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2024 PGA Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2024 PGA Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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Louisville will be the center of the golf world this week with the 2024 PGA Championship in town for the 2nd major of the year. Valhalla Golf Club is hosting this storied event for 2nd time in 10 years. In 2014 Rory McIlroy won it to claim his 3rd major championship. The 1st round tees off on Thursday morning from Kentucky.

Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s 2024 PGA Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler hasn’t played since winning the RBC Heritage the week after winning the Masters, but he’ll be back in the field this week following the birth of his 1st child and in search of his 2nd straight major title. He’s the betting favorite again at +450, followed by McIlroy (+750) and Xander Schauffele (+1400), who dueled on Sunday at the Wells Fargo Championship. Reigning PGA Champion Brooks Koepka is at +1600 in his quest for a 4th Wanamaker Trophy.

The field also includes 4-time PGA Championship winner Tiger Woods, who opens at +15000 to win. Woods finished 60th at the Masters (+16).

Valhalla Golf Club is yet another long PGA Championship course, coming in at 7,609 yards. It’s a par 71, making it an even more challenging track at that length. It was designed by Jack Nicklaus and opened in 1986 and this is the 4th time it is hosting a PGA Championship (1986, 2000, 2014). Hitting the fairway is critical because of how lush the rough is, penalizing players for missing with errant tee shots.

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PGA Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:32 p.m. ET.

Brooks Koepka (+1600)

Koepka is a big-game hunter and the PGA Championship is his specialty. He’s won this event 3 times already, claiming the title in 2018, 2019 and 2023. He finished 2nd in 2021 at Kiawah, too, behind only Phil Mickelson. Koepka did not have a good week at the Masters (T-49, +9), but he’s since gotten back on track, finishing 10th in Adelaide and winning in Singapore, his last 2 LIV starts. With a U.S. Open-type layout, Koepka has the ability to grind through 4 rounds better than most players.

Ludvig Aberg (+1800)

Aberg withdrew from the Wells Fargo Championship last week due to a knee injury, but that seems to be more of a precaution than a serious ailment for the 24-year-old star. In his 1st career major start at the Masters in April, he finished 2nd, showing that no stage is too big for him. He has the all-around game to win a PGA Championship, too, being one of the best drivers and long-iron players in the world.

Rory McIlroy (+750)

This number was a bit higher before McIlroy won in convincing fashion at Quail Hollow on Sunday, but he’s still worth betting at +750. He’s now won in back-to-back starts and heads to Valhalla where he won the 2014 PGA Championship. With the Masters pressure behind him, he can play more freely in Louisville this week knowing this event doesn’t come with the burden of attempting to complete the grand slam.

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PGA Championship picks – Contenders

Will Zalatoris (+6000)

In Zalatoris’ last 5 starts at the PGA Championship and U.S. Open, he’s finished 6th, 8th, MC, 2nd and 2nd. Few players in the world have had better recent success in those 2 major championships than Zalatoris, and it’s largely because the best ball-strikers rise to the top in these events. He’s a great bet for any PGA Championship, especially at +6000. That number is much longer than you’d expect from his major history.

Cameron Smith (+4000)

The biggest concern with Smith is his driving accuracy. He can get a bit wild off the tee, which at a course like Valhalla can be particularly penalizing. But if he can manage to keep it in the short grass, he’ll be peppering these greens to give himself good looks at birdies. And when he misses the green, he has an excellent short game to scramble and recover for pars. He’s finished 13th and 9th in his last 2 PGA Championship starts.

Jason Day (+5500)

Day is a past PGA Champion, winning in 2015 at Whistling Straits. He struggled in this championship in recent years but he has 6 career top-10s in the PGA Championship. Day is playing well at the moment, fresh off a T-4 at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, a good test before the year’s 2nd major.

PGA Championship picks – Long shots

Jake Knapp (+17500)

Knapp has all the talent in the world, but he can be inconsistent, particularly with his driver. When the timing of his swing is off, he tends to have a bad left miss off the tee, which has hurt him in recent months. But as we saw at the Mexico Open and Cognizant Classic in back-to-back weeks when he finished 1st and 4th, he’s a star when the swing is timed up properly. He has the length to conquer Valhalla, too.

Alex Noren (+12500)

It’s been 3 months since Noren finished worse than 24th in any event. He’s on a heater right now and while that may not translate to a major win (he has zero career PGA Tour victories), he’s worth considering at this price. Noren ranks 8th on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green so his ball-striking is fantastic.

Cam Davis (+15000)

Davis was having a good week in Charlotte until he shot 6-over in the final round to tumble down the leaderboard, all the way to T-38. He surprised a lot of people when he came in 3rd at the 2023 PGA Championship and he’s now made the cut in 3 straight years at this major.

