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The No. 5 seed Oregon Ducks (25-9) and No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats (23-12) meet in an NCAA Tournament second-round game in the East Region Sunday. Tip-off from Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Oregon vs. Arizona odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Ducks beat the No. 12 seed Liberty Flames 81-52 Friday, covering as 7-point favorites. They led by 22 points at halftime. Oregon was led by G Jackson Shelstad, who had 17 points on 7-of-11 shooting. The Ducks have been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games. They are 1-2 straight up and 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in postseason play. The Ducks are 16-17-1 ATS on the season.
The Wildcats defeated the No. 13 Akron Zips 93-65 Friday, covering as 14-point underdogs. They were led by G Jaden Bradley, who scored 19 points on 8-of-13 shooting. Arizona made a strong run in the Big 12 Tournament, beating Kansas (a No. 7 seed) 88-77 on March 13 and Texas Tech (a No. 3 seed) 86-80 on March 14, before falling 72-64 to Houston (a No. 1 seed) in the final on March 15. The Wildcats are 3-1 ATS in postseason play and 19-16 ATS on the season.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Oregon vs. Arizona odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Oregon +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Arizona -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Oregon +3.5 (-105) | Arizona -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Oregon vs. Arizona picks and predictions
Prediction
Arizona 75, Oregon 73
Moneyline
PASS.
The Wildcats (-175) are a bit too expensive to take, and the underdog is better played on the spread. Avoid a moneyline play.
Against the spread
BET OREGON +3.5 (-105).
The saying is defense wins championships, and the Ducks rank 22nd in KenPom’s defensive rating, while the Wildcats rank 29th. That should help keep this game close. Oregon is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games. It has impressive wins on the season against Alabama (a No. 2 seed) and Wisconsin (a No. 3 seed).
The Wildcats have been incredibly inconsistent, winning just 3 of their last 8 games in regular-season play. They have gone just 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games. Arizona struggled against non-conference opponents earlier in the season as well. Considering those trends, take OREGON +3.5 (-105).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 153.5 (-115).
The Ducks have stepped up defensively over the past several weeks, holding opponents to 74 or fewer points in 7 straight games and 59 or fewer in 2 of 3 postseason outings. Oregon is 1-8 O/U in its last 9 contests.
The Wildcats have gone Under in 2 straight games. Against Houston and Iowa State — 2 of the top defensive teams in the Big 12 — Arizona is 1-3 O/U this season. Bet UNDER 153.5 (-115).
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