The Philadelphia Phillies (4-7) continue their three-game set at the Colorado Rockies (7-3) Tuesday. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Colorado beat Philly 4-1 in the series opener Monday as Rockies SP Chad Kuhl had a quality start with 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K.
Phillies at Rockies: Projected starters
RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Kyle Freeland
Gibson (1-1, 3.09 ERA) makes his third start. He lost at the Miami Marlins 4-3 in his last outing Thursday as he surrendered 4 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 6 K over 4 2/3 IP.
- vs. Rockies on the current roster: 2.87 FIP with a .135 batting average (BA), .201 wOBA, .188 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.4 K% and 84.3 mph exit velocity (EV) in 59 plate appearances (PA).
Freeland (0-2, 10.00 ERA) makes his third start. He was shelled 5-2 in a home loss to the Chicago Cubs Thursday. He went 5 1/3 IP, allowing 5 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 1 K.
- 2021 vs. Phillies: Loss, 6-1, in 6 IP with 4 ER on 5 H and 4 BB in one start.
- vs. Phillies on the current roster: 6.77 FIP with a .205 BA, .310 wOBA, .412 xSLG, 19.2 K% and 83.8 mph EV in 52 PA.
Phillies at Rockies and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Phillies -135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Rockies +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Phillies at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockies 5, Phillies 4
Money line
LEAN to the ROCKIES (+110) only because the Phillies have the better starter on the hill and I prefer Colorado’s RL.
Gibson’s FIP is lower than his ERA and he grades in the 72nd percentile or better in EV, hard-hit rate, K%, whiff rate and expected wOBA, according to Statcast.
However, Colorado’s lineup and bullpen have been much more productive than Philly’s to start the year. Philly is also 14-22 overall as a road favorite since the beginning of last season and the Rockies are 53-36 at home over that span.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) since they are 33-19 RL as home underdogs since 2021 and the Phillies are 8-28 RL as road favorites with a minus-2.6 RL margin along that span.
Philly’s bullpen also has the second-most blown saves since the start of last season. Colorado’s lineup is underrated so if it can keep this game within a few runs when Philly brings in its bullpen the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) can sneak in the backdoor.
BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (-135) for 0.75 units.
Over/Under
PASS because this is a sharp total, the Rockies have played more to the Under as home underdogs since last season and the Phillies have played more to the Under as road favorites.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]