Notre Dame North Carolina odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Notre Dame at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Notre Dame at North Carolina odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-17, 7-11 ACC) and North Carolina Tar Heels (23-6, 15-3) meet Tuesday at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, N.C. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Notre Dame vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Fighting Irish are playing their best basketball of the season, posting back-to-back wins, and victories in 5 of the past 6 outings. Notre Dame has tied a season best with 4 straight covers, too, while going 5-1 against the spread (ATS) across the previous 6 contests.

This is the 1st meeting since Feb. 22, 2023, when UNC picked up a 63-59 win in South Bend, although the Irish earned the cover as 6-point underdogs. UNC has won 8 of the past 10 in the series, but the Irish are 3-2 ATS in the past 5 meetings, with the Over going 3-1 in the past 4 in the series.

The Tar Heels have picked up 4 straight wins since Feb. 13, a 86-79 loss at Syracuse. UNC has failed to cover the past 2 outings, both as a double-digit favorite. The Under has cashed in 3 consecutive contests.

North Carolina is No. 7 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Notre Dame at North Carolina odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Notre Dame +980 (bet $100 to win $980) | North Carolina -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
Against the spread: Notre Dame +15.5 (-114) | North Carolina -15.5 (-106)
Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Notre Dame at North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 73, Notre Dame 61

Moneyline

North Carolina (-2000) will cost you 20 times your potential return, and that’s obviously way too much risk and not enough reward. In fact, for every $100 risked, you would make just $5 of profit.

Even as part of a multi-team parlay, there is just no sense including UNC as part of your ticket.

PASS.

Against the spread

NOTRE DAME +15.5 (-114) is a strong play catching more than 15 points.

The Fighting Irish have covered 4 in a row, and 5 of the past 6 games, and it is a solid 6-2 ATS in the previous 8 as an underdog of 9.5 or more points.

North Carolina -15.5 (-106) cannot be trusted. UNC has failed to cover as a double-digit favorite in its last 2 games, while going just 2-5 ATS in the previous 7 games since Feb. 6. At home, it is just 4-5 ATS in 9 conference battles this season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 137.5 (-105) is a little on the low side, but it’s a solid play.

The total went low last time out for the Fighting Irish against Clemson in a 69-62 win as the Under (132.5) just came through. The Under is 2-1 in the past 3 games on the road, too.

For the Tar Heels, the Under has cashed in 3 in a row, while going 4-3 in the past 7 conference games at the Dean Dome, too.

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Notre Dame at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Notre Dame at North Carolina odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-7, 0-4 ACC) battle the North Carolina Tar Heels (10-5, 2-2) Saturday. Tip from the Dean Smith Center is set for 11:30 a.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Notre Dame vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

North Carolina took down Wake Forest 88-79 Wednesday but failed to cover as a 10-point home favorite. The Tar Heels are just 4-10-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They are a perfect 7-0 straight up at home though. North Carolina has failed to cover 3 straight but is 3-3 ATS over its last 6. UNC ranks 24th in the nation in points per game (81.4).

Notre Dame was upset as a 2.5-point road favorite at Boston College 70-63 Tuesday. The Fighting Irish are only 3-12 ATS, including 2-8 ATS over their last 10. Notre Dame’s strength is shooting from deep, ranking 43rd in 3-point field-goal percentage (37.7%), according to Covers.com.

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Notre Dame at North Carolina odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:47 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Notre Dame +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | North Carolina -850 (bet $100 to win $850)
Against the spread: Notre Dame +12.5 (-110) | North Carolina -12.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Notre Dame at North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 78, Notre Dame 71

Moneyline

PASS.

North Carolina’s -850 price is way too risky even with UNC being 8-0 at home and Notre Dame 0-2 on the road (not counting neutral-site games). A North Carolina (-850) moneyline is unplayable, even in a parlay.

Against the spread

LEAN NOTRE DAME +12.5 (-110).

North Carolina is just 3-4 ATS at home this season and has failed to cover 3 in a row, 1 of which was at home (the 9-point win over Wake Forest). The Tar Heels are just 3-6-1 ATS over their last 10, so they haven’t been defeating opponents by as much as books would think lately.

