Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys (10-1, 7-1 Big 12) and No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners (10-1, 7-1) tangle Saturday in the 2021 renewal of an in-state rivalry they call Bedlam. The battle at Boone Pickens Stadium is scheduled for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we look at the Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Sooners defeated Iowa State 28-21 last Saturday in a bounce-back effort after losing to Baylor Nov. 13. Oklahoma downed the Cyclones despite going just 1-for-10 in converting third downs. The Sooners have scored a combined 42 points over the last two weeks after averaging 43.3 points per game the previous eight contests.

Oklahoma State blanked Texas Tech 23-0 Saturday. The Cowboys have won four straight games – allowing a combined 23 points in the process – since falling to Iowa State Oct. 23. In what sets up as a top-10 offense against a top-10 defense (points), the Cowboys fill the role of the latter. They have allowed just 14.9 points per game (third FBS).

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Oklahoma +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Oklahoma State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma +4.5 (-115) | Oklahoma State -4.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5, O: -108 | U: -112

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Oklahoma at Oklahoma State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma State 31, Oklahoma 27

Money line

The Cowboys’ defense creating havoc figures as a key in Saturday’s contest. A turnover or two (and OU has been exceeding turnover-lucky through 11 games) and a few momentum-killing plays that put the Sooners behind the chains make Oklahoma State a near-70% proposition. And that makes the OKLAHOMA STATE (-190) play one to leverage.

Look for OSU to force Oklahoma into a couple drive-killing field-goal attempts. And the Cowboys have averaged 524.8 total yards per game over their last four efforts at home.

Against the spread

OSU has won nine in a row against the number. But there is enough gray area on this 4-and-a-half tag to make the Cowboys a PASS here.

Over/Under

This total has moved down a couple points during the week and is now ripe for some leverage the other way.

The balance of the Oklahoma offense will lead to enough points on the Sooners’ side of the equation. Oklahoma State will likely have to pass more than it wants to leverage a matchup advantage against the Sooners.

The average total across the last five Bedlam games is 71.5. On a decent-weather day in Stillwater, PLAY THE OVER 49.5 (-108).

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Oklahoma State at Oklahoma odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners sports odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys (15-6, 8-5 Big XII) travel in-state to play No. 8 Oklahoma Sooners (14-6, 9-5) Saturday at the Lloyd Noble Center. The tip-off is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma State-Oklahoma odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Oklahoma State +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Oklahoma -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma State +4.5 (-110) | Oklahoma -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma: Three things to know

  1. Oklahoma State has won three in a row and four of its last five games (3-2 ATS) including home wins over No. 17 Texas Tech (74-69 overtime win as 3.5-point underdogs Monday) and then-No. 6 Texas (75-67 overtime win as 2-point underdogs Feb. 6).
  2. The Sooners had their three-game winning streak snapped after losing at Kansas State 62-57 as 10.5-point road favorites Tuesday. However, Oklahoma has performed way better at home compared to on the road this season as the Sooners are 10-1 overall at home and 8-3 ATS.
  3. The Cowboys won and covered against the Sooners last season, 83-66, for the first time in four years. The favorites have four straight ATS wins in this series, and the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight Oklahoma State-Oklahoma meetings.

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Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Oklahoma 71, Oklahoma State 62

Money line (ML)

PASS because the Sooners are the pick here, but Oklahoma (-200) is too far out of my price range to bet a money line favorite in a conference matchup.

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Against the spread (ATS)

There are a few reasons I like OKLAHOMA -4.5 (-110) in this spot.

First, the Sooners have performed better against tougher competition—covering eight of nine games against ranked teams compared to Oklahoma State’s 5-2 ATS record against ranked teams—and in conference showdowns—Oklahoma is 9-5 ATS in Big XII games while Oklahoma State is 8-6 ATS.

Second, Oklahoma does a good job stopping what Oklahoma State does a lot of, which is shooting inside the arc and getting to the foul line. Oklahoma State is 67th in free-throw rate whereas Oklahoma is sixth in defensive free-throw-rate.

Also, the Cowboys attempt the most 2-pointers in the Big XII while the Sooners are 22nd in the nation in opponent’s 2-point field goal percentage.

BET OKLAHOMA -4.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Given that my prediction is Oklahoma wins and covers primarily because of defensive factors, I like UNDER 139.5 (-110) here. Furthermore, since the beginning of last season, Oklahoma is 9-17 O/U has a home team with a minus-6.4-point total margin and 12-19-1 O/U in conference games with a minus-3.5-point total margin.

TAKE UNDER 139.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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