Pacers Bucks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Pacers (6-9) lock up in NBA Cup group play against the Milwaukee Bucks (6-9) Friday at Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pacers vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Pacers won 4-1 in ’23-24 regular season and 4-2 in first round of playoffs

The Pacers laid an egg in a 130-113 loss at the Houston Rockets Wednesday night. They failed to win and cover in the fourth of 5 games as 5.5-point dogs. G Tyrese Haliburton had 4 points and 8 dimes in 30 minutes in a nauseating performance.

After some rumblings of some discontent in the locker room, the Bucks have livened up. They’ve won 4 of 5 with the latest being a 122-106 victory over the Chicago Bulls Wednesday. F Giannis Antetokounmpo had 41 points, 9 boards and 8 assists.

Pacers at Bucks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Bucks -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread: Pacers +5.5 (-110) | Bucks -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pacers at Bucks key injuries

Pacers

G Andrew Nembhard (knee) out
G Aaron Nesmith (ankle) out
C James Wiseman (Achilles) out

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
F Khris Middleton (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pacers at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 120, Pacers 108

Moneyline

The Pacers are a hot mess, and the Bucks are the clear side here. They’re too expensive on the ML, though.

Giannis averaged 42.2 points and 13 rebounds in 5 regular-season games vs. Indy last year. Take GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 45.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS (-110).

Against the spread

Again, the Pacers are 1-4 straight up and ATS over their last 5, and they’re getting very little from Haliburton. Take the BUCKS -5.5 (-110) to cover at home.

Over/Under

While Indiana is struggling offensively, the Pacers are getting blitzed defensively, leading to 4 straight Over cashes. Meanwhile, the Bucks have cashed 2 straight Unders and are 3-7 O/U in their last 10.

I don’t trust the Pacers to score enough to hit an Over. Take the UNDER 237.5 (-115).

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Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks meet in Game 5 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Tuesday. The Pacers lead the series 3-1. Tip-off from Fiserv Forum is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pacers covered as 10.5-point home favorites with a 126-113 win in Game 4 Sunday as the Over (215) hit.

The Bucks went into Game 4 with a brutal injury report, missing G Damian Lillard (Achilles) and F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf). But on top of that, F Bobby Portis got tangled up with Pacers G Andrew Nembhard and was ejected in the middle of the 1st quarter. That left just 2 Bucks regular-season starters to keep with with this Pacers team.

The Bucks offense was still able to keep things relatively close, shooting 51.1% from the floor, but their defense was a liability. The Pacers shot 51.2% from beyond the arc, which proved to be the difference in the 13-point win.

The Pacers won the regular-season series 4-1.

Pacers at Bucks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Bucks +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers -4.5 (-105) | Bucks +4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pacers at Bucks key injuries

Pacers

G Tyrese Haliburton (back) questionable
G Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) doubtful
G Patrick Beverly (oblique) probable
G Damian Lillard (Achilles) doubtful
F Khris Middleton (ankle) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pacers at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 105, Pacers 99

Moneyline

Yes, Milwaukee is banged up, but you still have to remember that Indiana is the 6th seed in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks are actually 4-1 (80%) as home underdogs, while the Pacers have the 6th-worst win percentage as road favorites at 53.3% (8-7).

I like the value here for the BUCKS (+145), especially with a smaller wager since you can also take the points for a better chance of winning.

Against the spread

As I mentioned above, since I like Milwaukee straight up, I certainly like them at +4.5.

BET BUCKS +4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Both teams shot over 50% from the floor last game, and the centers shot it from deep. Pacers C Myles Turner made 7 of 9, while Bucks C Brook Lopez made 3 of 5. That kind of efficiency will be an outlier as both teams clamp down on defense.

Indiana will need to show that it can actually keep teams from scoring if it intends to make any kind of playoff run, while Milwaukee needs to keep its season alive.

LEAN UNDER 216.5 (-110).

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Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 6-seed Indiana Pacers and 3-seed Milwaukee Bucks meet in Game 2 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Tuesday. The Bucks lead the series 1-0. Tip-off from Fiserv Forum is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Stephen A. Smith has a saying that the great ones will get you 1. It refers to Allen Iverson carrying the Philadelphia 76ers to 1 win against the mighty Los Angeles Lakers in the 2001 NBA Finals. G Damian Lillard got Milwaukee 1 and reminded everyone that even at 33 years old, it’s still Dame Time. He dropped a franchise-record 35 points in the first half of Game 1 as the Bucks prevailed 109-94 without F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf).

The Pacers held him scoreless in the 2nd half as he attempted just 5 shots, but the damage was done. The Pacers shot just 8-for-38 (21%) from 3-point range, and G Tyrese Haliburton had just 9 points. F Pascal Siakam had his way with 36 points and 13 boards, but it wasn’t enough. F Bobby Portis Jr. (15 points, 11 boards) and F Khris Middleton (23 points, 10 boards) each had double-doubles for Milwaukee.

