Tag: Panthers Maple Leafs odds picks prediction over/under betting line

The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs meet in Game 5 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference semifinals series Friday. The Panthers lead the series 3-1. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Maple Leafs posted a 2-1 win in Game 4 at FLA Live Arena in Sunrise on Wednesday, staving off elimination for the time being.

Even more surprising, rookie Joseph Woll made his NHL postseason starting debut, kicking aside 24 of the 25 shots he faced for his 1st playoff win. Now, can he do it again? Ilya Samsonov left Game 3 due to an upper-body injury, and he is a question mark for Game 5.

The Panthers were on the other end of a 3-1 series against the Boston Bruins in the 1st round before rattling off 3 straight wins. Florida made history, eliminating the President’s Trophy winner from the regular season. Now, Florida is looking to avoid becoming the 5th team in NHL playoff history to blow a 3-0 series lead.

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Panthers at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:21 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Maple Leafs -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-165) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Panthers at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (24-20-3, 3.07 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO – regular season) vs. Joseph Woll (6-1-0, 2.16 GAA, .932 SV% – regular season)

Bobrovsky allowed just 23 of 25 shots in Game 4, but he was on the short end to halt a 6-game winning streak. He wasn’t bad, allowing just a power-play goal to William Nylander at 3:29 of the 2nd period, and an even-strength goal to Mitchell Marner at 10:03 of the 3rd.

Woll was successful in his 1st NHL postseason start, saving 24 of the 25 shots he faced. He was staked to a 2-0 lead, and the only goal he allowed came off the stick of Sam Reinhart on a power play. He got a piece of the shot, but the puck just trickled in over the line for Florida’s lone goal.

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Panthers at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 3, Panthers 2

Moneyline

The Maple Leafs (-175) are a little on the expensive side in Game 5, and I can’t trust a team which has lost both games on home ice so far in this series. Yes, Toronto has a little momentum after staving off elimination in Game 4, but they still have a rookie goalie making his 1st-ever home playoff start. The pressure has been ratcheted up after playing with little expectations last time out.

PASS.

Puck line/Against the spread

The PANTHERS +1.5 (-165) are not priced out of line if you want a little insurance and don’t trust Florida straight up. The Panthers are 2-0 in the first 2 skates at Scotiabank Arena in this series, while winning 5 straight games on the road in this postseason since dropping Game 1 in Boston.

Still, I can’t pick Florida on the moneyline, either, as they’re due for a road setback. However, this should be another 1-goal game. The last 3 games have been decided by a single goal, while 4 of the last 5 games have been 1-goal games, too.

Over/Under

The UNDER 6.5 (+100) is a value play in Game 5. We have had the Under cash in 4 straight games in this series, and there is no reason to get away from it now.

Woll turned heads with a tremendous outing in Game 4, and Bobrovsky has allowed exactly 2 goals in each of the 4 games in this series. At even-money, this is a tremendous wager.

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The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs meet in Game 2 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference semifinals series Thursday. The Panthers lead the series 1-0. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers doubled up the Maple Leafs in Game 1 in a 4-2 victory at Scotiabank Arena as the Under (6.5) just came through.

Florida got off to a good start when Nick Cousins opened the scoring with the only goal of the 1st period. Sam Bennett added to the lead at 7:58 of the 2nd period, before Matthew Knies responded just 11 seconds later to slice the lead in half.

At 2-1, Michael Bunting scored his 1st of the playoffs to level the game. The good times lasted less than 3 minutes, though, as Carter Verhaeghe scored his 11th career postseason goal at 17:47 of the second period. Not only did that goal give him the most in Florida’s postseason history, but it stood up as the game-winning goal. Brandon Montour tacked on an insurance marker at 12:24 of the 3rd period.

The Leafs pulled the tendy with over 3 minutes to go, but there was no goal with an extra attacker, nor did Over bettors benefit from an empty-net goal by the Panthers.

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Panthers at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:13 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Maple Leafs -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-160) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +110)

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Panthers at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (24-20-3, 3.07 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO – regular season) vs. Ilya Samsonov (27-10-5, 2.33 GAA, .919 SV%, 4 SO – regular season)

Bobrovsky allowed just 2 goals on 36 shots in the series opener win. He has now won 4 consecutive starts after suffering a setback in Game 4, his 1st start of the postseason. He had allowed 3 or more goals in each of the previous 4 outings, too.

Samsonov was on the short end of a 4-2 setback, and he coughed up 4 goals on 28 shots. He is now 0-2 with a 6.17 GAA and .825 SV% in his 2 Game 1 appearances in the playoffs. The good news is that he is 4-1 with a 2.42 GAA and .919 SV% in his other 5 postseason appearances.

