The Golden State Warriors (8-24) host the Phoenix Suns (11-19) for a 10:30 p.m. ET tip-off at the Chase Center. We analyze Suns-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
This is the second Warriors-Suns game of the season and first since Steph Curry fractured his wrist against the Suns October 30.
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Suns at Warriors: Key injuries
Suns
- C Deandre Ayton (ankle) out
- SF Kelly Oubre Jr. (groin) probable
Warriors
- PG Steph Curry (wrist) out
- SG Klay Thompson (knee) out
- C Kevon Looney (abdominal) out
- SF Eric Paschall (hip) questionable
Suns at Warriors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Warriors 118, Suns 114
Moneyline (ML)
Throw out the trends in this matchup because the Warriors have housed the Suns since the rise of the Splash Bros. Besides the Suns winning the last two matchups, the Warriors have won 18 games straight, including 13 double-digit wins, against the Suns.
We are handicapping for a revenge game. As in the Warriors will be motivated to beat a Suns team after Steph Curry broke his wrist when colliding with Phoenix C Aron Baynes in their October 30 game. This effectively derailed the Warriors’ 2019-20 campaign, with Klay Thompson already out for the season and Kevin Durant taking his talents to Brooklyn, and I see that motivating the Warriors to victory tonight. Take the WARRIORS +135 (the Suns are -162).
New to sports betting? A $100 wager on the Warriors returns a profit of $135 if they win outright.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
If we are going to take the Warriors on the moneyline, then we have to feel great about betting the WARRIORS +3.5 (-115). The Warriors are playing better recently — winning their last three games, including the Christmas game against a good Houston Rockets team. Also, the Warriors should be able to get buckets against a bad Suns defense that ranks 25th in opponent’s points per game, 28th in opponent’s field-goal percentage and 26th in opponents 3-point percentage.
Over/under (O/U)
The total skews to the OVER because the combined O/U record of the Warriors-Suns is 32-30 and both teams are below average on defense. But the Uunder is 5-1 in their last six meetings and both teams struggle from deep (Suns ranked 19th and Warriors ranked 29th in 3-point %). So, I’m only leaning towards OVER 223.5 (-115).
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