Tag: outright winners

2023 John Deere Classic odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 John Deere Classic, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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Following Rickie Fowler’s dramatic win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, the PGA Tour heads to Silvis, Ill., for the 2023 John Deere Classic. The 1st round will begin on Thursday morning at TPC Deere Run as players continue to tune their game before The Open Championship.

Below, we look at the 2023 John Deere Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Denny McCarthy and Russell Henley share the top of the board as the co-favorites to win this week, coming in with odds of +1400. Last year’s champion, J.T. Poston, is also in the field and is +4000 to defend his title at TPC Deere Run. Cameron Young (+2000) and Ludvig Aberg (+2200) are among the other notables teeing it up this week.

TPC Deere Run is a par 71 and will play at 7,289 yards this week. Players should be able to go low again on this course, with the winning score being 21-under last year and 19-under in 2021. Unlike last week’s tournament at Detroit Golf Club – the flattest course on tour – there’s a lot of elevation change on this course.

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John Deere Classic – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:10 a.m. ET.

Emiliano Grillo (+3300)

Grillo has played really well in the last 2-plus months, winning the Charles Schwab Challenge and posting 2 other top-10s with another 2 top-25 finishes – including 2 weeks ago when he finished T-15 at the Travelers Championship. He tied for 2nd at the John Deere Classic last year so he seems to like the layout at TPC Deere Run.

Eric Cole (+3500)

Cole hasn’t finished worse than T-39 in his last 4 starts and has 3 top-25s with 1 top-10 in that span. Translation: He’s playing some great golf at the moment and has all season. With 3 top-10s and a runner-up already this year, Cole could finally break through with a win this week at Deere Run.

John Deere Classic picks – Contenders

Chez Reavie (+5500)

Reavie showed that his T-4 at the Travelers Championship wasn’t just because of his course familiarity because he tied for 29th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on Sunday despite a final-round 71. He has 3 straight top-30 finishes coming into this week. In 2021, he finished T-18 at this tournament.

Mark Hubbard (+5000)

Before missing the cut in each of the last 2 weeks, Hubbard finished in the top 10 twice in his previous 3 starts, along with a T-30 at the Memorial Tournament. He tied for 13th at last year’s John Deere Classic.

John Deere Classic picks – Long shots

Lucas Glover (+8000)

Glover has played a lot this season and though he’s only made the cut in 11 of his 21 starts, he’s a decent long-shot bet this week. He shot 64 and 65 on the weekend at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and was the 2021 John Deere Classic champion, so he’s combining recent form with past course history this week.

Chesson Hadley (+9000)

Hadley has gone 43rd-24th-33rd in his last 3 starts coming into the John Deere Classic, where he tied for 10th last year. He hasn’t found himself in real contention this year, but at +9000 with back-to-back top-35 finishes at this tournament, he’s a worthy long shot.

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2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

It may not be a designated event like last week’s Travelers Championship, but the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit will feature its strongest field ever this week. The 1st round at Detroit Golf Club begins Thursday morning

Below, we look at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

This is just the 5th year of the Rocket Mortgage Classic since it was added to the PGA Tour schedule in 2019. Nate Lashley won the 1st edition of it, followed by Bryson DeChambeau, Cameron Davis and Tony Finau. In addition to Finau, Max Homa, Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Sungjae Im and Tom Kim are all teeing it up in Detroit.

Detroit Golf Club will play significantly longer than TPC River Highlands did last week, coming in at 7,370 yards as a par 72 course. The club features a pair of 18-hole courses, but the majority of the tournament will be played on the North Course, with just 1 hole coming on the South Course, according to the PGA Tour. It’s a tree-lined venue that ranks as the flattest course on the PGA Tour calendar, without much in the way of hazards, either. Finau holds the 72-hole scoring record of 262, set in 2022.

