Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Phoenix Suns (9-4) visit to the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-6) Sunday. Tip-off from Target Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Suns vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phoenix won 3-0 last season

Phoenix lost 99-83 to the Oklahoma City Thunder Friday while failing to cover as a 7.5-point underdog. The Suns’ offense was abysmal without superstar F Kevin Durant as Phoenix was held to just 29.3% shooting from the field and 24.3% shooting from 3-point range. G Devin Booker failed to step up in the loss, shooting 2-of-10 from the field while finishing with just 12 points and a -29 in the +/-.

Minnesota escaped with a 130-126 OT win over the Sacramento Kings Friday while covering as a 1.5-point favorite. G Anthony Edwards and F  Julius Randle combined for 62 points, just enough to outshine Sacramento G De’Aaron Fox and his historic 60-point night. The win ended a 3-game skid for the T-wolves.

Suns at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Suns +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Timberwolves -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Suns +7.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Suns at Timberwolves key injuries

Suns

  • Grayson Allen (hamstring) probable
  • Bradley Beal (calf) out
  • Kevin Durant (calf) out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (ankle) probable

Timberwolves

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Suns at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 115, Suns 107

Moneyline

PASS.

Injuries have dismantled this Phoenix team and makes picking the Timberwolves to cover as -275 favorites an easy decision, but Minnesota is  favored far too heavily favored to risk betting on. Despite Phoenix’s injuries, the risk here is not worth the reward, so pass here and bet on the spread and/or totlal instead.

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES -7.5 (-110).

Minnesota has covered the spread in 4 of its last 7 games. Phoenix is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games, 3-7 ATS in its last 10 and 4-9 ATS for the season.

With Phoenix’s vast array of injuries, Minnesota covering here is a solid bet. Be aware that Minnesota is only 5-8 ATS this season.

Also be weary of the possibility that the positional matchup against Edwards combined with his terrible performance vs. OKC could motivate Booker  enough for the Suns to keep this game close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 220.5 (-110). 

The Over is 2-1 in Minnesota’s last 3 overall and is 3-1 in the Suns’ last 4. The Over is also 8-5 for both teams this season.

The Over has hit in back-to-back matchups between these squads and is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Be aware that this bet is slightly risky as both teams are mediocre offensively and as Phoenix’s injuries are hurting its offensive firepower.

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Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 6-seed Phoenix Suns and 3-seed Minnesota Timberwolves meet in Game 2 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 1st-round series Tuesday. The Timberwolves lead the series 1-0. Tip-off from Target Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves howled at the moon as they eclipsed the Suns 120-95 in Game 1 Saturday. The Suns led 28-27 after 1 quarter but were outscored in each of the next 3. F Kevin Durant did his part with 31 points and 7 boards. G Devin Booker had an off night with 18 points on 5-for-16 shooting.

The T-Wolves smothered the Suns defensively, outrebounding them 52 to 28. The Wolves also won the paint battle with 52 points to their 34. C Rudy Gobert was the difference with 14 points and 16 boards. He didn’t block a shot, but he altered several in the paint. G Anthony Edwards had 33 points, on 4-for-8 from distance, 9 boards and 6 dimes. G Nickeil Alexander-Walker was also a menace with 18 points and 4 steals.

It’s hard to fathom a team with KD, Booker and G Bradley Beal could fail to have the depth to compete with the likes of Minnesota, but that is exactly what happened.

Suns at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Suns +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Timberwolves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Suns +3.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Suns at Timberwolves key injuries

Suns

  • G Grayson Allen (ankle) questionable

Timberwolves

  • Kyle Anderson (hip) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Suns at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 114, Suns 109

Moneyline

We had a crazy stat going into Monday’s action. Between the NHL and NBA best-of-7 playoffs, the home teams were 14-0. A couple of NHL road teams ended that streak Monday night, but the home teams are still undefeated in the NBA.

I could see that trend ending Tuesday — but not in this game. The Suns are going to have to shoot the lights out or get Gobert in foul trouble in order to steal this one. I do see some regression from the Timberwolves, who shot 50% from the floor in Game 1, but they preserve home court.

