Nuggets Bucks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (34-14) take on the Milwaukee Bucks (30-17) Wednesday at Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Nuggets came away with a 99-98 win over New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday but failed to cover as 3-point road favorites. Denver has won 9 of its last 10 games.

The Bucks cruised to a 150-130 victory against the Detroit Pistons on Monday to cover as 11-point favorites on the road. Milwaukee has won 3 of its last 4 games.

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Nuggets at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +255 (bet $100 to win $255) | Bucks -310 (bet $310 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +7.5 (-105) | Bucks -7.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Nuggets at Bucks key injuries

Nuggets

Not yet submitted

Bucks

F Bobby Portis (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 117, Nuggets 107

Moneyline

PASS.

Taking Milwaukee (-310) to win straight up isn’t worth doing at the current odds.

Against the spread

With the Nuggets playing the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, BUCKS -7.5 (-115) is an enticing bet. This is a spread that makes it seem as if Denver will be without either or both of C Nikola Jokic and G Jamal Murray.

Even though the trends point toward the Nuggets covering, the Bucks have F Giannis Antetokounmpo back and they are at home.

Over/Under

UNDER 233.5 (-108) is how I’d wager on the total in this matchup. Assuming that Denver rests a couple of starters on a back-to-back, there could be less scoring than expected.

The Nuggets have gone 6-1 to the Under in their last 7 games following an ATS loss.

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Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets (27-21) visit the Milwaukee Bucks (31-20) Sunday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off at Fiserv Forum. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Denver handled business at New Orleans 116-105 Friday as a 4-point road favorite. Since Jan. 16, the Nuggets are 5-2 straight up (SU) but just 1-5-1 against the spread (ATS).

Milwaukee has won four of its past five games with its most recent being a 123-108 victory over the New York Knicks as a 9-point home favorite Friday.

The Bucks are 4-2 SU and 2-4 ATS with the second-worst ATS margin (minus-5.2), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), since Jan. 17.

The Bucks (-6.5) trampled the Nuggets 120-109 in their first meeting this season in Denver Nov. 26.

Nuggets at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Bucks -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread: Nuggets +6.5 (-112) | Bucks -6.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Nuggets at Bucks key injuries

Nuggets

SF Will Barton (illness) probable
C DeMarcus Cousins (foot) questionable
PF Aaron Gordon (illness) questionable
PG Jamal Murray (knee) out

Bucks

PG George Hill (neck) doubtful

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Nuggets at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 114, Nuggets 110

Money line

PASS.

I don’t like Nuggets (+210) enough to sprinkle anything on their money line even though it’s a fairly juicy payout. The Nuggets are just 6-8 SU as road underdogs and the Bucks are 16-6 SU as home favorites.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS +6.5 (-112) for 1 unit.

This isn’t a good spot for either team, but Denver has been much better and more consistent this month. The Nuggets are 10-5 SU in January with the best effective field-goal shooting, best rebounding rate and fifth-best assist-to-turnover ratio.

The Bucks are 7-7 SU this month with the 13th-best net rating and the 25th-ranked ATS margin (minus-3.4).

Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six visits to Milwaukee, while the Bucks are just 5-9 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record.

BET NUGGETS +6.5 (-112).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 232.5 (-108) for a half-unit, mostly as a fade against a market that has bet the Over so heavily the total has increased from the 227.5-point opener (according to Pregame.com).

Two of the three referees assigned to this game have officiated more Overs than Unders, and the officiating crew is a combined 42-53 O/U. This plus both teams having a top-10 defensive FT/FGA rate should equal fewer trips to the foul line.

I see Denver slowing the pace down behind its elite defensive rebounding. Plus, Milwaukee doesn’t force a lot of turnovers – the Bucks rank 20th in defensive turnover rate.

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Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Denver Nuggets (19-15) stop by Fiserv Forum Tuesday for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off against the Milwaukee Bucks (21-13). Below, we analyze the Nuggets-Bucks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Denver defeated the Chicago Bulls 118-112 Monday for its second straight win and third in its last four games. The Nuggets have been up-and-down of late, going 4-4 straight up and 3-5 against the spread over their previous eight games.

The Bucks had maybe their most impressive win of the season Sunday by taking down the Los Angeles Clippers 105-100 as 1.5-point home favorites. Milwaukee is starting to find its stride as winners of five in a row entering Tuesday.

The Nuggets won and covered both of last year’s regular-season meetings with the Bucks but were crushed 125-112 as 2-point home underdogs Feb. 8 of this season.

Nuggets at Bucks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Bucks -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Nuggets +7 (-110) | Bucks -7 (-110)
Over/Under: 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Nuggets at Bulls: Key injuries

Nuggets

PF JaMychal Green (shoulder) out
SG Gary Harris (thigh) out
PF Paul Millsap (knee) out
PG Facundo Campazzo (health and safety protocols) out

Bucks

Nothing affecting the betting odds.

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Nuggets at Bucks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bucks 128, Nuggets 112

Money line (ML)

PASS because Milwaukee is the play but betting the Bucks or any NBA regular-season favorite at -275 is a bad long-term strategy.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Yesterday I laid out a case as to why Denver was undervalued despite an MVP-like performance from C Nikola Jokic in the first half of the season and PG Jamal Murray starting to ball.

However, the BUCKS -7 (-110) could be more undervalued than the Nuggets. According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Milwaukee is the only team behind Denver in win differential based upon net efficiency with a minus-3.3 differential.

Furthermore, this is a big number to lay, but situationally this is a terrible spot for the Nuggets. Denver has a losing ATS record as an underdog, in games with a rest disadvantage, after a win, in non-conference games and on the road vs. winning teams.

TAKE the BUCKS -7 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight lean on OVER 235.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit only because I prefer the side over the total in Nuggets-Bucks and it’s seemingly too obvious.

On the other hand, maybe not since the market is split on the total even though there is a bevy of Over-friendly trends for both teams here.

Ultimately, my read is Denver has almost no chance of stopping Milwaukee’s offense and the Nuggets’ superstars are on a roll recently.

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Also see:

2021 NBA Mock Draft consensus 2.0: The updated first round (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Nuggets | Bucks

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