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Rocket Mortgage Classic – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+1800)

Im has been a bit off for the last 6 weeks or so, finishing no better than T-29 in his last 5 starts, including 3 missed cuts. However, he appeared to regain some form at the Travelers Championship, a birdie fest similar to the one we’ll see this week in Detroit. This event fits Im perfectly, finishing in the top 21 in 2 of his 3 starts here – including a T-8 two years ago.

Tom Kim (+2000)

Kim looked uncertain at times during the Travelers Championship and absolutely dialed in at others. He tied for 38th after finishing 8th at the U.S. Open, firing rounds of 64 and 65 on Friday and Sunday to stay in contention. He came in 7th here last year so the course obviously suits his eye pretty well.

Cam Davis (+3300)

Davis fired a final round 63 at the Travelers to tie for 33rd, a nice bounce-back from 3 straight missed cuts. He now comes to an event that he won in 2021 and tied for 14th last year. He’s been excellent off the tee this season (9th in strokes gained), which should give him an edge this week, but he needs to dial in his irons.

Rocket Mortgage Classic picks – Contenders

Ludvig Aberg (+5000)

I’ll keep betting Aberg as long as he keeps playing the way he has. He already has 3 top-25 finishes in 4 starts this season, going T-25 and T-24 in his first 2 events as a pro. He has a complete game from tee to green, with his only real weakness being his play around the greens. I expect him to have another good week in Detroit.

Austin Eckroat (+6600)

Eckroat has made the cut in 7 straight starts this season and is currently playing some of his best golf after tying for 10th at the U.S. Open and 24th at the Travelers last week. With 3 top-10s and 1 runner-up already this season, Eckroat could be in line for his 1st victory.

Rocket Mortgage Classic picks – Long shots

Nate Lashley (+9000)

Lashley won the 1st edition of the Rocket Mortgage Classic in 2019. He’s been somewhat of a mixed bag lately, with 2 missed cuts and a 17th-place finish in his last 3 starts, but he knows this course well.

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2023 Travelers Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Travelers Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

There will be no break for the game’s top players after the year’s toughest test. Following the U.S. Open, the PGA Tour is heading to Cromwell, Conn., for the 2023 Travelers Championship – a designated event with a loaded field, led by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and U.S. Open champion  Wyndham Clark.

Below, we look at the 2023 Travelers Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler (+650) leads a star-studded field that also features Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Viktor Hovland. Schauffele won this tournament last year by 2 shots over J.T. Poston. The Travelers Championship has often drawn some of the biggest names but there’s never been a field as strong as this one at TPC River Highlands.

The course isn’t a very long one. It’s a par 70 and plays at 6,841 yards and was designed by Pete Dye, featuring some iconic finishing holes – including the driveable par-4 15th and the par-4 17th hole that bends around a pond. The course reopened in 2016 after a renovation, including reworked bunkers, tees and greens around the venue, which is cut between homes and condos.

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Travelers Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:35 a.m. ET.

Collin Morikawa (+2500)

This is a good course for Morikawa. It’s a 2nd-shot track that requires players to be in the right position off the tee and to be accurate into relatively small greens protected by bunkers. He missed the cut here in 2020, but he tied for 36th in 2019. He’s fresh off a T-14 at the U.S. Open and has put to rest concerns about his back spasms.

Xander Schauffele (+1400)

Schauffele won this tournament last year and tied for 20th in 2020, skipping the event in between in 2021. Though he disappointed on the weekend at Los Angeles Country Club, he fired a tournament-record 62 on Thursday and gained strokes in every category except around the greens (-0.17). He’s a strong candidate to win this event in back-to-back years.

Tommy Fleetwood (+3300)

Fleetwood ranks 72nd on tour in driving distance but you don’t have to be terribly long to win on this course. Fleetwood can flight the ball high and low, which helps with some of the elevation change throughout this course. He fired a 63 on Sunday at LACC and could carry that momentum into this week’s designated event.

