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The next big event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the 2025 Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass. It’s one of the marquee events each year, bringing all of the game’s best players together in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. Below, we look at The Players Championship odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Scottie Scheffler is seeking to win The Players Championship for the third straight year after becoming the first player to win it in back-to-back seasons. He’s the betting favorite at +500, ahead of the second-favorite, Rory McIlroy (+1000). Collin Morikawa, the runner up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, has pre-tournament odds of +1400, followed by Ludvig Aberg (+1800). Russell Henley, who won the Palmer on Sunday, opens at +2800.
TPC Sawgrass will play longer this year after 77 yards were added for 2025, according to the PGA Tour. The Pete Dye design is 7,352 yards and plays as a par 72. It’s a challenging layout that requires accuracy off the tee, more so than most other courses because of the angles needed to attack pins in various locations on the greens.
- Players Championship: Best prop bet predictions
Players Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:15 p.m. ET.
Hideki Matsuyama (+2800)
Matsuyama may be flying under the radar a little bit since his win at The Sentry to start the year, and even though he doesn’t have a top 10 since, he’s still playing well and coming off a T-13 in his last start at the Genesis. He also has a great track record here, finishing sixth and fifth in the last 2 Players.
Ludvig Aberg (+1800)
Aberg made his tournament debut last year and came in eighth, showing he didn’t need much time to learn the course. He’s playing even better right now than he was a year ago and could be poised for his second win of the season. His accuracy and high ball flight make him a perfect fit for Sawgrass.
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Players Championship picks – Contenders
Jason Day (+5000)
Day is ascending at the right time, coming in eighth at the API on Sunday. He hasn’t missed a cut and has 3 top-15 finishes already this season despite being weighed down by some putting struggles (116th in SG: putting). His ball striking is on point and he’s a past champion here, winning in 2016.
Sepp Straka (+4000)
Straka is playing too well to ignore, which is why his odds have shrunk to +4000. It’s reasonable, too. He finished fifth at the Palmer on Sunday with a final-round 69, and he’s played well at Sawgrass in the past (16th in 2024 and ninth in 2022).
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Players Championship picks – Long shots
Denny McCarthy (+8000)
McCarthy fired a final-round 67 to finish 18th at Bay Hill on Sunday, continuing some strong play as of late. That was after also coming in fifth at the Genesis last month. In 5 career starts here, he’s never missed the cut and has a career-best finish of 13th in 2023.
Akshay Bhatia (+10000)
Bhatia struggled on Thursday at Bay Hill, shooting a 9-over 81. He bounced back with a 1-under on Friday but still missed the cut by a lot. He’s playing much better than those scores indicate and his odds shouldn’t be this long at a course where shot shaping is important.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
- 2025 Players Championship Thursday first round tee times, how to watch
- Hole-by-hole scouting report, changes, key stats at TPC Sawgrass, home of the Players Championship
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