The Detroit Pistons (16-64) visit the Indiana Pacers (34-46) on Friday. Tip from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pistons vs. Pacers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Detroit failed to cover as an 11.5-point underdog in a 123-108 loss to the Brooklyn Nets Wednesday. It has now lost 11 games in a row. The Pistons are 3-6-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, falling to 33-43-4 ATS on the season.
Indiana fell 138-129 to the New York Knicks Wednesday, failing to cover as a 5-point underdog. It has now lost back-to-back games and has dropped 8 of its last 10. The Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 outings and 41-39 ATS this season.
This will be the 4th matchup between Indiana and Detroit this season. Indiana holds a 2-1 series advantage, winning 124-115 as a 1.5-point underdog on Oct. 22 and 121-115 as a 3.5-point underdog on March 11. The Pistons then won 117-97 as 4-point home underdogs on March 13. The Over cashed in both Indiana wins and the Under connected in the Detroit victory.
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Pistons at Pacers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pistons +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Pacers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +6.5 (-105) | Pacers -6.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Pistons at Pacers key injuries
Pistons
- F Marvin Bagley III (concussion) probable
- F Bojan Bogdanovic (achilles) out
- G Alec Burks (foot) out
- G Rodney McGruder (foot) out
- F Isaiah Stewart (shoulder) out
Pacers
- G Chris Duarte (ankle) out
- G Tyrese Haliburton (ankle) out
- G T.J. McConnell (hip) questionable
- F Jalen Smith (knee) questionable
- C Myles Turner (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pistons at Pacers picks and predictions
Prediction
Pacers 125, Pistons 115
Moneyline
PASS.
The moneyline does not present a profitable play on the Pacers (-275) in this matchup, but I think they get the win.
Against the spread
LEAN PACERS -6.5 (-115).
The Pacers’ offense ranks 10th in the NBA in points per game (116) while the Pistons’ defense ranks just 27th in opponent points per game (118.8). Indiana is 22-18 ATS at home this season and Detroit is 16-20-3 ATS on the road.
The Pistons are just 4-12-1 ATS this season as 5-7-point underdogs and 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games including 1-3-1 ATS on the road in that span.
While the end of the season can typically result in obscure outcomes due to different players being shutdown, the Pacers still have the capability to defeat a Detroit team that is just 7-32 on the road this season.
LEAN PACERS -6.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET OVER 230.5 (-105).
The Over is 4-0 in the Pistons’ last 4 games and 2-0 in their last 2 road games. The Over is 3-3 in the Pacers’ last 6 games but at this closing line, it would be 5-1. It is 3-2 in its last 5 home games as well.
Both teams have positive O/U records and the Over is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings between them in Indiana.
The Pacers rank 5th in the NBA in pace (101.52) while the Pistons rank 13th (99.83). Expect a lot of possessions and quick basketball to put the Over in a prime position to hit.
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