Oklahoma Sooners play old foe in CBS Sports preseason bowl projections

The Oklahoma Sooners are going bowling in 2024 but miss out on the College Football Playoff per CBS Sports.

All eyes are on the Oklahoma Sooners entering their first year in the SEC. Unlike the Texas Longhorns, everyone’s preseason pick to make a smooth transition into their new league, the Sooners have much to prove to SEC and national observers in 2024.

Oklahoma was picked to finish eighth in the SEC preseason media poll. While it is the No. 16 team in the preseason US LBM Coaches Poll and AP Top 25, the Sooners are still eighth among SEC teams in the preseason rankings.

The hesitancy to pick Oklahoma to finish better is largely related to its  schedule, which includes six teams ranked in the top 15 of both major polls.

Over at CBS Sports, Jerry Palm expects the Sooners to go bowling in 2024 despite their difficult schedule.

Palm has the Sooners traveling to Houston to play Iowa State in the Texas Bowl. Brent Venables and the Oklahoma Sooners have won each of the last two matchups against the Cyclones, winning by 14 in 2022 and then by 30 in 2023. It’s a series the Sooners have dominated, 80-7-2. The only team the Oklahoma Sooners have beaten more than Iowa State is Oklahoma State.

In his projections, Palm has Georgia, Texas, Alabama, and Texas A&M making the [autotag]College Football Playoff[/autotag]. Ole Miss, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Kentucky, LSU, Missouri and Auburn are slated to make bowl appearances.

That’s 11 of the 16 teams in the SEC expected to play in the College Football Playoff or a bowl game.

A bowl game for the Sooners wouldn’t meet expectations. Despite the schedule, this is a program that expects to contend for national titles. Missing the playoff would be a rough start to their tenure in the SEC.

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Advanced metrics favor Texas over Oklahoma on Saturday

Could we be overthinking the matchup between Texas and Oklahoma?

Texas and Oklahoma meet in a battle of unranked teams for the first time since 1998. Given the unpredictability of the rivalry, the Longhorns are the betting favorite by a sizable margin.

Vegas is spotting the Longhorns a touchdown in the Big 12’s premier regular season game. Even so, other factors favor Texas heading into the matchup this weekend.

We’ve noticed individual matchups that could favor each team. As a whole it appears Texas is the better team so far through five games, according to football analyst Parker Fleming.

His metrics project Texas to score just under 35 points compared to roughly 26 points for Oklahoma.

What may not surprise you is Texas’ offensive performance. The offense is No. 12 in the nation in success rate and No. 4 in passing success rate. In contrast, Oklahoma is No. 96 in defensive success rate and No. 88 in pass defensive success rate.

The numbers don’t account for the variables that the rivalry provides. Nevertheless, they hint that Texas is the better team through five games.

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