The San Diego Padres (23-15) wrap up a two-game series with the Los Angeles Angels (12-25) on Thursday at 9:40 p.m. ET in Angel Stadium. Below, we analyze the Padres-Angels MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Series: San Diego leads 1-0.
Padres at Angels: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Mike Clevinger (Padres debut) vs. LHP Andrew Heaney
Clevinger (with Cleveland Indians): 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 in 22 2/3 IP over 4 starts.
- Last start: No-decision with 6 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 6 K and 1 BB in a 6-3 win over the Minnesota Twins Aug. 26.
- Career vs. Angels: 4-0 with a 2.94 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 33 K and 14 BB in 33 2/3 IP over 6 starts.
Heaney: 2-2 with a 4.62 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 10 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 37 IP over 7 starts.
- Last start: Win, 3-2, with 7 2/3 IP, 4 H, 10 K and 2 BB versus the Seattle Mariners Aug. 28.
- Heaney pitched against San Diego once in his career, recording a no-decision over 7 1/3 IP with 4 H, 6 K and 1 BB in a 6-3 win in 2018.
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Padres at Angels: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Padres
- C Francisco Mejia (thumb) out
- LF Wil Myers (undisclosed) out
- OF Tommy Pham (hand) out
- RP Kirby Yates (elbow) out
Angels
- SS David Fletcher (ankle) questionable
- C Max Stassi (quadriceps) out
- SS Franklin Barreto (COVID-19) available
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Padres at Angels: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Padres 7, Angels 2
Moneyline (ML)
It’s Clevinger’s debut for the PADRES (-143) and the Angels (+130) are a good team for him to begin his San Diego tenure facing. In Angel Stadium, Clevinger is 2-0 with a 0.79 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 11 K over 11 1/3 IP spanning 2 starts.
San Diego’s bullpen is the weaker part of its pitching staff but Clevinger’s quality start percentage is 12 points higher than the league average and he’s going to want to impress in his first Padres start.
TAKE PADRES (-143). New to sports betting? A $143 bet on the Padres (-143) earns a $100 profit if San Diego beats Los Angeles outright.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Wednesday’s game was competitive until the top of the 8th when the Padres put up an 8-run inning in what turned out to be an 11-4 mopping of the Angels. That’s how it goes against a lineup as good as San Diego’s.
C Jason Castro, a Padres trade deadline acquisition, got the rally started with a 2-run double and 1B Eric Hosmer capped the inning with a 3-run homer.
Heaney is coming off his best outing of the year but that was against a mediocre Mariners lineup. His BABIP (batting average on baseballs in play) is .320 which is a bad stat heading into a matchup with a Padres lineup top-3 across several categories.
BET PADRES -1.5 (+105). New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Padres -1.5 (+105) earns a $52.50 profit.
Over/Under (O/U)
I’d PASS ON THE TOTAL in Padres-Angels (8.5 runs and -110 odds for either side). My handicap has Clevinger putting up a quality start but Los Angeles hits 44 points higher against righties and righties have a 2-plus run higher ERA versus the Angels. There is too much power in both lineups to take the Under.
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