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The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) and Houston Texans (1-2) meet Sunday at NRG Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Steelers vs. Texans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Steelers covered the spread as 3-point underdogs in a 23-18 win at the Las Vegas Raiders last Sunday as the Under (44) hit. QB Kenny Pickett threw 2 TDs, and Pittsburgh won a road game vs. the Raiders for the 1st time since 1995.
The Texans covered as 7.5-point underdogs in a 37-17 win at the Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday as the Over (43.5) cashed. QB C.J. Stroud and coach DeMeco Ryans got their first wins, and Houston covered for the first time this season.
These teams have not faced each other since QB Ben Roethlisberger and QB Deshaun Watson played for the Steelers and Texans, respectively. The Steelers covered as 3.5-point home favorites with a 28-21 win as the Over (46.5) hit Sept. 27, 2020.
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Steelers at Texans odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Steelers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Texans +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Steelers -3 (-105) | Texans +3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Steelers at Texans key injuries
Steelers
- OL James Daniels (groin) out
- P Pressley Harvin III (hamstring) out
Texans
- OL Michael Deiter (chest) questionable
- OL Josh Jones (hand) out
- LB Denzel Perryman (hand, wrist) out
- OT Laremy Tunsil (knee) out
Steelers at Texans picks and predictions
Prediction
Texans 20, Steelers 17
Moneyline
The TEXANS (+125) have been improving offensively each week and will be much harder for Pittsburgh’s defense to contain than Las Vegas was. Both teams have been upgraded since their underdog wins last week, but I’m not as impressed by Pittsburgh’s victory. If Raiders coach Josh McDaniels was less conservative late in the game, the Steelers potentially don’t even cover as underdogs in overtime.
SPRINKLE on TEXANS (+125).
Against the spread
Taking the points is a safer option for those who can’t stomach the thought of risking money on Houston to win back-to-back games. The Texans should be able to, at the very least, keep it close in a low-scoring affair. Houston’s defense was a liability in the first 2 weeks of the season but should be able to contain this very mediocre Steelers offense.
BET TEXANS +3 (-115).
Over/Under
The Under is 2-1 in Steelers games this season. The lone Over (39.5) hit in a 26-22 win vs. the Cleveland Browns in Week 2 – a game that featured 2 defensive TDs. This Steelers offense hasn’t shown me that it’s capable of putting up a lot of points, and I like Pittsburgh’s defense to continue to look elite.
BET UNDER 42 (-110).
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