As for the Fighting Irish, they have been awful ATS as well, posting just a 3-12 record. However, they do hold opponents to 31.8% from deep, and the Tar Heels have snipers.

With a spread of this size in a conference game, BACK NOTRE DAME +12.5 (-110) to limit their opponents’ 3-point shooting and keep the game reasonably close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 144.5 (-110).

While Notre Dame should be able to slow down North Carolina’s shooters, it ranks 316th in opponents’ field-goal percentage at 46.1% (according to NCAA.org). So, the high-octane Tar Heels attack mixed with the Fighting Irish’s overall defensive inefficiencies should be the perfect combination for points to be scored and the Over to cash.

The Fighting Irish score 69.7 points per game as well, so they hold their own offensively. They’ve gone Over in 3 of their last 5. North Carolina has gone Over in 5 straight and is 9-6 O/U this season.

Ultimately, OVER 144.5 (-110) is my FAVORITE BET in this contest.

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Notre Dame at North Carolina odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-0 overall, 7-0 ACC) visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (6-2, 6-2) Friday for a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Notre Dame-North Carolina college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Fighting Irish are No. 2 and the Tar Heels are ranked No. 23 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Notre Dame at North Carolina: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Notre Dame -218 (bet $218 to win $100) | North Carolina +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread/ATS: Notre Dame -5.5 (-115) | North Carolina +5.5 (-106)
Over/Under: 66.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Notre Dame at North Carolina: Three things to know

Notre Dame avoided the “letdown” game, winning at Boston College 45-31 (as a 13-point favorite) last week, seven days after knocking off then-No. 1 Clemson 47-40 in overtime. QB Ian Book completed 20 of 27 passes for 283 yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions vs. BC as Notre Dame racked up a season-high 557 total yards. Book also had 85 rushing yards with a score. The Irish will be without two starting offensive linemen vs. the Tar Heels: C Jarrett Patterson (season-ending foot surgery) and RG Tommy Kraemer (appendectomy). With Syracuse (1-8) and Wake Forest (4-3) left on the regular-season schedule, UNC is the last road bump for Notre Dame until the ACC Championship Game.
North Carolina might have been looking ahead last week when it had to rally from a third-quarter, 21-point deficit to beat Wake Forest 59-53 at home. The Tar Heels outscored the Demon Deacons 28-8 in the fourth quarter, scoring the go-ahead TD with 4:11 to go. QB Sam Howell finished with 550 passing yards and 6 TDs, both program records, while the Heels’ 742 total yards were also a school record. RB Javonte Williams leads the country with 18 TDs (15 rushing, 3 receiving) and ranks seventh with 868 rushing yards. WR Dyami Brown is seventh in the country with 829 receiving yards (with 8 TDs).
Notre Dame leads the all-time series 18-2, including wins in the last two – most recently, 33-10 at UNC in 2017. The Heels won 29-24 at home in 2008, but they were the ranked team. Prior to that, the Irish rolled off six in a row between 1962-2006.

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Notre Dame at North Carolina: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Notre Dame 35, North Carolina 20

Money line (ML)

PASS. The Irish (-218) are the much better team, but I’m not going to suggest risking two times your potential return.

Against the spread (ATS)

NOTRE DAME -5.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. North Carolina’s offense, which ranks fourth in the country with 563.4 yards per game, hasn’t seen a defense like Notre Dame. It’s a defense that ranks ninth in the country, allowing just 304.1 YPG. Head coach Brian Kelly will have the Irish focused, knowing a slip-up here would likely keep them out of the College Football Playoff.

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 66.5 (-110), which is too high a total. It’s basically based on UNC’s offense, which ranks 10th in the nation by scoring 43.1 points per game. Again, Notre Dame’s defense, which is yielding 16.6 PPG to rank 11th, will take care of business.

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Johnny’s 2020 CFB record / Strongest plays	13-14 / 7-5
2020 overall record (all sports)	146-111-3
Strongest plays (all sports)	72-42-1

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