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The Ottawa Redblacks (5-2-1) and Calgary Stampeders (4-5) meet at McMahon Stadium Thursday. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (CFL+/TSN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Redblacks vs. Stampeders odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.
The Redblacks failed to cover as 3-point home favorites in a 22-22 tie with the Saskatchewan Roughriders Aug. 8 with the Under (48.5) hitting. QB Dru Brown (foot) was forced to leave the game in the 2nd quarter and will not dress Thursday. QB Jeremiah Masoli will instead get the nod, his 1st start since suffering a ruptured Achilles at the Hamilton Tiger-Cats July 8, 2023.
The Stampeders lost 39-25 as 1.5-point underdogs at the Toronto Argonauts Friday as the Over (48.5) cashed. Calgary remains winless on the road at 0-5 this season, but boasts an impressive 4-0 record at McMahon Stadium.
In a July 26 meeting, the Redblacks covered as 1-point home favorites with a 33-6 rout of Calgary as the Under (48.5) hit. The Redblacks defense had 4 sacks and held Stampeders QB Jake Maier to just 136 yards and no TDs on 20-of-27 passing.
Redblacks at Stampeders odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Redblacks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Stampeders -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Redblacks +4 (-110) | Stampeders -4 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Redblacks at Stampeders key injuries
Redblacks
- QB Dru Brown (foot) out
- LB Lucas Cormier (foot) out
- DB Money Hunter (shoulder) out
- WR Kalil Pimpleton (hand) out
- DL Nigel Romick (hamstring) out
Stampeders
- LB Adam Konar (hamstring) out
- DL Sean McEwen (hand) questionable
- WR Tyson Middlemost (hamstring) out
- QB Matt Shiltz (ankle) out
- DB Nick Statz (groin) questionable
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Redblacks at Stampeders picks and predictions
Prediction
Stampeders 25, Redblacks 20
Moneyline
The Stampeders (-200) should avenge the July 26 loss, but this line has too much vig to recommend a play.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
Calgary is 4-0 straight up and ATS at home this year. The Redblacks have won the last 2 meetings dating back to last season, but the starters in those games were QB Dustin Crum (July 23, 2023) and Brown (July 26) — not Masoli. While Masoli was signed in 2022 to be the face of the franchise, he’ll likely struggle in his 1st start in over a year.
The Stampeders were available as 2.5-point favorites on Monday afternoon, though. This line may have moved a bit too much toward Calgary, especially since it has gone through the key number of 3.
LEAN STAMPEDERS -4 (-110).
Over/Under
The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The offensive line struggled to protect Maier in the July 26 meeting, leading to no TDs for the Stampeders, and Masoli returning after an Achilles injury should limit Ottawa’s offense and keep the game low-scoring.
BET UNDER 49.5 (-110).
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