The Philadelphia Flyers (11-15-7) take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (20-7-6) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto on Thursday. Puck drop is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Flyers vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Flyers picked up a 5-3 victory against the Columbus Blue Jackets o Tuesday and have won 2 of the last 3 games. However, since Nov. 10 Philadelphia is just 4-12-5 in the previous 21 contests.
The Maple Leafs snapped a 2-game skid with an emphatic 4-1 victory at home over the Tampa Bay Lightning Tuesday. Toronto has picked up wins in 5 straight at home, while going 7-0-2 in the last 9 at Scotiabank Arena.
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Flyers at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Flyers +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Maple Leafs -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (+110) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +110 | U: -130)
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Flyers at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Carter Hart (10-9-6, 2.82 GAA, .912 SV%) vs. Ilya Samsonov (9-3-0, 1.98 GAA, .929 SV%, 2 SO)
Hart allowed 3 goals on 33 shots Tuesday against the Blue Jackets, picking up the win. He has allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of his 9 starts in December, going 3-4-2 with a 2.99 GAA and .904 SV% in the month.
Samsonov allowed 5 goals on 28 shots in Washington against his former team, the Capitals, on Saturday. That 5-2 loss snapped his 5-start win streak and it splashed cold water on the hot goalie, who had a pair of shutouts against the Anaheim Ducks and Los Angeles Kings to start the month.
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Flyers at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Maple Leafs 4, Flyers 1
Moneyline
The Maple Leafs (-300) will cost you 3 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive. While the Flyers (+250) are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings with the Leafs, and 1-4 in the last 5 trips to Toronto, PASS, and look to the puck line instead.
Puck line/Against the spread
The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (-130) are a little more reasonably priced. The home team has won 11 of the last 15 in this series, and Toronto has won by 3 or more goals in each of the last 4 meetings.
Over/Under
UNDER 6.5 (-130) is the lean, but go lightly with a half-unit play at best.
While the Leafs certainly have a potent offense, the Flyers will have trouble solving Samsonov, who had allowed just 2 total goals in his 4 starts prior to the Washington debacle. Look for Samsonov to get back on track, shutting down the toothless Philadelphia offense.
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