Travelers Championship picks – Contenders

Tom Kim (+5000)

Kim showed a lot of poise and skill at the U.S. Open, finishing T-8 after shooting 3-over 73 in the 1st round. He ranked 4th in SG: approach, according to Data Golf, and now heading into an event where strong iron play is essential, he makes a lot of sense to contend at TPC River Highlands. I’m not worried about this being his tournament debut. That hasn’t bothered him in the past and it won’t this week.

Sahith Theegala (+5500)

Theegala had a very good chance to win the Travelers last year, but a drive into the fairway bunker on 18, followed by a thin shot into the lip, doomed his chances. He finished T-2 after doubling the last hole, losing by 2 shots to Schauffele. He hasn’t missed a cut since last October and finished T-27 at the U.S. Open, and this type of event suits him much better as he leads the tour in birdies this season (332).

Russell Henley (+4000)

Henley is the most accurate driver on tour, ranking 1st in fairway percentage (72.68%). On a course that emphasizes accuracy more than length off the tee, Henley is a great fit, especially with how well he hits his irons. He tied for 19th here in 2021, which is the last time he played this event. He’s quietly finished in the top 20 in his last 3 starts, including a T-14 at the U.S. Open.

Travelers Championship picks – Long shots

Brian Harman (+8000)

Harman is an absolute horse for this course. He has 4 top-10s in his last 5 starts here, including a T-8 last year. It’s a venue that seems to fit lefties well, with Bubba Watson winning here 3 times and Phil Mickelson winning twice. Harman is a long shot but his odds shouldn’t be as long as they are, especially after he played relatively well at the U.S. Open.

Harris English (+6600)

English won here in 2021 and enters in good form after tying for 8th at the U.S. Open, finding himself in contention on Saturday and early on Sunday. His odds certainly shortened after his U.S. Open performance, but he’s still worth betting given his course history.

Ludvig Aberg (+12500)

The rookie made his debut as a pro a couple of weeks ago at the RBC Canadian Open and looked more than comfortable en route to a T-25 finish. Now that he’s got the first-start jitters out of the way, he can play more freely and fly under the radar a little more in Cromwell. He has a complete game from tee to green.

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2023 U.S. Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 U.S. Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The 3rd major of the year will be held in Southern California this week as the world’s best players take on Los Angeles Country Club in the 2023 U.S. Open. It’s the toughest test in golf and LACC is fully expected to uphold that tradition in its debut as a U.S. Open course. The 1st round will begin on Thursday from Beverly Hills.

Below, we look at the 2023 U.S. Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler, the No. 1 player in the world, is once again the betting favorite this week (+700) as he seeks to win his 1st U.S. Open title and 2nd career major. Jon Rahm has the 2nd-best odds to win (+1000), followed by reigning PGA Championship winner Brooks Koepka (+1100) in the 3rd spot. Defending U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick is +3300 to keep the trophy this week.

Los Angeles Country Club is going to test every aspect of a player’s game, featuring wider-than-usual fairways for a U.S. Open, but also the iconic deep rough around the greens and lengthy layout. This week, it’ll play as a par 70 at 7,421 yards, with just 3 par 5s and 5 par 3s. The par 3s will be a real brute, with 2 of them playing upwards of 280 yards, making them some of the longest in U.S. Open history. There’s also a par 3, the 15th hole, set to play under 100 yards.

2023 U.S. Open Championship

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U.S. Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Brooks Koepka (+1100)

Koepka is healthy and still fully motivated to win every major he can, already taking home the Wanamaker Trophy at the PGA Championship last month – after finishing T-2 at the Masters in April. It’s reasonable to consider him the favorite this week in a tournament he’s already won twice, absolutely excelling on courses that are challenging and require players to grind.

Xander Schauffele (+2000)

There probably isn’t a player in the world with a better track record in the U.S. Open without a win than Schauffele. He has 5 top-7 finishes in 6 starts in this tournament, with the only exception being a T-14 last year. He’s due for a major title and with his tee-to-green play, this could be the week he gets it done.

