In a bantamweight bout on the main card, Pedro Munhoz and Sean O’Malley meet Saturday at UFC 276 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 276 Munhoz vs. O’Malley odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 6 p.m. ET, followed by the prelims on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. The main card on Pay-Per-View starts at 10 p.m.
Munhoz takes the walk to the octagon as the overwhelming underdog. The Brazilian fighter, a.k.a. “The Young Punisher”, has mostly been punished himself lately, going 1-4 across his first 5 outings. Each of those fights have ended up going the distance, with the only win a unanimous-decision victory over Jimmie Rivera in Feb. 2021.
Munhoz’s latest showing resulted in a unanimous-decision loss to Dominick Cruz at UFC 269. The 135-pounder has the physical disadvantage, too, as O’Malley stands 5 inches taller while holding a reach advantage of 7 inches.
O’Malley is known for his wild colored mop of a haircut, but he is much more than just a gimmick. He is a knockout machine, registering 5 KO/TKO wins in his past 6 fights, while getting knocked out himself against Marlon Vera at UFC 252. In 16 career pro fights, 12 have resulted in KO/TKO (11-1).
The favorite holds a 8.26-to-5.50 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while also posting a 63.01% significant strikes accuracy percentage, to just 45.52% for Munhoz. The takedown and submission average numbers are basically the same for both fighters.
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UFC 276 Munhoz vs. O’Malley odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Munhoz +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | O’Malley -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Total rounds Over 2.5 (-125) | Under 2.5 (-110)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+105) | No (-145)
[tipico]
UFC 276 Munhoz vs. O’Malley picks and predictions
Records: Munhoz (19-7-0) | O’Malley (15-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
O’Malley (-300) will cost you 3 times your potential return, so avoid that. There is just no value playing the favorite straight up.
However, while Munhoz (+225) has never been knocked out in his career, he hasn’t faced a fighter with the rapid-fire punching ability of O’Malley. He never leaves things in the hands of the judges to decide. There is a special BOOSTED prop bet titled: Talk the Talk, Walk the Walk: SEAN O’MALLEY TO WIN BY KO/TKO (+180) to nearly double your return.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-110) is a good bet here despite the fact Munhoz has ended up going the distance in each of his past 5 outings.
O’Malley just doesn’t mess around, and 4 of his past 6 fights haven’t even gotten out of the first round, with 2 PPV events going into the third. As such, NO (-145): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE looks to be the safest play on the board, if you want a little more time as insurance.
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