With the series tied 2-2, the 4th-seeded Phoenix Suns travel to Colorado to face the top-seeded Denver Nuggets in Game 5 of the Western Conference semifinals. Tip-off is 10 p.m. ET at Ball Arena (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
After the Nuggets took the first 2 games of the series at home, the Suns bounced back with 2 wins in Phoenix.
In Game 4, both G Devin Booker and F Kevin Durant scored 36 points in a 129-124 win. Nuggets C Nikola Jokic scored 53 points in the loss.
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Suns at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Suns +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Nuggets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Suns +5.5 (-110) | Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Suns at Nuggets key injuries
Suns
- G Chris Paul (groin) out
Nuggets
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Suns at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Suns 123, Nuggets 118
Moneyline
It has now been 8 straight matchups in which the home team has won. Between the Suns and Nuggets, the last time the road team won was a 140-130 OT win by the Suns in March 2022.
The Nuggets were a league-best 34-7 at home in the regular season and are 5-0 on their home court in the postseason. While the Suns are 0-2 in Denver this series, they were 2-0 on the road in their 1st-round series.
Booker and Durant are carrying the Suns with their scoring and, even with Paul out, the offensive pace is maintained with G Cameron Payne in the starting lineup.
The Suns will get the upset.
BET SUNS (+180).
Against the spread
In every game of the series, the outright winner covered the spread. But we are banking on a Phoenix upset win, which is a significantly better payout than the spread.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Over has hit in 3 of the 4 games this series and in 7 of the last 10 games between the 2 teams. Excluding Game 3, the winner has scored over 120 points. In fact, the winner has scored 119 or more points in 8 of the last 10 matchups, which makes going Over 227.5 fairly easy to do.
BET OVER 227.5 (-110).
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