Max Homa (+2800)

You’ll hear it a million times this week: Homa knows this place well and holds the course record after shooting a 9-under 61 at the Pac-12 Championship in 2013 when he was at Cal. His major championship track record is nothing to be enamored by – nothing better than a T-40 in his career – but this is the perfect time for him to break through with a strong week in his home state.

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U.S. Open picks – Contenders

Rickie Fowler (+6600)

Fowler has 6 top-10 finishes and a whopping 12 top-25s in 17 starts this season, putting together one of the best years of his career despite not having a victory. In his last 11 stroke play events, he has 9 top-20s, has made the cut 10 times and has finished no worse than a T-31 when he has played the weekend. His last 2 starts were T-6 and T-9 so he comes in in great form, too.

Justin Rose (+4000)

Rose knows what it takes to win this tournament, having done so in 2013. He, too, comes in playing some excellent golf, finishing T-9, T-12 and 8th in his last 3 starts, with the T-9 coming in the PGA Championship after tying for 16th at the Masters. He’s been abysmal off the tee (104th in strokes gained) this season, but with wider fairways, his poor accuracy with the driver will be mitigated.

Tommy Fleetwood (+4000)

There are few players I like more than Fleetwood this week. While you could’ve gotten his odds much longer a few months ago, he’s still worth the price at +4000 with the way he’s playing. He lost to Nick Taylor in a playoff at the RBC Canadian Open on Sunday, which was his 4th top-10 of the season and 7th top-25. Only 9 players rank higher than him in SG: tee-to-green and he’s 6th on tour in total strokes gained. He’s the complete package right now.

U.S. Open picks – Long shots

Min Woo Lee (+12500)

In his last 6 major starts, these are Lee’s results: T-14, MC, T-27, T-21, MC and T-18. Add in a T-6 in his Players Championship debut this year and it’s clear he has the game for marquee events. The young Australian finished T-27 in his U.S. Open debut last year and could follow that up with another high finish this week. He’s worth a long-shot bet.

Eric Cole (+20000)

Cole didn’t play the Masters this year but he tied for 15th at the PGA Championship and tied for 27th at the Players. He nearly won the Honda Classic in February when he lost in a playoff and he’s fresh off a T-6 at the RBC Canadian Open after shooting 63 on Sunday. He has 5 top-25 finishes in his last 7 starts so the recent form is there.

Keegan Bradley (+8000)

Bradley has cooled off a little bit after a hot start to the season, but he’s still made the cut in 5 straight starts with no finish worse than T-48. That stretch includes a T-23 at the Masters and T-29 at the PGA, continuing to play well in the majors the last 2 years.

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2023 RBC Canadian Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

With just 1 week to go until the golf world descends upon Los Angeles for the 123rd U.S. Open, many of the top players will tee it up at Oakdale Golf and Country Club for the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. The 1st round begins  Thursday morning from Toronto, Ontario.

Below, we look at the 2023 RBC Canadian Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rory McIlroy is looking to defend his back-to-back titles this week after winning by 2 shots over Tony Finau last year, the 2nd time he’s won this event since 2019; it was canceled in 2020 and 2021. Finau is taking the week off, but McIlroy (the favorite at +400) will still face some stiff competition from Tyrrell Hatton (+1100), Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400), Sam Burns (+1400), Cameron Young (+1600) and several others.

This tournament changes venues often, though Glen Abbey Golf Course has hosted it the most. This will be the 1st time Oakdale Golf and Country Club hosts the RBC Canadian Open, giving players a new challenge. So it will be difficult to predict this year’s results based on recent finishes by players in the field. Oakdale is a par 72 and plays at 7,264 yards, featuring small greens and plenty of elevation changes.

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RBC Canadian Open – Expert pick(s)

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)

Before missing the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge, Fleetwood notched 3 straight top-20 finishes, including a T-5 at the Wells Fargo Championship. He’s among the best ball strikers on tour, ranking 10th in strokes gained: tee to green, which makes him a terrific fit for a course with small greens.

