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The Indiana Pacers (39-31) take on the Golden State Warriors (36-32) Friday with tip-off from Chase Center set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Warriors lead 1-0
The Pacers steamrolled the Detroit Pistons Wednesday night by a 122-103 final. They covered as 11-point favorites and are 5-5 straight up and ATS over the last 10. G Tyrese Haliburton had an easy 20 points, 9 assists and 4 steals in 26 minutes of action.
The Warriors have traded wins and losses in the last 10 games as well. The latest was an eradication of the Memphis Grizzlies, 137-116, Wednesday at home. G Stephen Curry played just 24 minutes and scored 14 points.
Pacers at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pacers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Warriors -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +4.5 (-105) | Warriors -4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Pacers at Warriors key injuries
Pacers
- F Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out
- F Obi Toppin (ankle) questionable
Warriors
- F Draymond Green (back) probable
- G Moses Moody (knee) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Pacers at Warriors and predictions
Prediction
Pacers 119, Warriors 117
Moneyline
The Warriors ran the Pacers out of their own building with a 131-109 victory Feb. 8. Haliburton had 5 points during a rough stretch for him and the squad.
I’m going against the grain and predicting payback. The Pacers actually beat the Warriors 3 straight times before that laugher. The craziest stat of all, to me, is the Warriors are just 18-18 at Chase Center — a place they have made a gauntlet for opposing teams.
Take the value with PACERS +155.
Against the spread
I’m sticking with the ML value and foregoing the spread.
Here’s an interesting prop to consider, though. Haliburton has played in 10 games this month, and he has hit three 3-pointers in 1 of them. He’s shooting just 17.6% from distance this month.
Take TYRESE HALIBURTON UNDER 2.5 3-POINTERS (-155).
Over/Under
The Pacers are just 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and the Dubs are 5-5. The Over is just 4-6 in the last 10 meetings between the squads. The Under 248.5 hit in the 1st matchup, and that’s where I’m headed here.
LEAN UNDER 239.5 (-105).
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