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Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Denver Nuggets (2-2) and Minnesota Timberwolves (2-2) meet Friday at Target Center with tip-off set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Tied 2-2 last season

The Nuggets celebrated their second straight overtime win by edging the Brooklyn Nets 144-139 on Tuesday, but failed to cover as 5.5-point road favorites while the Over (218.5) hit. C Nikola Jokic, the reigning NBA MVP, showcased his skills with a triple-double, amassing 29 points, 18 rebounds, and 16 assists. F Aaron Gordon and G Jamal Murray each added 24 points.

The Timberwolves suffered their first loss at home on Tuesday, falling 120-114 to the Dallas Mavericks as 4-point favorites while the Over (220.5) cashed. G Anthony Edwards led with 37 points and 6 rebounds, while F Julius Randle added 20 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists. However, 20 turnovers proved costly for the Timberwolves.

Nuggets at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Timberwolves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +4.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Timberwolves key injuries

Nuggets

F Vlatko Cancar (ankle) probable
F Aaron Gordon (knee) probable

Timberwolves

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Nuggets at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 122, Nuggets 115

Moneyline

PASS.

I’m backing Minnesota (-190) to handle the Nuggets (+150) at home, with their balanced offense and defense. Betting on the spread offers better odds for this matchup.

Against the spread

BET MINNESOTA -4.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves are 6-4 at home in the last 10 matchups against the Nuggets. With Denver’s early-season defensive struggles, Minnesota has a great chance to capitalize. The Timberwolves are locking down the perimeter, ranking third in limiting 3-point attempts and second in restricting makes, while also ranking ninth in defensive rebounds. Denver’s defense ranks 22nd, allowing 118.8 points per game.

Over/Under

BET OVER 220.5 (-110)

Both teams are pushing a fast pace, averaging 104.7 possessions per game, which has frequently led to high scores. Denver has hit the Over in both of their road games this season, while Minnesota went Over in 2 of their last 3 games. With a combined O/U trend of 7-3 in Denver’s last 10 games in Minnesota, a projected total around 237 feels likely.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves meet the Denver Nuggets Tuesday in Game 5 of the best-of-7 Western Conference 2nd-round series. The series is tied 2-2. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

After dropping the 1st 2 games at home, Denver evened the series on the road with 2 wins, the last a 115-107 Game 4 victory in Minnesota on Sunday. League MVP C Nikola Jokic led the way with his playoff-high 35 points, 7 assists, 7 rebounds and 3 steals. They also got a 27 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists and 2 blocks from F Aaron Gordon. The Nuggets shot 57% (45-for-79) as a team, including knocking down 13 treys.

G Anthony Edwards put on one heck of a show in a losing effort Sunday, finishing with 44 points on 16-for-25 (64%) shooting, adding 5 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 steals. No one else on the Timberwolves had more than 15 points. Minnesota could not stop the Nuggets inside, allowing 52 points in the paint. After a commanding 2-0 series lead, they head back to Denver tied with a lot of work to do.

Timberwolves at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:27 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 205.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries

Nuggets

None

Timberwolves

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 105, Timberwolves 99

Moneyline

PASS.

This series is over in my mind because Minnesota losing both of those home games after being up 2-0 has to be completely mentally demoralizing. The Nuggets will step on their throats Tuesday night. but I’ll save my wager for the spread.

Against the spread

I don’t know how the Timberwolves mentally recover after blowing the series lead. The Nuggets won and covered in both of the games in Minnesota. You know what you are going to get from Jokic, but Gordon has been a man possessed on both ends of the court.

Edwards has been fantastic in this series but he cannot carry this team singlehandedly which was proven on Sunday night. He needs someone else to step up on the offensive end of the court.

BET NUGGETS -4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Both games at Ball Arena went Under and both games at Target Center went Over the total. If I had a lean, it’d be the Under but neither team really excels at going Over the total. Minnesota was basically .500 for the season while the Nuggets were Under 16 more times than Over.

PASS.

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Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 3 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 2nd-seeded Denver Nuggets meet the 3-seed Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series Friday. The Timberwolves lead the series 2-0. Tip-off from Target Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets fell into a 2-0 hole in the series after a 26-point loss to Minnesota Monday. When your team commits 19 turnovers and your league MVP C Nikola Jokic gives you his lowest point total (16) of the playoffs, you’re usually going to lose. F Aaron Gordon led all Denver scorers with 20 points.

The duo of C Karl-Anthony Towns and G Anthony Edwards carried the Timberwolves to victory with 27 points each. Minnesota dominated in the paint despite being without C Rudy Gobert, outscoring the Nuggets 52-34. They also shot 50% (42-for-84) as a team from the field. They have to be feeling good in returning home to the Target Center with a commanding 2-0 series lead.

Nuggets at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:36 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Timberwolves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +4.5 (-110) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Timberwolves key injuries

Nuggets

G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (abdomen) questionable
G Reggie Jackson (ankle) questionable
G Jamal Murray (calf) questionable

Timberwolves

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Nuggets at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 109, Timberwolves 106

Moneyline

It’s hard to believe that the defending NBA champs will go down 3-0 in this series even if they have to pull one out on the road. Don’t get me wrong, it won’t be easy, but I believe Jokic wills them to a win Friday night. They played about as bad as they could possibly play in Game 2 Monday and that won’t happen 2 games in a row.

I like getting Denver with the juicy plus-odds to just get the victory.

BET NUGGETS (+155).

Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to stay away from the spread in this one. I’d rather put my wager on the moneyline with those plus-odds. But if you prefer taking insurance with the +4.5 points, I get it.

Over/Under

This 204.5 O/U line is just too low to pass on. These 2 teams have gone Under the total in 3 of their last 4 matchups but all those games had totals around 210 or more.

After getting held to 80 points Monday, Denver will come out firing in this one. No way the Nuggets shoot as bad as they did in the last game again (29-for-83; 34.9%).

BET OVER 204.5 (-110).

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