Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) meet the Cleveland Browns (2-8) in Week 12 for Thursday Night Football at Huntington Bank Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Steelers vs. Browns odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Steelers head into Cleveland on a high after topping the Baltimore Ravens 18-16 in Week 11 in an AFC North showdown, taking first place in the process. Pittsburgh has won and covered 5 consecutive outings. The Under (48.5) cashed last time out, halting a 4-game Over stretch.

The Browns were pounded 35-14 as a 1-point favorite last weekend on the road against the New Orleans Saints, while the Over (44) connected. Cleveland has lost 7 of the past 8 games, while going 2-6 ATS in the span. The Under has cashed in 6 of the previous 9 outings.

The Browns are 1-1 SU and ATS in 2 divisional games, while splitting the total, too. The Steelers played their first game inside the AFC North last weekend in the win over the Ravens.

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Steelers at Browns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 5:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Steelers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Browns +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers -3.5 (-110) | Browns +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Steelers at Browns key injuries

Steelers

  • LB Alex Highsmith (ankle) out
  • CB Cory Trice Jr. (hamstring) out

Browns

  • TE Geoff Swaim (concussion) out
  • OT Jedrick Wills (knee) out

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Steelers at Browns picks and predictions

Prediction

Steelers 23, Browns 15

Moneyline

The Steelers (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive for a standalone bet, especially for a road team.

While Cleveland showed it can be dangerous, topping the Baltimore Ravens in Cleveland in Week 8 as a 7-point underdog, the Browns (+165) cannot be trusted, however, as they’re 2-8 in 10 games. PASS.

Against the spread

The STEELERS -3.5 (-110) are a strong play laying the 3 and a hook in this Thursday night battle on the shores of Lake Erie.

Surprisingly, the Browns +3.5 (-110) have won the past 2 meetings at home, and 3 of the previous 4 meetings. However, Cleveland is just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings since 2019, and it is basically near rock-bottom in that 5-year span.

Over/Under

OVER 36.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings in this series, and Pittsburgh has gone high in 4 of the past 5 games since Week 6.

However, Cleveland has scored 18 or fewer points in 9 of 10 games this season. The Browns are averaging just 16.2 PPG, while going for only 88.5 rushing yards per game, and only 291.3 total yards per contest, so be careful.

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