Tiger Woods: 2024 PGA Championship prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2024 PGA Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

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Tiger Woods will put a tee in the ground again this week at the 2024 PGA Championship, his 1st start since the Masters in April. Woods primarily focuses on playing the majors at this point in his career and at the PGA Championship, he’ll be vying for his 5th Wanamaker Trophy.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2024 PGA Championship odds and prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Woods returns to Valhalla Golf Club where he won the 2000 PGA Championship, so he knows the course well. He also played the 2014 PGA Championship at Valhalla, but missed the cut after shooting back-to-back rounds of 74.

With 15 career majors, Woods is looking to add to his total this week, but it’ll be a huge challenge against a loaded field in Kentucky.

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Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship odds and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:56 p.m. ET.

To win (+20000)

It’ll take a minor miracle for Woods to win at a course like this. It’s not that he doesn’t have the length off the tee to make it happen, but it’s a difficult walking course and as we’ve seen in just about every start he’s made since his leg injury, fatigue becomes a factor and it’s difficult for him to stay in the mix for all 4 rounds. PASS.

Top-5 finish (+2800)

Going to have to pass on Woods to finish in the top 5, too. He hasn’t finished in the top 20 of a major since his 2019 Masters win, with just 1 placement better than 37th in that span.

Top-10 finish (+1400)

Woods will need to have a near-perfect week in order to crack the top 10 at Valhalla. There’s just too much talent in this field.

Top-20 finish (+600)

Since 2014, Woods only has 4 finishes in the top 20 at a major. Even at +600 odds, they’re just too long to feel comfortable betting.

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More Tiger Woods odds and predictions

Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes +140 | No -190

It’s tempting to bet Woods to make the cut, which will be the top 70 plus ties. In a field of 156 players, he really only needs to be slightly better than the top half, which is doable for just 2 rounds.

Top American finisher (+15000)

Not happening. This is a loaded field when it comes to American golfers, led by Scottie Scheffler. PASS again.

Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship first-round odds

  • Leader +12500 (bet $100 to win $12,500)
  • Top 5 +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200)
  • Top 10 +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100)

If there was a top-20 option available, that might be tempting because all it takes is 1 good round for him to be near the top of the leaderboard. However, even a top 10 at +1100 isn’t worth playing.

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Tiger Woods: 2024 Masters prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2024 Masters with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

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Tiger Woods doesn’t tee it up very often anymore, but with a lifetime invite to the Masters, he’ll once again be in the field at Augusta National this week. Woods, a 5-time Masters champion, has the longest odds of his career to win this year but an outright wager isn’t the only way to bet on the Big Cat.

There are a bunch of prop bets available on the market this week, from Woods to make the cut to a top-40 finish. Considering he can play Augusta National with his eyes closed, it’s never a bad idea to bet Woods in some form or fashion when he heads to Georgia.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2024 Masters odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

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Tiger Woods’ Masters odds and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:18 a.m. ET.

To win (+12500)

Woods hasn’t won since the 2019 ZOZO Championship, which came 6 months after his Masters win. He hardly plays due to his various injuries, primarily his leg ailment, and when he does, it’s difficult for him to finish all 4 rounds. Other than sentimental reasons and a desire to cheer for a fun story, betting Woods to win anything right now isn’t a worthwhile wager, especially at Augusta.

Top-5 finish (+2200)

The overall level of talent in golf has never been stronger than it is right now, making it incredibly challenging to even finish top 5 in any tournament. Woods has his work cut out for him, even if his swing is on. Walking around Augusta isn’t easy with all of the hills and sloping terrain.

Top-10 finish (+900)

Woods has 14 top-10s in 25 trips to Augusta, but only one since 2015, which was his win in 2019. PASS on this bet.

Top-20 finish (+350)

Woods was once automatic for a top-20 spot at the Masters, finishing there in 7 consecutive appearances from 2005-2011 and 17 times in his career. It’s still not worth betting him for a top-20 finish at this number, though. PASS.

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More Tiger Woods odds and predictions

Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes +100 | No -135

Here’s where the real value is. Woods has made the cut in the Masters 24 times in 25 attempts, with the lone exception being 1996 before his win a year later. He’s made the cut in 23 consecutive years and will be trying to set the record with 24 straight made cuts at Augusta. With a line of +100, it’s easy to get behind Woods to play the weekend again.

Top former winner group (+3500)

Woods has the 9th-best odds in this market, which is predictably led by Scottie Scheffler at +110. There are too many players still in their prime who are former winners to make this a good bet for Woods – players such as Jon Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth and even Dustin Johnson.

Top American finisher (+8000)

This is similar to betting Woods to win outright, except without players such as Rory McIlroy, Rahm, Matsuyama and others. PASS.

Tiger Woods’ Masters first-round odds

  • Leader +6600 (bet $100 to win $6,600)
  • Top 5 +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
  • Top 10 +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
  • To make 4 or more birdies/eagles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • To shoot 72 or lower +115 (bet $100 to win $115)

It’s a bit safer to bet Woods’ 1st-round market than the full-tournament lines because there’s always a chance he either A) withdraws or B) runs out of steam on the weekend and falls down the leaderboard like he did in 2022.

I really like his odds to make at least 4 birdies/eagles in the 1st round with how favorable the 4 par-5s are at Augusta. He had 4 birdies in Round 1 in 2020 and 3 each in 2021 and 2022. Even when he shot an opening 74 last year, he had 3 birdies.

I’d feel better about him shooting 72 or lower in Round 1 if the odds were a bit longer, but that’s also a bet to consider.

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Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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