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Panthers at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 5, Panthers 3

Moneyline

The Maple Leafs (-185) are a little on the pricey side for Game 2, especially since they laid a giant egg in the series opener on home ice for the 2nd consecutive series.

My personal limit is -180 for a standalone moneyline bet. There is just no value betting heavy favorites at this mark, or any higher.

PASS, and look to the puck line instead.

Puck line/Against the spread

The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+135) should show up with a lot more urgency in Game 2, which will be a must-win situation on home ice. Toronto cannot afford to go into an 0-2 hole before the series shifts to South Florida.

It responded with a 7-2 win in Game 2 against Tampa Bay after an embarrassing Game 1 setback. I expect the Maple Leafs to respond in similar fashion.

Over/Under

The OVER 6.5 (-130) is a little on the expensive side, but it might be the best play on the board in Game 2.

We had a total of 6 goals on the board midway through the 3rd period in Game 1, and with an extended period of time with an extra attacker, and an empty net for the Leafs, we should have gotten a 7th goal either way. It never came into fruition, and Over bettors were left scratching their heads.

The Over is still 10-5-1 in the past 16 meetings in this series, while going 5-2-1 in the previous 8 encounters in T-Dot.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs meet in Game 1 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference semifinals series Tuesday. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers erased a 3-1 series deficit in the Conference Quarterfinals to stun the top overall seed Boston Bruins in 7 games. Florida won a wild 4-3 overtime game at TD Garden on Sunday, and the Panthers have scored 15 goals across the past 3 games. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row for Florida.

LW Matthew Tkachuk and D Brandon Montour finished the opening round tied with 5 goals while Tkachuk added 6 assists to lead with 11 points. Montour had 2 of the team’s 5 power-play goals against the Bruins.

The Maple Leafs have home-ice advantage in this series, but Toronto is just 1-2 in 3 home playoff games and was 3-0 in 3 overtime victories on the road against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Toronto won 3 of the 4 regular-season meetings against Florida, with 3 of the games going to overtime. Its only loss in the series was on March 29 at Scotiabank Arena in OT. The Over/Under split in the 4 meetings, with the Under cashing in each of the past 2 battles.

RW Mitchell Marner posted 2 goals with a team-best 11 points and a plus-9 rating in the first round, and he led the team with 4 power-play points (1 G, 3 A). C Auston Matthews notched a team-best 5 goals in the first round.

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Panthers at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Maple Leafs -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-185) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Stream the NHL all season on ESPN+, with your team’s out-of-market games, exclusive games, originals and more. Get ESPN+ now!

Panthers at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (24-20-3, 3.07 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO – regular season) vs. Ilya Samsonov (27-10-5, 2.33 GAA, .919 SV%, 4 SO – regular season)

Panthers coach Paul Maurice switched gears after Game 3 in the Boston series, benching G Alex Lyon in favor of Bobrovsky. Bob made a relief appearance in Game 3, and he started the final 4 games, going 3-1-0 with a 3.94 GAA and .891 SV% in his 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Samsonov went 4-2-0 with a 3.14 GAA and .900 SV% in the 6-game series win against the Tampa Bay Lightning, with 3 of the final 4 games going to OT (all victories). He saved his best for last, kicking aside 31 of the 32 shots he faced in Game 6 in Tampa.

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Panthers at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 3

Moneyline

The MAPLE LEAFS (-160) are moderate favorites, and a little pricey considering the Panthers are steaming in with a lot of confidence.

However, Toronto enters this game brimming with confidence too, as it enters off its first playoff series win since 2004.

Florida has lost 4 straight games in the Conference Semifinals round and is just 2-9 in the past 11 trips to Toronto.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Panthers +1.5 (-185) are just a little too expensive for my liking. I am just not feeling Florida in Game 1, as I think it might have a little bit of a hangover after the emotional series clincher in Boston on Sunday. Plus, the home team is 15-5 in the past 20 meetings between these clubs.

While 3 of the 4 regular-season meetings went to overtime and thus decided by a single goal, you can’t risk nearly 2 times your potential return for some insurance.

PASS.

Over/Under

The OVER 6.5 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.

Both of these teams brought the offense in Round 1, as the Panthers posted 25 goals in the final 6 games of their series with the Bruins and allowed 3 or more goals in each of the 7 outings. The Over cashed in the final 4 games and 5 of the final 6 in the round.

The Leafs scored 23 goals and allowed 21 goals in their 6-game series with the Lightning. The Over cashed in the first 4 games of the series before defense took over in Games 5 and 6.

The Over is 10-4-1 in the past 15 meetings between the Panthers and Leafs, including 5-1-1 in the past 7 battles in Toronto.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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