Instead of taking the -155, let’s SGP the TIMBERWOLVES ML + ANTHONY EDWARDS 20 POINTS (-105). Upon logging into my BetMGM account, I had a 33% boost token for a minimum odds of -300. That made this SGP +126.

Against the spread

I’m foregoing the spread here. Some shops have already gone down to Minnesota laying 3 points instead of the 3.5. If that falls to 2.5, I’d entertain the idea.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Over 213.5 cruised in the 120-95 Game 1 finish. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 matchups between the teams. Minnesota is 7-3 O/U in its last 10, and Phoenix is 5-5.

I like the OVER 211.5 (-115).

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Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves welcome the Phoenix Suns to Target Center for Game 1 of their 1st-round best-of-7 series in the NBA Playoffs Saturday. Tip is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Regular season series: Suns lead 3-0

The Suns ended the regular season winning 3 straight games and improving their record to 49-33. They finished 35-45-2 against the spread (ATS). Phoenix was 5-3 ATS in its last 8 games and ended the season with a 19-21-1 ATS record on the road. The Suns are led by G Devin Booker, who is averaging 27.1 points per game.

Minnesota and Phoenix wrapped up their regular seasons with a meeting in Minneapolis Sunday, a 125-106 Suns win. The Timberwolves (56-26) failed to cover against Phoenix in all 3 regular-season meetings and was 41-41 ATS overall. It’s led by the impressive play of G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Suns at Timberwolves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Suns +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Timberwolves -122 (bet $122 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Suns +1.5 (-108) | Timberwolves -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Suns at Timberwolves key injuries

Suns

  • None

Timberwolves

  • None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Suns at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 110, Timberwolves 108

Moneyline

PASS.

While the plus-money option for Phoenix (+104) is enticing, the spread offer the better value here, and it is the preferred play.

Against the spread

BET SUNS +1.5 (-108).

The Suns have had the Wolves’ number this season, beating them by double digits in every game. Phoenix has the talented scorers to make it difficult for Minnesota to keep pace.

The Suns won 6 of their last 8 down the stretch and were 5-3 ATS in those. They weren’t healthy for most of the season but are starting to put it together late and should have a strong opening to this series.

The Wolves lost 3 of their last 6 and were 18-21-2 ATS at home, which isn’t too impressive either. Considering all those trends, back SUNS +1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 214.5 (-110).

The Suns and Wolves are 2-1 O/U on the season in their 3 matchups, and in the lone Under, both teams shot under 45% from the field. These teams are too talented to continue shooting that poorly.

The Wolves had gone Over in 6 of their last 8 games, allowing at least 116 points in 4 of their last 5. Considering the high-level scorers the Suns have and the current form Minnesota is in, back OVER 214.5 (-110).

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Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Phoenix Suns (21-11) are on the road on Sunday to take on the woeful Minnesota Timberwolves (7-27). The game tips off at 9 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis.

Below, we analyze the Suns-Timberwolves NBA and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Suns at Timberwolves: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Suns -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Timberwolves +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Suns -10.5 (-110) | Timberwolves +10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Suns at Timberwolves: Key injuries

Suns

  • Dario Saric (ankle) questionable

Timberwolves

  • Malik Beasley (suspension) out
  • D’Angelo Russell (knee) out

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Suns at Timberwolves: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Suns 125, Timberwolves 110

Money line (ML)

The Timberwolves are still reeling. They have lost seven straight and 11 of their last 12. The Suns, meanwhile, have won four of five and 10 of 12. Minnesota played Saturday and was blown out, and the Suns played on the road Friday and picked up a win. This is almost as certain as any outcome, so take the SUNS -550. 

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Suns have a better cover percentage than everyone but the Utah Jazz this season at 65.6%. Peculiarly, every straight-up result has matched the ATS result. In every win this season, the Suns have covered the spread. In every loss, they have failed to cover the spread. This is now a 32-game trend. The Wolves not only have lost their last seven games, but they have also failed to cover the spread as well. Take the SUNS -10.5 (-110). 

Over/Under (O/U)

After starting the year with one of the lowest Over percentages, the Suns are now even at 16-16, as eight of their last 10 games have gone Over. Minnesota’s last three games have gone Over. The Wolves allow the third-most points per game. Take the OVER 225.5 POINTS (-110). 

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