Pacers at Bucks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Bucks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +1.5 (-115) | Bucks -1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pacers at Bucks key injuries

Pacers

F Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pacers at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 115, Bucks 110

Moneyline

No road team has won a game in the playoffs this year since entering the best-of-7 format. That changes here.

Giannis is listed as doubtful, but he’s not playing. If the Bucks lost Game 1, maybe you could see them risk it, but a calf injury requires time. The books agree, as the Bucks are merely -120 favorites.

The Pacers were 4-2 against the Bucks this season, and they won 2 in this building. Take the PACERS +100.

Against the spread

There’s no point in taking the spread here, as we’re going with the value on the ML.

The Pacers scored a league-high 123.3 PPG in the regular season and were held below 99 points for the 1st time in Game 1. They’ll respond. Take PACERS OVER 110.5 TOTAL POINTS (-140).

Over/Under

The Under 230 cashed in Game 1, and the market has corrected itself down 7 points. The trends and historical data are a moot point. Without Giannis, the numbers are heavily skewed, but what we can count on is the Bucks to approach 110, and I believe the Pacers shoot better than a measly 21% from 3.

Take the OVER 223.5 (-110).

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Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (31-38) face the Milwaukee Bucks (50-19) Thursday at Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pacers lost 117-97 to the Detroit Pistons on Monday as 4-point road favorites. Indiana is only 1 game behind the Washington Wizards for the No. 10 seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Bucks beat the Phoenix Suns 116-104 on Tuesday to cover as 1-point road favorites. Milwaukee is 2.5 games ahead of the Boston Celtics for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Pacers and the Bucks meet for the 3rd time this season. Milwaukee won and covered the spread in each of the 1st 2 meetings, while the Over was also achieved in both meetings.

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Pacers at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Bucks -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +13.5 (-110) | Bucks -13.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Pacers at Bucks key injuries

Pacers

G Chris Duarte (ankle) out
G Tyrese Haliburton (ankle) questionable
G Buddy Hield (foot) questionable
G Bennedict Mathurin (ankle) out
G T.J. McConnell (back) questionable
C Myles Turner (back) questionable

Bucks

G Grayson Allen (foot) out
F Jae Crowder (calf) probable
C Brook Lopez (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pacers at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 126, Pacers 110

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Bucks should have no trouble securing the victory at home on Thursday against a hobbled Pacers squad, but taking them straight up at the current odds (-1100) isn’t a wise idea.

Against the spread

BUCKS -13.5 (-110) is the pick in this game with the Pacers potentially being without multiple starters. Meanwhile, F Giannis Antetokounmpo, F Khris Middleton, and G Jrue Holiday are absent from the injury report for Milwaukee.

The Bucks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a losing record, while the Pacers are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 road meetings.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 236.5 (-108).

Even with the Pacers potentially missing a couple of starters, there should be plenty of points scored in this contest. Indiana is 7-1 to the Over in its last 8 games against a team with a winning record, and Milwaukee is 8-2 to the Over in its last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record.

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Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (23-21) visit the Milwaukee Bucks (27-16) Monday with tip-off from Fiserv Forum set for 2:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pacers are on a 3-game losing streak after Saturday’s 130-112 loss vs. Memphis as7.5-point home underdogs. The Pacers only had 1 player top 20 points and they shot 37% from the field while allowed Memphis to shoot 55% from the field.

The Bucks lost both games of a 2-game series at the Miami Heat on Thursday and Saturday, largely a result of an injury to superstar F Giannis Antetokounmpo. With him more than likely back in the lineup look for the Bucks to end their 2-game losing streak.

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Pacers at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:19 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Bucks -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +10.5 (-105) | Bucks -10.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Pacers at Bucks key injuries

Pacers

C Goga Bitadze (illness) questionable
F Kendall Brown (tibia) out
G Tyrese Haliburton (knee) out
C Daniel Thies (knee) out
C Myles Turner (back) questionable

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
G Jrue Holiday (ankle) probable
F Serge Ibaka (personal reasons) out
F Joe Ingles (knee) out
G Kris Middleton (knee) out
F Bobby Portis (quad) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pacers at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 107, Pacers 103

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Bucks should win this game at home vs. an injured Indiana squad. Neither team is hot, nor particularly healthy, but the Bucks have a home court advantage and Pacers C Turner is injured and he’d likely be the primary defender on Giannis. The line is a reaction to that, and while the Bucks should win, I disagree with how drastic the line is.

Against the spread

BET PACERS +10.5 (-105).

The recent trends for Indiana suggest that the spread should be the best bet, but beyond that I believe this spread is outrageous for 2 teams as battered up as these. Indiana is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 day of rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after an ATS loss.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 225.5 (-108).

The Under is 5-1 in the Pacers last 6 Monday games and is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 games overall. With 2 teams that are banged up and solid defensively the under will always be safely, especially when even the stars for both teams are both injured.

