Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers odds predictions pick betting line

Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (41-22) take on the Indiana Pacers (29-36) on Monday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Pacers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The 76ers edged out the Milwaukee Bucks 133-130 Saturday to cover as 5-point road underdogs. Philadelphia is currently 4.5 games behind the Bucks for the No. 1 seed and 3 games back of the Boston Celtics for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Pacers covered as 5.5-point road underdogs in Sunday’s 125-122 victory over the Chicago Bulls. Indiana is only 1.5 games behind the Washington Wizards for the final play-in spot in the Eastern Conference.

This will be the third meeting between the 76ers and the Pacers this season. Philadelphia won both of the first 2 meetings as they split against the spread and the Over/Under.

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76ers at Pacers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Pacers +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -6.5 (-110) | Pacers +6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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76ers at Pacers key injuries

76ers

F Tobias Harris (calf) questionable
F P.J. Tucker (back) questionable

Pacers

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

76ers at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 125, Pacers 115

Moneyline

AVOID.

The 76ers (-250) should be able to secure the win on Monday, but taking them outright at the current odds isn’t advised with the minimal return you’ll receive if they do win.

Against the spread

76ERS -6.5 (-110) is the pick here despite some people likely seeing this as a trap game for Philadelphia. The 76ers are coming off an impressive come-from-behind win over the Bucks Saturday and they realize they can close the gap for the No. 1 seed with a win on Monday.

Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under

OVER 233.5 (-108) is the lean in a massive pace-up game for the 76ers. The Pacers won’t have an answer for C Joel Embiid and G James Harden has been more consistent in the scoring department recently.

Indiana has hit the Over in 4 of its last 5 games against a team with a winning record and the Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (8-5) visit the Indiana Pacers (5-8) Saturday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Philly lost three straight home games entering Saturday to the Toronto Raptors, Milwaukee Bucks and New York Knicks, all without All-NBA big Joel Embiid. The Sixers are 7-6 ATS and 5-7-1 O/U with the fourth-best net rating (plus-5.1) regardless.

Indiana split its four-game road swing 2-2 overall but covered three of those games including an upset victory at the Utah Jazz as 10.5-point underdogs. The Pacers are 7-6 ATS and 4-9 O/U with the 17th-ranked net rating (plus-0.3).

The Sixers were 2-1 overall and ATS in their regular-season series with the Pacers last year. However, Embiid only played in one of those games, and he dominated, while Simmons played in all three.

76ers at Pacers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers +133 (bet $100 to win $135) | Pacers -165 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +3.5 (-108) | Pacers -3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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76ers at Pacers key injuries

76ers

C Joel Embiid (health and safety protocols) out
SF Matisse Thybulle (health and safety protocols) out
PG Ben Simmons (personal) out

Pacers

SF Caris LeVert (back) questionable

76ers at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 109, 76ers 102

Money line

PASS with a “lean” to the Pacers (-165) because it’s on the fringe of my price range for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.

Indiana’s implied win probability based on the money line is 63% and I think the Pacers win this game two-thirds (67%) of the time. But, I’ll opt to lay the points with Indiana instead.

Against the spread

The absence of Embiid has cratered Philly’s defense and rebounding. Over the past three games, the Sixers rank 22nd in defensive rating and dead-last in rebounding rate.

Also, Philly’s defense is allowing the most second-chance points per game and most fastbreak points per game since Embiid went on the COVID list.

So the Sixers are giving up easy baskets because they are missing their defensive centerpiece and aren’t grabbing boards.

On the other hand, Indiana has the fifth-best effective field goal shooting, scores the sixth-most second-chance points per game and has the seventh-highest offensive rebounding rate.

Finally, the Pacers have played much better at home this season and have rebounded well from a terrible October. Indiana is 3-2 ATS at home with a plus-4.7 spread differential and has the seventh-best net rating in November.

BET the PACERS -3.5 (-112) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 214.5 (-115) for a small wager if anything at all because I much prefer Indiana’s spread as my favorite play in this game.

That said, both teams play at a bottom-10 pace and Indiana’s defense has improved over the past couple of weeks. Also, Indiana’s massive rebounding edge slows this game down even further.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Pacers have the lowest frequency of transition offense and the second-lowest frequency of transition off of live rebounds. The Pacers are looking to dominate the boards and grind the Sixers down.

However, my hesitancy with the UNDER 214.5 (-115) is the vast majority of the market is on the Under (according to Pregame.com) and we are getting the worst of the number. The 76ers-Pacers total opened at 217.5 and all the action on the Under has steamed the total down to a less playable number.

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