UFC on ESPN 12: Mike Perry vs. Mickey Gall odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 12 fight between Mike Perry and Mickey Gall, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

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Mike Perry and Mickey Gall tangle in a welterweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 12 – also known as UFC Fight Night 174 – Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the main card set for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Perry (13-6) heads into this one looking to pick himself up and dust himself off after being dropped in his last fight, a Round 1 loss to Geoff Neal Dec. 14, 2019 at UFC 245. In fact, Perry is on a two-fight skid and is 2-5 over his past seven fights, so he could use a signature win. Five of the past eight have ended up going the distance, with Perry on the short end in three of those bouts. His specialty is the knockout, and four of his six victories at the UFC level have come via KO/TKO.

Gall (6-2) doesn’t have a long fight history as a pro, but most of it has been very good. In seven fights at the UFC level, he has recorded five victories, with four wins by submission. He is 5-0 as a professional via submission, too. Gall has never won a fight by KO/TKO, although he was knocked out by Diego Sanchez at UFC 235 (March 2, 2019). Only two of Gall’s fights have been decided by the judges, with one a unanimous decision victory over Salim Touahri Aug. 3, 2019 on the UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler card.


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Mike Perry vs. Mickey Gall betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 26 at 6:45 a.m. ET.

Perry (-313) is just too expensive on the 2-way line, especially considering he is just 2-5 across his past seven bouts. Still, he has fought an impressive array of fighters, and Gall (+250) is a drop in quality of an opponent. In fact, if Perry can avoid Gall’s unorthodox methods and just brawl, avoiding him on the mat, Perry will cruise to the win. Still, Perry is a bit of an enigma, and betting him straight up by laying more than three times your potential return is a bit worrisome. AVOID.

PERRY TO WIN BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (-164) is a little more palatable, although you still have to munch on some considerable chalk. Get specific for values, namely by betting rounds. Look for the fight to FINISH IN ROUND 2 (+300), so you can turn a tidy profit if that comes into fruition. PERRY TO WIN BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 2 (+500) is worth a roll of the dice, too. I’d AVOID the total number of rounds bet here, but if you must, UNDER 2.5 rounds (-264) should be the play.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Perry (-313) would bet a profit of only $3.19. A $10 wager on Perry to win by KO/TKO, DQ or Submission (-164) nets a profit of $6.10. A $10 play on Perry to win by KO/TKO/DQ in Round (+500) would fetch a nice return of $50 profit.

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