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2023 PGA Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 PGA Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2nd major of the year has arrived. The 2023 PGA Championship will take place this week at historic Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, N.Y., a U.S. Open-style course that will challenge the world’s best golfers. The 1st round of the 105th event begins on Thursday morning and the champion will be crowned on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we look at the 2023 PGA Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are unsurprisingly the co-favorites to win this week at +750 – the only 2 players with odds shorter than +1200. Rahm is seeking to win his 2nd major of the year after winning the Masters in April, while Scheffler is attempting to bounce back from a missed cut at the PGA Championship last year. Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay are also among the favorites to win this week.

Players will take on the East Course at Oak Hill, which has been renovated since it last hosted a major in 2013, also the PGA Championship. It underwent a complete restoration in 2019-20, removing a large number of trees and changing the greens to bentgrass after they were previously a mix of bent and Poa annua. Holes were also lengthened, which is why it will play 250 yards longer than it did in 2013. It will now play at 7,394 yards as a par 70, so longer hitters will have an advantage.

The last time Oak Hill hosted a major, Jason Dufner claimed the Wanamaker Trophy in 2013 with a score of 10-under par, 2 clear of runnerup Jim Furyk. This will be the 7th major championship hosted by Oak Hill.

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PGA Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:49 p.m. ET.

Xander Schauffele (+2000)

Schauffele is going to win a major at some point. It feels almost inevitable. This is a great opportunity for him to finally break through with his 1st major championship, playing a course that favors great ball-strikers. Schauffele ranks 5th in strokes gained: approach and 19th in putting, which allows him to convert greens in regulation into birdies at a high rate; he’s 21st in birdie average this season.

Viktor Hovland (+3000)

Hovland is 29th on tour in total strokes gained, and that’s despite being 136th in strokes gained: putting. So that tells you how well he’s hitting the ball from tee to green, ranking 18th in that department. Though his last 2 starts have been disappointing (T-59 and T-43), he’s having a terrific season with 5 top-10s and 9 top-25s in 13 starts. This could be his week to win his 1st major.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+3300)

Oak Hill is a U.S. Open-style course with narrow fairways, thick rough and difficult greens to hit. The reigning U.S. Open champion is Fitzpatrick, who tied for 10th at the Masters last month before winning the RBC Heritage in a playoff with Jordan Spieth. If his back injury is a non-issue, he should be in for a good week at Oak Hill.

PGA Championship picks – Contenders

Adam Scott (+6600)

After a slow start to the season, Scott has come alive in his last 2 starts by tying for 5th at the Wells Fargo Championship and 8th at the AT&T Byron Nelson last week, bookended by 2 rounds of 63 on Thursday and Sunday. His 142nd ranking in strokes gained: approach doesn’t reflect how good a ball-striker he is, and while his putting can run hot and cold, he’s turned things around recently and was +1.46 in SG: putting last week.

Tommy Fleetwood (+5500)

Fleetwood has to feel good about his game coming into the 2nd major of the year. He just tied for 5th at the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow, which is a long and difficult course. A few weeks before that, he tied for 15th at the RBC Heritage. He’s always been a terrific ball-striker and this year is no different; he’s 21st in SG: approach and 9th in SG: tee-to-green. He’s worth a shot at +5500 based on the way he’s been playing.

Sahith Theegala (+6600)

Theegala has shown he has the game for the big stage this season. He tied for 4th at Torrey Pines, 6th at the Genesis Invitational, 14th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, 9th at the Masters and 5th at the RBC Heritage. He already has 7 top-10s in 18 events, and many of those came in designated events. Theegala is wild off the tee, ranking 155th in driving accuracy, but if he can manage to keep it in the fairway this week, he can use his short game to make birdies and save pars around the greens.

PGA Championship picks – Long shots

Gary Woodland (+10000)

Woodland just tied for 14th at the Wells Fargo Championship two weeks ago, which was his 6th straight made cut and 4th consecutive top-40 finish. He already played well in the 1st major of the year, tying for 14th at the Masters. He also notched a top-10 with a T-9 at the Genesis Invitational at Riviera, which is a challenging and narrow course. As a former U.S. Open champion, he knows what it takes to win a major.

Keegan Bradley (+10000)

Bradley doesn’t really have a weakness in his game right now, ranking 32nd in strokes gained: total. His putter can hold him back at times, and he’s just 68th in that category this year, but he’s 41st in SG: off the tee and 51st in SG: approach, two key stats this week. With a win and 7 top-25 finishes in 14 starts so far this season, Bradley is quietly having a good year.

Tom Hoge (+17500)

Hoge has always been heralded as an elite iron player, which has continued this season. He’s currently 2nd in strokes gained: approach, ranking 15th in greens in regulation (69.7%). He also hits 64.6% of the fairways, which ranks 28th on tour this year, so he doesn’t often get himself in trouble. Driving accuracy and iron play will be essential this week, making Hoge a worthwhile longshot. He’s made the cut in all 3 of his PGA Championship starts with his best finishing being T-9 last year.