Nuggets Heat best prop bets predictions and picks

The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat square off in Game 4 of the NBA Finals Friday at Kaseya Center. Nuggets lead series 2-1. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s (OR FanDuel Sportsbook’s) NBA Finals Game 4 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the Nuggets vs. Heat prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets slipped up in Game 2, losing home-court advantage to the Heat in the process. However, Denver pasted Miami 109-94 on the road in Game 3 on Wednesday as it seized back the advantage.

Denver C Nikola Jokic continued his amazing play, going for a triple-double with 32 points (12-of-21 from the field), 21 rebounds and 10 assists along with 2 blocked shots. The ‘Blue Arrow’, G Jamal Murray, added 34 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists while hitting 12-of-22 from the floor, including 3 triples.

Jokic and Murray were the first teammates in NBA Finals history to each record triple-doubles. Jokic’s game with 30+ points, 20+ boards and 10+ dimes was the first game of its kind in NBA Finals history, too.

Miami F Bam Adebayo had a giant stat line too, going for 22 points with 17 rebounds, while F Jimmy Butler registered team-high 28 points. As a result, there are a lot of intriguing props to play for Game 4.

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Game 4: Best Nuggets at Heat prop bet picks

Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic Player Alt Points + Rebounds + Assists: OVER 53.5 (-136)

Why not start with the top dog? ‘Joker’ had an absolutely ridiculous stat line, combining for 32 points, 21 rebounds and 10 assists in 44 minutes in Game 3. However, if you were playing this prop in the last game, you cashed with plenty of comfort.

Playing Jokic’s points + assists would have been a total of 42, which would cash that prop by just a half-point. You want to make sure you also play a prop which includes rebounds, as that’s a big part of Jokic’s game.

The star pivot is averaging 33.3 PPG, 14.0 RPG and 9.3 APG in the 3 games of this series so far, posting 2 triple-doubles and 3 double-doubles. He wasn’t a giant passer in Game 2, but he would have cashed the Over at this number in each of the past 2 in this series.

Heat PG Gabe Vincent steals: OVER 0.5 (-180)

This is my personal limit for a singular bet. If you’re able to toss the Vincent Steals Over into a parlay, that would be a much better play.

Vincent was good for a pair of steals in Game 3, and he also had 2 steals in Game 2 in Denver. He is averaging 1.3 SPG in the NBA Finals, and he picked up a steal in 12 of the past 18 postseason games.

Nuggets SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Alt Points + Rebounds: Over 9.5 (-168)

Caldwell-Pope has been consistent in these NBA Finals, going for 6 or more points and posting exactly 3 rebounds in each outing against the Heat so far.

This is a safe bet, as we know what to expect from KCP. He has been off with his shot in the past 2 games, hitting just 2-of-8 from the field, but he has gotten to the free-throw stripe 7 times in the past 2 outings, making all of his attempts. This will be a nail-biter prop which goes down to the end, so be prepared.

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Heat C Bam Adebayo Alt Points + Rebounds + Assists: Over 39.5 (+200)

Adebayo is a tremendous value at this price, as you have a chance to double up if he combines for 40 total points, rebounds and assists.

So far in this series, Adebayo has been playing out of his mind, posting 21 or more points in each outing, going for 23.0 PPG, 13.0 RPG and 4.0 APG, which is exactly the target number of 40 for this cash to prop. He simply needs to keep hitting his averages for the win.

If you want to play it safe, Over 35.5 (-104) is still right near even-money, and is good if you’re not as adventurous.

Denver Nuggets Total Points: Over 106.5 (-115)

The Nuggets went Under this total in Game 1 at home, going for just 104 points. However, Denver cashed in both Games 2 and 3, going for 108 and 109 points.

I love Over bets. There is a lot less sweating, and once you’re Over, you can just kick back and relax the rest of the game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Game 3: Best Nuggets at Heat prop bet picks

Nuggets F Michael Porter Jr. 3-pointers made: OVER 2.5 (-120)

For everyone who bet this prop the last 2 games, I understand the skepticism. So far he’s 3 for 17 from behind the arc, 1 for 6 in Game 2.

But just remember MPJ averages 7.1 treys per game, 2nd on the team behind G Jamal Murray. So far his slump hasn’t stopped him from finding open looks and if the Nuggets are going to win (which I still believe will happen) it starts with MPJ.

Miami Heat Team Total: UNDER 103.5 (+130)

This is a way to play the moneyline with better odds but slightly more risk. In these playoffs the Heat win with their offense. In their wins, Miami went Over 103.5 in 11 of their 13 games. In losses, they went Under 103.5 in 5 of their 7 games.

For the Miami fans you can also find plus money odds on the Over market. Against the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics the Heat scored Over 110 in 7 of their 8 wins. You can get that number at +160. Alas, I think Denver will pull out the win.

Race to 10 points: NUGGETS (-135)

Miami went 4 of 6 to start Game 2 while Denver started 0 for 4 which should be an anomaly. If you include the regular season Denver averages 30.1 points in the 1st quarter, which was 3rd best in the NBA. In Game 2 they scored just 23.

In Game 1 Denver won the race to 10 points and kept their foot on the pedal to open the series. I expect them to come out aggressive after the stunning loss in Game 2.