The Detroit Pistons (13-38) meet the Dallas Mavericks (26-25) Monday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pistons vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Pistons dropped a home game against the Houston Rockets on Saturday, falling 117-114 as 5.5-point favorites. Detroit has won just once in the past 6 games while going 1-5 against the spread (ATS). The Under has outpaced the Over 4-2 across that stretch.
The Mavericks were tripped up 108-100 at the Utah Jazz Saturday, and are just 3-8 straight up and ATS across the past 11 games overall. The Under has cashed in 4 of Dallas’s last 5 games.
Detroit picked up a 131-125 overtime victory in these teams’ first meeting on Dec. 1, winning outright as an 8-point underdog as the Over (221.5) connected.
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Pistons at Mavericks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pistons +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Mavericks -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +8.5 (-115) | Mavericks -8.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Pistons at Mavericks key injuries
Pistons
- G Cory Joseph (back) out
Mavericks
- F Luka Doncic (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pistons at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 119, Pistons 114
Moneyline
The Mavericks (-360) will cost you more than 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just way too expensive even for the home side. Dallas is barely above .500, and it has struggled to be consistent all season. It’s also concerning that Doncic is on the injury report and may not play.
PASS.
Against the spread
The PISTONS +8.5 (-115) are a decent play catching more than 4 buckets, especially if Doncic is unable to suit up.
While Detroit is just 1-5 ATS in the past 6 games overall, it is a solid 9-4-2 ATS in the past 15 games on the road against teams with a winning home record.
In addition, the Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in the past 8 games overall while going just 7-19-1 ATS in the past 27 against losing teams.
Over/Under
OVER 229.5 (-110) is a play, with or without Doncic.
Obviously, the Mavs lose quite a bit of offense if Luka cannot play, but it loses quite a bit defensively, too. The Pistons will be able to take advantage, and we should get a faster pace.
The Over is 7-3 in the past 10 games at home for Dallas, while going 5-1 in the past 6 games against losing teams. The Over is also 5-1 in the previous 6 meetings in this series.
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