Justin Rose (+1600)

Like his fellow Englishman Fleetwood, Rose is also trending up with 6 straight top-36 finishes and back-to-back top-12s. Though it was a different course, Rose shot 10-under in the final round of last year’s RBC Canadian Open to finish 4th. I love his chances this week at Oakdale.

RBC Canadian Open picks – Contender(s)

Byeong Hun An (+5000)

An finished T-24 at the Memorial Tournament on Sunday, but he hit the ball much better than that number suggests. He ranked 10th in the field in strokes gained: tee to green, primarily struggling on the greens where he lost 0.61 shots to his competitors. He now has 3 straight top-25 finishes and could keep that up this week in Canada.

Matt Kuchar (+4000)

There were a lot of high scores at Muirfield last week, including a 79 and 84 by Kuchar on Thursday and Sunday, respectively. In-between, he shot impressive rounds of 67 and 69, going into the final round at 1-under par before shooting 12-over. He has 7 top-25 finishes already this season.

RBC Canadian Open picks – Long shot(s)

Ludvig Aberg (+8000)

Could Aberg follow Rose Zhang’s path and win his 1st career start as a pro? Don’t rule it out, especially considering this isn’t his 1st PGA Tour event. Earlier this year, he tied for 24th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and also made the cut at the Valspar Championship where he finished T-61. He’ll probably feel some pressure in his pro debut, but Aberg has a ton of talent.

David Lipsky (+8000)

Lipsky was in contention at the Memorial before shooting 5-over on Sunday to finish T-12. He didn’t have any major weaknesses in his game, gaining strokes in all the major categories, led by his 1.24 SG: tee to green. He just made a few too many mistakes on Sunday, but I like his odds to bounce back after also finishing T-16 the week prior.

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2023 Memorial Tournament odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Memorial Tournament, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

It’s once again a strong field teeing it up this year at the 2023 Memorial Tournament, led by the top 2 players in the world, Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm. Muirfield Village plays host to this great event, which many players use as a tune-up before the U.S. Open.

Below, we look at the 2023 Memorial Tournament odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler edges out Rahm as the favorite this week, coming in with +600 odds compared to Rahm’s +750. Patrick Cantlay and Rory McIlroy are  next at +1000, with the former being a 2-time champion in the last 4 years. Billy Horschel is the defending champion but he has long odds at +8000.

Muirfield Village, designed by Jack Nicklaus, is a staple of the PGA Tour schedule. It’s a difficult course that penalizes players for missing the fairways thanks to its thick rough, while bunkers protect the greens and make par saves difficult when missing the putting surface. It’s a par 72 and plays at 7,533 yards after being lengthened a bit 2 years ago.

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Memorial Tournament – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+1000)

Cantlay has won this tournament twice in the last 4 years and he’s also added 2 other top-5 finishes at this event since 2018. He’s got the best track record at Muirfield of any player in the field, and even at +1000, he’s worth betting to win again this week. He hasn’t finished worse than T-21 in a single start since missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February.

Jason Day (+3000)

Day is a member at Muirfield Village, but that doesn’t mean he plays it regularly. He said last year that he only played 9 holes in the previous 2 years despite living just 30 minutes from the course. At the very least, playing here will let Day be close to home, which is a little bit of an advantage. He tied for 4th in 2020 and came in 31st last year, playing well at this course in the past. Though he missed the cut at the PGA Championship, he won the AT&T Byron Nelson the week prior.

Memorial Tournament picks – Contenders

Rickie Fowler (+4000)

Fowler loves this place. In his last 6 starts here since 2017, he’s gone T-2, T-8, T-14, MC, T-11 and T-64 last year. That’s 4 top-15 finishes in the last 6 years, which is an impressive streak at a course that can play so difficult. He bounced back from a MC at the PGA Championship by finishing T-6 at the Charles Schwab Challenge last week, so I like the way he’s trending heading into this week.

