Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Phoenix Suns (39-28) take on the Milwaukee Bucks (43-24) Sunday with tip-off from Fiserv Forum set for noon ET (ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Suns lead 1-0 after 114-106 home win Feb. 6.

The Suns narrowly covered as 10.5-point favorites in a 107-96 win at the Charlotte Hornets Friday. G Devin Booker led 6 scorers in double figures with 21 points and had 11 assists and 6 boards to boot. The Suns are 6-4 over their last 10 and are tied for 6th in the conference with the Sacramento Kings.

The Bucks are trying to stave off the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2nd spot in the East as they sit just a half-game up on them. Milwaukee polished off a 114-105 win over the Philadelphia 76ers Thursday as 7-point favorites. F Giannis Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 boards and 7 assists as the Bucks ended a string of 3 losses in 4 games.

Suns at Bucks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:07  p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Suns +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Bucks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Suns +2 (-110) | Bucks -2 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Suns at Bucks key injuries

Suns

  • G Josh Okogie (abdomen) questionable

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (hamstring) questionable
  • G Malik Beasley (back) questionable
  • F Khris Middleton (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Suns at Bucks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 116, Suns 110

Moneyline

The Suns won the 1st matchup in Phoenix by 8 points. G Damian Lillard missed that game due to injury, and Booker (32) and F Kevin Durant (28) combined for 60 points.

The Bucks have won 7 of the last 10 meetings – including all 5 in Milwaukee. They’re 26-7 on their home court this season, and unless Giannis gets ruled out, I like the BUCKS -130 or you can lay the points.

Against the spread

Each of the last 10 meetings were decided by more than 2 points. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games while Phoenix is just 3-7 over its last 10.

Take the BUCKS -2 (-110), and I expect the spread to lengthen as the opening tip gets closer.

Over/Under

The Suns are just 2-8 O/U over their last 10, and the Bucks are 2-7-1. Head-to-head, the Over is 4-5-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. I think the only way this Over hits is if Milwaukee muscles up for 120+, and they have only done that 3 times in their last 10.

LEAN UNDER 226.5 (-110).

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NBA Finals: Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks Game 3 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks NBA Finals Game 3 odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Milwaukee Bucks (0-2) host the Phoenix Suns (2-0) Sunday in Game 3 of the NBA Finals at Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Suns-Bucks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Phoenix held serve at home for the first two games of the series, scoring 118 points in each game and the Suns have a plus-12 in offensive rating thus far in the Finals.

Including the regular season, the Suns have covered all four meetings with the Bucks this season and the Over has cashed in all four contests.

Giannis scored a game-high 42 points on 15-for-22 shooting with 12 rebounds in Game 2. However, Phoenix’s backcourt has been fantastic this series as PG Chris Paul and SG Devin Booker are averaging a combined 56.5 points and 14.5 assists per game.

Suns at Bucks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Suns +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Bucks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Suns +4 (-110) | Bucks -4 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 221.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Suns at Bucks: Key injuries

Suns

  • SF Torrey Craig (knee) questionable
  • PF Dario Saric (knee) out

Bucks

  • SG Donte DiVincenzo (foot) out

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Suns at Bucks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bucks 116, Suns 113

Money line (ML)

PASS because while I’m on Phoenix plus the points the Suns (+145) is just not a big enough payout to take a stab at the underdog’s money line.

Before the Finals started I picked Phoenix to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy but while the Suns have won all four meetings with the Bucks this season I’m not ruling out Milwaukee’s chances at getting back into this series.

Everyone counted the Bucks out when they were down 0-2 heading back to Milwaukee in their Eastern Conference Semifinals series with the Brooklyn Nets but things happened and they ended up stealing that series.

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Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the SUNS +4 (-110) for a half unit since Phoenix has an edge in three of the “four factors” in this series and it’s just too easy for the Suns to get what they want against Milwaukee’s defense.

Both All-Stars in Phoenix’s backcourt like to operate in the mid-range and Milwaukee had the 20th-ranked defensive field goal percentage on mid-range jumpers during the regular season, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Also, the Suns have the third-highest 3-point percentage on corner attempts and the Bucks have the worst defensive 3-point percentage vs. corner threes.

Wait until closer to tip-off before making a wager on Game 3 because the market is backing Milwaukee in this spot and has steamed the Bucks up from a 3.5-point favorite to the current number.

Typically a “contrarian” approach to sports gambling is more profitable than following the herd.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the OVER 221.5 (-115) for 1 unit because Giannis should continue his sensational play against the Suns in Game 3 and I expect him to get more help from PG Jrue Holiday and SF Khris Middleton in this game.

Also, as I mentioned earlier, there are too many ways for Phoenix’s offense to get points on Milwaukee’s defense.

Lastly, there are plenty of situational trends suggesting a higher scoring affair including the Over cashing in six straight Suns-Bucks meetings, Phoenix’s 24-20 O/U record on the road and Milwaukee’s 25-19 O/U record at home.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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