limiting shooters.

Portland has the league’s 2nd-best ATS record (20-12), only behind the 19-Sacramento Kings. Denver is just 13-17 ATS, although it is 7-6 ATS at home.

Denver is 2nd in field goal percentage and three-point field goal percentage but could be without its 2nd- and 4th-leading scoring threats. Regardless, its defense cannot be trusted against Lillard and G Anfernee Simons.

These teams have split 2 teams this season. Blazers won 135-110 the last time at Ball Arena (Oct. 24) while they lost 121-120 at home (Dec. 8), covering a 4.5-point spread in both games and should again. Back the TRAIL BLAZERS +4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 232.5 (-110).

Portland has gone Over in 6 of its last 8 games. Given Denver’s weaknesses defensively coupled with the Trail Blazers’ skilled shotmakers, there’s no reason to think this matchup will be a low-scoring battle.

Both other meetings this season between the two teams have topped 240 points. The Nuggets are 5-6 O/U in their last 11 games. The offense should be there, especially considering what we’ve seen the last few times these teams have taken the court.

Back the OVER 232.5 (-110) for a partial unit.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (16-24) open a six-game road trip Thursday when they face the Denver Nuggets (20-19). Tip-off is 10 p.m. ET at Ball Arena. Below, we look at the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Blazers have won their last two games but have only won six games since Nov. 24. Portland is only 2-13 on the road this season.

The Nuggets are coming off an 87-85 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers Tuesday but had won five of their previous seven games. L.A. has gone 12-9 after losing six games in a row from Nov. 15-26.

Portland and Denver have split their first two meetings in Nov. with the home team winning and covering in both games.

Trail Blazers at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:58 a.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers +440 (bet $100 to win $340) | Nuggets -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +10.5 (-112) | Nuggets -10.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Trail Blazers at Nuggets key injuries

Trail Blazers

G Damian Lillard (abdomen) out
G C.J. McCollum (lung) out
F Larry Nance Jr. (knee) out
F Norman Powell (health and safety protocols) out
G Anfernee Simmons (personal) out
C Cody Zeller (knee) doubtful

Nuggets

G Will Barton (toe) probable
F Vlatko Cancar (foot) out
G P.J. Dozier (knee) out
G Jamal Murray (knee) out
F Michael Porter Jr. (back) out

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Trail Blazers at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 109, Trail Blazers 98

Money line

PASS on the money line. The Blazers are awful on the road and are missing their two best players while the Nuggets have been playing fairly well.

I don’t expect the upset but you still can’t risk six and a half times your potential return.

Against the spread

The Blazers only have three ATS road wins all season and also have the league’s worst overall ATS record at 15-25. If you expect them to cover the spread in a loss, you would be hoping for something rare — they’ve done so just once this season.

Take the NUGGETS -10.5 (-108).

Over/Under

Portland’s last three games and six of its last 10 games have stayed Under the projected total.

Only two of the Nuggets’ last 10 games have hit the Over.

Take UNDER 213.5 (-115).

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Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets Game 1 odds and lines, with NBA picks, tips and predictions.

The 6-seed Portland Trail Blazers and 3-seed Denver Nuggets play Game 1 of their Western Conference first-round series Saturday at Ball Arena in Denver. Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Trail Blazers have the confidence of topping the Nuggets in the regular-season finale on Sunday, 132-116. They cashed as 8.5-point favorites in that one as the Over connected.

Portland has won six of the final seven, and 10 of the final 12 games while covering each of the previous three outings. They’re also 9-3 against the spread across the final 12 contests.

The loss to the Blazers in the finale snapped a three-game win streak. They’re 4-4 SU/3-5 ATS across the final eight games of the regular season.

Denver won two of the three meetings with Portland, splitting the two meetings in Rip City. They won the second meeting on April 21 by a 106-105 score as the Under cashed.

Trail Blazers at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nuggets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers +1 (-110) | Nuggets -1 (-110)
Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Trail Blazers at Nuggets: Key injuries

Trail Blazers

PF Zach Collins (ankle) out

Nuggets

SG Will Barton (hamstring) out
SG PJ Dozier (groin) out
SG Jamal Murray (knee) out

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Trail Blazers at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 114, Trail Blazers 110

Money line (ML)

The NUGGETS (-115) won two of the three regular-season meetings, and while the Trail Blazers (-105) have been on fire to close the season, this game is in the Mile High City.

Denver won 25 of its 36 games on their home court, and they’ll scratch out a close one in this series opener.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The NUGGETS -1 (-110) will cost you slightly less than playing the money line, and really the bets are interchangeable.

There is no way for a tie in basketball, so laying the one point in basically the same bet as playing the money line. You can push if Denver wins Game 1 by just one point, that’s about the only difference.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 227.5 (-110) is the lean here. The Under has hit in five of the past seven for the Blazers on the road against teams with a winning home record.

The Under is also 4-1 in the previous five for the Nuggets as a favorite. I’d go lightly here, as both of these teams can score plenty. However, the Under was 2-1 in the three regular-season meetings, too.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Denver Nuggets (16-14) host the Portland Trail Blazers (18-12) Tuesday at the Ball Arena for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Portland was manhandled last night at the Phoenix Suns 132-100 and has now dropped back-to-back games after winning six in a row. The Trail Blazers are the 5-seed in the West despite missing guard C.J. McCollum and big Jusuf Nurkic.

The Nuggets have dealt with their own health issues and just lost three in a four-game road trip (straight-up and ATS) entering Tuesday. Denver’s injuries have affected its defense most of all as the Nuggets were 25th in defensive rating over those four games.

The Trail Blazers ended a three-game losing streak to the Nuggets (straight-up and ATS) in their final meeting last season in the bubble, beating them 125-115. Damian Lillard teed off on Denver, putting up 45 points and 12 assists.

Trail Blazers at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Nuggets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers +6.5 (-110) | Nuggets -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Trail Blazers at Nuggets: Key injuries

Trail Blazers

SG C.J. McCollum (foot) out
C Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out
PF Zach Collins (ankle) out

Nuggets

SG P.J. Dozier (hamstring) out
PF JaMychal Green (shoulder) out
PF Paul Millsap (knee) out
SG Gary Harris (thigh) out

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Trail Blazers at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Trail Blazers 124, Nuggets 115

Money line (ML)

Denver’s implied win probability based on the money line is 73%, and there’s no way the Nuggets win this game 73% of the time with all their injuries.

Don’t get me wrong Portland is banged up, too, but there’s just too much value on the Portland plus points that I have to BET the TRAIL BLAZERS (+220) for a quarter-unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Both squads are bottom-10 in terms of defensive efficiency, however, Portland plays much better against bad defenses than Denver.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Trail Blazers are 8-1 overall with a plus-7.1-point spread differential against bottom-10 defenses (2nd in The NBA) whereas the Nuggets are 5-7 overall with the 25th-ranked spread differential (minus-1.5-point spread differential).

Also, somehow the market prefers Denver in this spot regardless of its recent form. Close to 60% of the total bets are on the Nuggets, according to Pregame.com, and there appears to be an overreaction to Portland’s beatdown last night vs. Phoenix.

The Nuggets can’t play nearly the defense the Suns did and, in a make-or-miss NBA, the Trail Blazers are due for a bounce-back shooting performance tonight. TAKE TRAIL BLAZERS +6.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight lean on OVER 232.5 (-110) for a fractional-sized wager only because I prefer the sides over the totals in Trail Blazers-Nuggets. However, this total is too low considering each team’s injuries has led to bad defense from both, and they have a combined 38-22 O/U record this season.

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