Shane Lowry (+4500)

Lowry tied for 12th at the PGA Championship before taking last week off, but he’s back in the field in an event where he tied for 6th in 2021 and 32nd last year. He has the ball-striking prowess to go low on this course, which emphasizes the importance of accurate approach shots into firm greens.

Tom Kim (+5500)

Kim is making his debut at this event, which is something he does often on tour, being such a young player. That hasn’t bothered him in the past and though he’s not the longest hitter, his driving distance won’t hinder him too much this week because it’s not a course that bombers can really overpower. He’s finished in the top 25 in nearly half of his starts this season (8 of 17).

Memorial Tournament picks – Long shot(s)

Justin Suh (+12500)

Suh continues to play some good golf, adding another top 20 at Colonial last week – his 6th top-25 of the season. The only time he’s played the Memorial was in 2019 when he missed the cut, but that’s not something to worry too much about because he’s a significantly better player now than he was as a rookie.

Keith Mitchell (+10000)

Since 2019, Mitchell has played the Memorial 3 times and has finished T-48, T-22 and T-18 – which are pretty good results, especially considering he’s improved his finish each year. He’s struggled a bit recently, with back-to-back finishes outside the top 50, but he could get back on track at Muirfield.

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2023 PGA Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 PGA Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2nd major of the year has arrived. The 2023 PGA Championship will take place this week at historic Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, N.Y., a U.S. Open-style course that will challenge the world’s best golfers. The 1st round of the 105th event begins on Thursday morning and the champion will be crowned on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we look at the 2023 PGA Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are unsurprisingly the co-favorites to win this week at +750 – the only 2 players with odds shorter than +1200. Rahm is seeking to win his 2nd major of the year after winning the Masters in April, while Scheffler is attempting to bounce back from a missed cut at the PGA Championship last year. Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay are also among the favorites to win this week.

Players will take on the East Course at Oak Hill, which has been renovated since it last hosted a major in 2013, also the PGA Championship. It underwent a complete restoration in 2019-20, removing a large number of trees and changing the greens to bentgrass after they were previously a mix of bent and Poa annua. Holes were also lengthened, which is why it will play 250 yards longer than it did in 2013. It will now play at 7,394 yards as a par 70, so longer hitters will have an advantage.

The last time Oak Hill hosted a major, Jason Dufner claimed the Wanamaker Trophy in 2013 with a score of 10-under par, 2 clear of runnerup Jim Furyk. This will be the 7th major championship hosted by Oak Hill.

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PGA Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:49 p.m. ET.

Xander Schauffele (+2000)

Schauffele is going to win a major at some point. It feels almost inevitable. This is a great opportunity for him to finally break through with his 1st major championship, playing a course that favors great ball-strikers. Schauffele ranks 5th in strokes gained: approach and 19th in putting, which allows him to convert greens in regulation into birdies at a high rate; he’s 21st in birdie average this season.

Viktor Hovland (+3000)

Hovland is 29th on tour in total strokes gained, and that’s despite being 136th in strokes gained: putting. So that tells you how well he’s hitting the ball from tee to green, ranking 18th in that department. Though his last 2 starts have been disappointing (T-59 and T-43), he’s having a terrific season with 5 top-10s and 9 top-25s in 13 starts. This could be his week to win his 1st major.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+3300)

Oak Hill is a U.S. Open-style course with narrow fairways, thick rough and difficult greens to hit. The reigning U.S. Open champion is Fitzpatrick, who tied for 10th at the Masters last month before winning the RBC Heritage in a playoff with Jordan Spieth. If his back injury is a non-issue, he should be in for a good week at Oak Hill.

PGA Championship picks – Contenders

Adam Scott (+6600)

After a slow start to the season, Scott has come alive in his last 2 starts by tying for 5th at the Wells Fargo Championship and 8th at the AT&T Byron Nelson last week, bookended by 2 rounds of 63 on Thursday and Sunday. His 142nd ranking in strokes gained: approach doesn’t reflect how good a ball-striker he is, and while his putting can run hot and cold, he’s turned things around recently and was +1.46 in SG: putting last week.