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Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (19-39) visit Fiserv Forum Tuesday to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (35-23). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Pacers split up two- and three-game homestands with this quick trip to Milwaukee. They’ve failed to cover six straight games, most recently losing 129-120 to the Minnesota Timberwolves as 7.5-point underdogs.

Indiana is just 25-30-3 against the spread (ATS) this season and is just 11-15-2 ATS while on the road. The Pacers have failed to cover both times they’ve been double-digit underdogs in their last 10 games.

Milwaukee is playing the second night of a back-to-back set, losing by 122-107 to the Portland Trail Blazers as an 11.5-point favorite Monday. The Bucks were without two-time MVP F Giannis Antetokounmpo due to left ankle soreness.

Milwaukee has covered four of its last six games and 5 of its last 10. The Bucks have the fourth-worst home ATS record at just 11-18 ATS.

Pacers at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: Pacers +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Bucks -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +12.5 (-115) | Bucks -12.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Pacers at Bucks key injuries

Pacers

G Chris Duarte (toe) out
C Myles Turner (foot) out
G Malcolm Brogdon (Achilles) questionable

Bucks (not officially submitted)

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (ankle) questionable
G Pat Connaughton (hand) out
G George Hill (neck) questionable

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Pacers at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 126, Pacers 111

Money line

PASS.

The Bucks (-1000) are too expensive to play, but the Pacers (+600) are 6-22 straight up on the road this season and not worth the gamble despite the juicy payout. You should look to the spread for value instead of either money line option.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the BUCKS -12.5 (-105).

The pricing into this line seems to assume Antetokounmpo will play.

It would be smart to wait until that’s confirmed to play this line. With Giannis in the lineup, the Bucks have covered both times they’ve been double-digit favorites in their last 10 games.

The Bucks have just about every edge, and G Jrue Holiday should get the assignment of guarding the Pacers’ newly-acquired G Tyrese Haliburton.

The former Kings’ guard has been playing well but will meet one of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA. Holiday ranks seventh in defensive loose balls recovered per game.

The Bucks also rank fourth in offensive rating and the Pacers rank 29th in defensive rating over their last five games.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 231.5 (-112).

The Pacers’ have averaged 116.5 points per game in two games since the trade deadline, but they’ve allowed 124.5 per game. The Bucks have the sixth-ranked offensive rating in the NBA on the season.

The Pacers are 8-1-1 O/U in their last 10 and are 31-26-1 overall. The Bucks have gone Over in five straight outings and in 8 of their last 10. They’re 28-30 O/U this season.

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Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (12-17) head to the Cream City Wednesday for an 8 p.m. meeting with the Milwaukee Bucks (18-11) at Fiserv Forum. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Indiana had its three-game winning streak snapped Monday in a 102-100 home loss to the Golden State Warriors, but they covered as 4-point underdogs.

The Pacers are 3-3 straight-up (SU), 3-2-1 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the sixth-best efficiency differential over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Milwaukee got worked in a 117-103 loss at the Boston Celtics Monday, stopping a two-game winning streak. Also, Giannis Antetokounmpo was added to the NBA’s COVID list and will be sidelined for at least this game.

In the last 14 days, the Bucks are 5-3 SU, 2-6 ATS and 4-4 O/U with the 12th-ranked efficiency differential per CTG.

The Bucks have beaten the Pacers in nine of the last 10 meetings (8-2 ATS) including six straight and both meetings so far this season. Giannis has scored 28.0 points, 11.5 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game in the two Pacers-Bucks games this season.

Pacers at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Pacers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Bucks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers -2.5 (-107) | Bucks +2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pacers at Bucks key injuries

Pacers

SG Justin Holiday (health and safety protocols) out

Bucks

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo (health and safety protocols) out
SF Khris Middleton (knee) questionable

Pacers at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 109, Bucks 104

Money line

“LEAN” to the PACERS (-135) because, as it stands right now, the Bucks (+110) are going to be without three, perhaps four starters if Middleton cannot suit up.

Furthermore, Indiana is better than its record indicates and has a higher efficiency differential so far this month. The Pacers’ minus-5.0 win differential is the highest in the NBA (CTG), which essentially means Indiana should have five more wins.

That said, I only “LEAN” to the PACERS (-135) because if Middleton can play, then Milwaukee is still talented enough to get past Indiana. The Bucks have been home underdogs only four times over the past three years. Also, the Pacers are just 3-10 SU on the road this season.

Against the spread

PASS since I only “lean” to Indiana outright and don’t like that wager enough to lay it with the Pacers -2.5 (-107). For what it’s worth, Indiana is 15-13-1 ATS, and Milwaukee is 12-17 ATS this season.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 217.5 (-110) because Milwaukee slows down the tempo when Giannis isn’t on the floor, and the Pacers rank 23rd in pace of play. Plus the Under has cashed in nine of Indiana’s last 10 road games.

However, I cannot fully endorse an Under wager in this spot because I do think the ball will move better with Giannis out of the lineup. Even backups in the NBA can knock down open threes if the ball is moving well.

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