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The Phoenix Mercury (12-10) and Indiana Fever (9-14) meet Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ION). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mercury vs. Fever odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Fever lead 1-0
The Mercury have won 3 in a row after a 100-84 demolition of the Dallas Wings as 7.5-point home favorites Wednesday with the Over (172.5) cashing. G Kahleah Copper led the way with a game-high 32 points with 5 rebounds and 4 assists with G Diana Taurasi out — she’ll also miss Friday’s game due to injury. C Brittney Griner had a solid performance in the win, finishing with 23 points, 4 boards, 4 assists, 3 steals and 2 blocks — she was 9-for-15 from the field, including 2-for-2 behind the 3-point line.
The Fever have alternated wins and losses over the last 5 games with the latest being an 89-84 loss as 7-point home favorites vs. the Washington Mystics Wednesday. G Caitlin Clark had 29 points, 13 dimes, 5 boards and 3 blocks while going 5-for-9 from distance — she hit 10 of 11 free throws, too.
Mercury at Fever odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mercury -130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Fever +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread: Mercury -1.5 (-115) | Fever +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -120 | U: -110)
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Mercury at Fever picks and predictions
Prediction
Fever 86, Mercury 83
Moneyline
The Fever stunned the Mercury — with Taurasi in the lineup — 88-82 at Phoenix June 30. Indiana was an 8-point underdog. Clark had just 15 points on a 4-for-14 performance, including 2-for-10 from 3-point range, but she had 12 assists and 9 rebounds.
I think they dropped their most recent game to the 6-17 Mystics because they were looking ahead to this one. Phoenix being without Taurasi will hurt and open some things up for Clark.
BET INDIANA (+105).
Against the spread
When the Fever lose, they usually don’t cover. They’ve only done so once in their last 5 defeats. So PASS on that.
However, MGM has a Lion’s Boost of CAITLIN CLARK 3+ THREE-POINTERS AND FEVER ML (+240). Add the 33% Any Sport Boost token to make that a whopping +319 where a $100 bet profits $319!
Clark has 3+ 3-pointers in her last 2 games and 5 of her last 7.
Over/Under
The Under 175 hit in the 1st head-to-head matchup, and Phoenix is without Taurasi. The Under is 5-2 for Phoenix in its last 7. The Under is 4-1 in Indiana’s last 5.
Take the UNDER 173.5 (-110).
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