Tommy Fleetwood (+5500)

Fleetwood has to feel good about his game coming into the 2nd major of the year. He just tied for 5th at the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow, which is a long and difficult course. A few weeks before that, he tied for 15th at the RBC Heritage. He’s always been a terrific ball-striker and this year is no different; he’s 21st in SG: approach and 9th in SG: tee-to-green. He’s worth a shot at +5500 based on the way he’s been playing.

Sahith Theegala (+6600)

Theegala has shown he has the game for the big stage this season. He tied for 4th at Torrey Pines, 6th at the Genesis Invitational, 14th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, 9th at the Masters and 5th at the RBC Heritage. He already has 7 top-10s in 18 events, and many of those came in designated events. Theegala is wild off the tee, ranking 155th in driving accuracy, but if he can manage to keep it in the fairway this week, he can use his short game to make birdies and save pars around the greens.

PGA Championship picks – Long shots

Gary Woodland (+10000)

Woodland just tied for 14th at the Wells Fargo Championship two weeks ago, which was his 6th straight made cut and 4th consecutive top-40 finish. He already played well in the 1st major of the year, tying for 14th at the Masters. He also notched a top-10 with a T-9 at the Genesis Invitational at Riviera, which is a challenging and narrow course. As a former U.S. Open champion, he knows what it takes to win a major.

Keegan Bradley (+10000)

Bradley doesn’t really have a weakness in his game right now, ranking 32nd in strokes gained: total. His putter can hold him back at times, and he’s just 68th in that category this year, but he’s 41st in SG: off the tee and 51st in SG: approach, two key stats this week. With a win and 7 top-25 finishes in 14 starts so far this season, Bradley is quietly having a good year.

Tom Hoge (+17500)

Hoge has always been heralded as an elite iron player, which has continued this season. He’s currently 2nd in strokes gained: approach, ranking 15th in greens in regulation (69.7%). He also hits 64.6% of the fairways, which ranks 28th on tour this year, so he doesn’t often get himself in trouble. Driving accuracy and iron play will be essential this week, making Hoge a worthwhile longshot. He’s made the cut in all 3 of his PGA Championship starts with his best finishing being T-9 last year.

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2023 AT&T Byron Nelson odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

Editor’s note: This story was published before Jordan Spieth withdrew from the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson Monday with an injury to his left wrist and J.J. Spaun withdrew Tuesday.

Original story below has been updated, including with the latest odds as of Tuesday at 2:34 a.m. ET.

The last stop on the schedule before the 105th PGA Championship next week is the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, which is being played at TPC Craig Ranch for the 3rd time. The 1st round from McKinney, Texas, tees off on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Dallas native Scottie Scheffler comes in as the heavy favorite (+326) to win in his home state. Tyrrell Hatton (+1200), Jason Day (+1400), Tom Kim (+1400), Hideki Matsuyama (+2200) and 2-time defending champion K.H. Lee, (+2500) are among a group of players with the shortest odds to win this week. The field is slightly weaker than usual with the season’s 2nd major next week at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, N.Y.

TPC Craig Ranch typically plays as a par 72, but the 12th hole has been converted from a par 5 to a par 4 this year. So the course will now play as a par 71 at 7,414 yards. It features wide fairways, which can favor longer hitters, and typically turns into a birdie fest; Lee won the last 2 years with scores of 26-under par and 25-under.

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AT&T Byron Nelson – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:34 a.m. ET.

Seamus Power (+3300)

Power has put together a solid track record at this course, finishing 17th and 9th in the last 2 years. He bounced back nicely from a missed cut at the RBC Heritage by tying for 18th at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, getting back on track before the year’s 2nd major. This is a tournament he should contend in on Sunday.

