Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (38-63) take on the Chicago White Sox (49-49) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: This is their first meeting.

Oakland has been on a roll with 7 wins in its last 10 contests, and the A’s are 12-8 over their last 20. They’re coming off a 3-game sweep of the division-leading Houston Astros in something no one saw coming. They’re still 27 1/2 games back and are likely to see key parts become former teammates very soon.

The White Sox are 3-3 coming out of the All-Star break and continue to resemble mediocrity. However, for as much drama and disappointment their first half brought, they’re still just 3 games out in the AL Central and could be lurking like a shark at feeding time with the trade deadline approaching.

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Athletics at White Sox projected starters

RHP James Kaprielian vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Kaprielian (1-5, 4.74 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 74 IP.

  • Has a 2.76 ERA over his last 6 starts.
  • Faced the White Sox last Sept. and allowed 1 ER on 5 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 4 IP.

Lynn (1-3, 6.43 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 42 IP.

  • Had his best performance of the year in his last outing with 6-scoreless IP, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K.
  • He’s 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 41 K in 28 2/3 IP in his last 5 starts vs. Oakland (2019-21).

Athletics at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Athletics +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | White Sox -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-130) | White Sox -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Athletics at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 3, Athletics 1

Money line

What really stands out is how well Lynn pitched in his last outing against Cleveland. Lynn hasn’t been himself after missing the first 2 months of the season with a knee injury.

He has been rather unlucky with a .333 BABIP, too. His fly ball rate is down, his ground ball rate is up, and his 5.3% BB% is the lowest of his career. That last start begins a hot streak for him. The White Sox ride him to victory Friday. Take the WHITE SOX FIRST 5 INNINGS (-130) because the -205 full game ML is too steep.

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Run line/Against the spread

The White Sox and run line haven’t been a good combination this year and simply put, they’ve underachieved. They’re 15-33 on the RL at home. Seven of their last 10 wins have been by more than 1 run, though. The Athletics are hot, and I’d like more than +105, but LEAN WHITE SOX -1.5 (+105) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

This felt like an Under game to me before noticing the wind is blowing in from center field at 5 mph. That should keep the White Sox from putting up a 5-spot, and I believe Lynn deals.

The Under is 4-0 in Oakland’s last 4 on the road and against a right-hander. The Under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 between these teams in Chicago. The book is on board, too, with the juice — but we’re taking the UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (68-53) have dropped three in a row to the Chicago White Sox (71-50) as the two clubs finish a four-game series Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Athletics LHP Cole Irvin (8-11, 3.52 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 135 1/3 IP.

  • Has been solid on the road this season boasting a 3.30 ERA and 7.5 K/9 with just 3 homers allowed in 62 2/3 IP.
  • His ground ball rate sits at just 36 percent but he has done a great job of keeping the ball in the park lately with just 2 homers allowed in his last nine starts.

White Sox RHP Dylan Cease (9-6, 4.04 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 through 124 2/3 IP.

  • Ranks seventh in the majors with 165 K, and his 30.8% K% puts him fourth among all qualified starting pitchers.
  • Has recorded a 2.44 ERA in 12 home starts, much better than his 5.86 mark on the road. He has a 12.1 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 66 1/3 IP at home.

Athletics at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | White Sox -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS:  +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -140 | U: +111)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Athletics 4

Money line (ML)

Irvin has been pretty fortunate to post such a low ERA to this point. He doesn’t miss a lot of bats and isn’t anything special when it comes to suppressing hard contact yet has managed to maintain a 6.5% HR/FB%.

The White Sox come into the game with a +139 run differential that ranks fourth in the majors and a 42-22 record at home that also ranks fourth-best in the league.

They should complete the sweep today and a small play on WHITE SOX (-170) should pay off.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The White Sox are tied for 3rd in wRC+ vs lefties and have recently added both LF Eloy Jimenez and CF Luis Robert to an already loaded lineup. They have won the first three games of this series by a combined score of 17-4 and should push across enough runs against Irvin to win by multiple runs.

Take the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under (O/U)

Chicago presents a tough matchup for Irvin who is overdue for some regression in the home run department. On the other side, the Oakland offense ranks eighth in the league in runs per game on the road with 4.76.

Cease has been good at home and will rack up the strikeouts but he is sporting a 4.79 ERA over his last 14 starts so he’s far from a lock to shut down the Oakland bats.

Look for both offenses to get a little something going in this game, enough to push this total OVER 8.5 (-135).

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (70-50) host the Oakland Athletics (68-52) for the third game of their four-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 14-2 including the White Sox’s 9-0 victory Tuesday. Athletics starting RHP Chris Bassitt exited in the 2nd inning Tuesday after taking a line drive off the face and will need to undergo surgery, although he has been released from hospital.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-0.

LHP Cole Irvin makes his 24th start for the A’s. Irvin is 8-11 with a 3.52 ERA (135 1/3 IP, 53 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-6, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the Texas Rangers Friday.
  • 2021 road splits: 4-6 with a 3.30 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.18 WHIP and 4.3 K/BB in 11 starts.

RHP Lance Lynn gets the start for the White Sox. Lynn is 10-3 with a 2.26 ERA (119 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 21 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 7 K in Chicago’s 9-8 victory over the New York Yankees Thursday.
  • 2021 home splits: 6-2 with a 2.13 ERA (76 IP, 18 ER), 0.92 WHIP and 4.6 K/BB in 13 starts.
  • vs. A’s on the current roster (181 PA): 4.66 FIP with a .286 batting average, .382 wOBA, .415 expected slugging percentage, 22.7 K% and 89.4 mph exit velocity.

