The San Antonio Spurs (26-27) host the Portland Trail Blazers (31-23) Friday at AT&T Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Portland lost four of its past five games while going 1-4 against the spread, including two straight losses to the Miami Heat Sunday and the Boston Celtics Tuesday. The 6-seed Trail Blazers remain 1 game ahead of the seventh-place Dallas Mavericks and the 7- through 10-seeds participate in the Western Conference postseason play-in tournament.
San Antonio just wrapped up a five-game road swing 2-3 straight up and 3-2 ATS with the latest being a 117-112 loss at the Toronto Raptors as 5.5-point road favorites. The Spurs are 2 games in front of the 11th-place New Orleans Pelicans for the 10th and final seed in the play-in tournament.
San Antonio steamrolled Portland 125-104 in the first meeting of the season Jan. 18 as the Spurs had four 20-point scorers. Blazers SG C.J. McCollum didn’t play in the game and former Spurs leading scorer PF LaMarcus Aldridge was since bought out and recently retired.
Trail Blazers at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Trail Blazers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Spurs +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers -2.5 (-110) | Spurs +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Trail Blazers at Spurs: Key injuries
Trail Blazers
- C Zach Collins (out) out
Spurs
- PF Trey Lyles (ankle) out
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Trail Blazers at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Trail Blazers 121, Spurs 111
Money line (ML)
PASS because I “lean” to the Trail Blazers (-140) to cover but am not willing to pay the vig on the ML because we are getting the worst of the number since this game opened as a pick ’em.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Typically, I’d like to “fade” a lopsided handle like this but this is too good of a spot for the TRAIL BLAZERS -2.5 (-110).
The Blazers are 8-5 ATS in road games vs. teams with losing records, 3-1 ATS in their last four games vs. the Spurs and a much better team in tight games, which bookmakers project this to be.
Portland is 21-8 clutch situations with the second-highest net rating while San Antonio is 13-16 with the 23rd-ranked net rating in clutch games.
BET TRAIL BLAZERS -2.5 (-110) for .75 units only because we are late to the party.
Over/Under (O/U)
Just like the Portland side, more than 95% of the money is on the Over, causing bookmakers to move the total up from the 230.5-point opener, which makes this total a PASS for me.
I agree with the market’s read and “lean” to the Over, but we are getting the worst of the number and there’s no way I’m following that kind of a crowd in a sports bet.
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