AT&T Byron Nelson picks – Contender

Scott Stallings (+6600)

Stallings tied for 25th here last year after finishing T-3 in 2021, proving to have the game to compete at TPC Craig Ranch. Stallings already has 4 top-25 finishes this season and has made the cut in 11 of his 15 starts, so he’s having a decent 2023 season.

AT&T Byron Nelson picks – Long shots

Nate Lashley (+10000)

Lashley was squarely in the mix at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, finishing T-27 despite shooting 71 and 75 in the final 2 rounds after opening with a 68 and 66 on the 1st 2 days. He has a little bit of momentum coming into this tournament where he tied for 17th last year.

Justin Suh (+9000)

Suh didn’t play TPC Craig Ranch at the AT&T Byron Nelson the last 2 years but he’s made 8 consecutive cuts this season, has finished in the top 25 five times and has 2 top-10 finishes, too. He’s been a steady player this season and consistently hangs around, which gives him a chance to win on Sunday.

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2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The next designated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club. Many of the biggest names in the game will be in the field for this event, which has a purse of $20 million. The 1st round begins Thursday morning in Charlotte, N.C.

Below, we look at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rory McIlroy headlines this field with Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler taking the week off, but Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth and Tony Finau will all be teeing it up in Charlotte. Defending champion Max Homa is also in the field as there are 8 past champions of this event playing this week.

Quail Hollow didn’t host the Wells Fargo Championship last year because it was preparing to host the Presidents Cup, so the tournament was held at TPC Potomac. Now back at Quail Hollow, McIlroy will be looking to win here again after he claimed the title in 2021. This 7,538-yard par-71 course is among the toughest on tour, ranking as the 5th-hardest in 2021 when it last hosted the Wells Fargo Championship.

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Wells Fargo Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:34 p.m. ET.

Max Homa (+2200)

Homa also won this event in 2019 and was a star at the 2022 Presidents Cup, which was held at Quail Hollow. He doesn’t have a single weakness in his game and though he missed the cut in his last event at the RBC Heritage, he’s having a fantastic season with 2 wins already.

Jason Day (+2500)

Day was in contention at the Masters until he fell apart on the final few holes in the 2nd round. He’s having a great 2023 season even though he hasn’t won yet, finishing in the top 25 in 11 of his 14 starts this season. His short game, which ranks 19th on tour in strokes gained, makes him a good fit for Quail Hollow.

Patrick Cantlay (+1200)

Cantlay has played 11 events so far this season and has 9 top-25 finishes with 6 top 10s, too. He missed the cut here in 2021, but with this being a difficult course that often comes down to bogey avoidance, he should play well; he ranks 8th on tour in that category.

Wells Fargo Championship picks – Contenders

Gary Woodland (+6600)

Woodland finished 5th at Quail Hollow in 2021 and has made the cut in each of his last 5 starts this season, including 3 top-40s and a top-20 at the Masters. He’s making cuts, but not finishing near the top of leaderboards, but at some point this season, he should break through and this could be the week for the former U.S. Open champ.

Brian Harman (+6600)

Harman has a good track record at Quail Hollow in his last 2 starts, finishing tied for 18th and 24th in 2019 and 2021. At the RBC Heritage last month, he tied for 7th and has 7 top-25 finishes in 15 starts this season.

Wells Fargo Championship picks – Long shots

Joel Dahmen (+12500)

Dahmen has been struggling a bit this season, but he played well at the Zurich Classic with Denny McCarthy, finishing tied for 11th in New Orleans. This course seems to fit his eye, tying for 11th and 18th in his last 2 starts at Quail Hollow for the Wells Fargo Championship.

Cam Davis (+9000)

Davis was battling an illness earlier this season, which caused him to struggle and miss 5 straight cuts. He seems to be past that now, though, and tied for 6th at the Players Championship and 7th at the RBC Heritage. In 2021 at the Wells Fargo Championship, he tied for 26th.

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