Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Penguins (5-6-2) and Toronto Maple Leafs (7-4-3) meet Friday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Penguins vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Penguins picked up a 4-1 win at the Washington Capitals Wednesday, stopping an 0-6-1 skid. Prior to the victory over the Caps, the last win for Pittsburgh had been way back on Oct. 22 at the Columbus Blue Jackets. The victory also snapped a streak of 8 straight games allowing 3 or more goals.

The Maple Leafs were tripped up 4-3 in overtime against the Vegas Golden Knights Tuesday, snapping a 3-game win streak. Toronto has won 5 straight games against Eastern Conference teams dating back to their regular-season opener Oct. 12 in Montreal

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Penguins at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penguins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Maple Leafs -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Penguins +1.5 (-190) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -117 | U: -103)

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Penguins at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Tristan Jarry (4-3-1, 3.38 GAA, .903 SV%) vs. Erik Kallgren (1-1-3, 2.99 GAA, .890 SV%)

Jarry coughed up 3 goals on 28 shots in a loss against the Seattle Kraken Saturday last time out in a 3-2 setback, and he is winless in his past 4 outings dating back to Oct. 22 in Columbus.

Kallgren was on the short end of the 4-3 OT loss against Vegas Tuesday, yielding 4 goals on just 20 shots. He is 1-0-1 with a 2.15 GAA and .912 SV% in 2 starts and 3 appearances overall in November.

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Penguins at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Penguins 3

Moneyline

The MAPLE LEAFS (-155) are moderate favorites and worth playing at this price.

Toronto has won 6 of its last 8 at home against Pittsburgh, the home team has cashed in 6 of the past 7 meetings, with the favorite going 5-2 in past 7 in the series.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Penguins +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward.

Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 across the past 8 games, and 5 of those losses are by 2 or more goals.

PASS.

Over/Under

OVER 6.5 (-117) is a good play here.

The Over has cashed in 15 of the past 21 games for Pittsburgh while going 19-7 in its last 26 games against Eastern Conference opponents dating back to last season.

There is some risk here, as the Under is 10-4-1 in the past 15 games overall for the Leafs and is 5-0 in the last 5 between these squads in Toronto, so be careful.

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