Athletics at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics +1.5 (-140) | White Sox -1.5 (+111)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Athletics 1

Money line (ML)

Chicago’s advantage in the three most important phases of baseball (starting and bullpen pitching and hitting) are baked into the White Sox (-190) price, which I don’t see much value in betting outright.

Since -180 money line favorites have consistently cashed for backers in the second half of the year in the last five seasons, I’ll slightly “LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-190) but would rather pair it up with another favorite in a money line parlay.

Furthermore, Chicago’s lineup ranks in the top 8 against left-handed pitching in wRC+ and wOBA. Also, the White Sox have the fourth-best winning percentage at home and are 21-12 vs. lefty starters this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because Oakland is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog hence the A’s +1.5 being -140 despite being a pretty sizeable underdog on the money line.

Given the options, I’d prefer to just stick with Chicago in a money line parlay or just put a tiny wager on the White Sox to win outright.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for 1 unit because we are getting “sharp line movement” towards the Under as Athletics-White Sox opened with a 9-run total but has been steamed down to the current number.

Also, these teams have a combined 16-26 O/U record when these starters take the mound and each team plays more to the Under in their location-based situational trends.

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (68-51) continue their four-game road series against the Chicago White Sox (69-50) Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener 5-2 as the White Sox bullpen locked down the victory with 1 H, 1 BB and 9 K across 4 IP.

Season series: White Sox lead 1-0.

RHP Chris Bassitt is Oakland’s projected starter. He is 12-3 with a 3.06 ERA (150 IP, 51 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 24 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 17-0, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 6 K Thursday at the Cleveland Indians.
  • Second half stats: 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA (32 IP, 8 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 5.8 K/BB.
  • vs. White Sox on current roster (54 PA): 2.13 FIP with a .231 batting average (BA), .240 wOBA, .371 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 18.5 K% and 90.5 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Reynaldo Lopez is on the bump for the White Sox. He is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA (20 IP, 3 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through two starts and eight relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 1-0 loss to the Minnesota Twins Wednesday.
  • vs. Athletics on current roster (69 PA): 3.07 FIP with a .230 BA, .280 wOBA, .461 xSLG, 26.1 K% and 86.6 mph EV.

Athletics at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+140) | White Sox +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Athletics 4, White Sox 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS (-115) for a half unit because Oakland has a significant edge in the starting pitching duel and in hitting.

In this spot, I’d prefer to take the A’s First 5 Innings money line considering the White Sox have much better relief pitching; however, Tipico offers a three-way line so we could lose instead of chop if Oakland and Chicago are tied after the fifth inning.

A’s batters are first in both wRC+ and BB/K, second in wOBA and ninth in hard-hit rate this month.

Furthermore, Oakland is 22-14 as a road favorite, Bassitt is 8-0 through 14 road starts and Chicago is just 3-4 as a home underdog despite being an exceptional home team this season.

Another cause for the “lean” is we are seeing “reverse line movement” in the betting market as Oakland’s money line is seeing roughly 75% of the action but Chicago’s money line is getting pricier. It’s a red flag whenever the sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Athletics -1.5 (+140) because I “lean” to Oakland’s money line but I’m not confident enough to lay it with the A’s.

However, Oakland is 20-16 ATS as a road favorite while Chicago is 3-4 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a half unit because the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under whereas the public is on the Over, according to Pregame.com.

Nearly 60% of the money is on the Under while roughly 70% of the action is on the Over, but the oddsmakers have responded to the money column as the total has been steamed down from the 9-run opener to the current number.

My assumption is this movement is based on Bassitt being a fringe AL Cy Young contender and Chicago’s bullpen is one of the best units in baseball. On the other hand, both lineups rake so I’m not crazy about the Under in this spot.

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (68-50) will look to get back on track after losing two of three against the Texas Rangers over the weekend when they face the Chicago White Sox (68-50) Monday. The teams kick off a four-game series with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Athletics RHP Frankie Montas (9-8, 3.98 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 131 IP.

  • Has pitched well lately with a 2.39 ERA with 51 K in 37 2/3 IP across his last six starts.
  • Has a 3.49 ERA and 9.6 K/9 in 59 1/3 IP across 10 road starts.

White Sox LHP Dallas Keuchel (7-6, 4.51 ERA) makes his 24th appearance (23rd start). He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 125 2/3 IP.

  • Had a sub-4.00 ERA through the end of June but has since struggled with a 5.72 ERA and 10 HR allowed in 39 1/3 IP over his last seven starts.
  • Has a 4.10 ERA and 6.1 K/9 in 68 IP in 12 appearances at home.

White Sox at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+133) | White Sox +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Athletics 6, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The White Sox come into this series with the best home record in the American League at 39-22. Meanwhile, Oakland has played well on the road all year as their 34-25 road record ranks as the 6th best mark in the league.

Oakland comes into the series having won 12 of their last 16 games despite last weekend’s struggles and Montas gives them the clear pitching advantage. The White Sox have lost each of Keuchel’s last four starts and that streak is likely to reach five games Monday.

Back the ATHLETICS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Twenty of Oakland’s last 22 road victories were by more than 1 run. Their offense has been red-hot as they lead the majors in wRC+ and OPS in August.

Look for that success to continue against Keuchel who has been struggling lately. Go with the ATHLETICS -1.5 (+133).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Oakland offense is flying high and facing a pitcher who hasn’t fared well lately. The White Sox offense is finally back to full strength and will pose a tough test for Montas.

The under has hit in six of the last seven contests in which Montas has started but this one could easily go either way. It’s probably best to just PASS on the total.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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