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Northwestern at Michigan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Northwestern at Michigan odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Northwestern Wildcats (12-4, 3-2 Big Ten) take on the Michigan Wolverines (9-7, 3-2) on Sunday. Tip from Crisler Center in Ann Arbor is set for noon ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Northwestern vs. Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Northwestern lost to Rutgers 65-62 on Wednesday, failing to cover as 1-point home underdogs. In its last 7 games, Northwestern is 4-3 against the spread (ATS). On the season, the Wildcats are 9-7 ATS. The Wildcats’ defense ranks 12th in the country in opponent points per game (59.3) and 10th in the country in opponent FG percentage (37.788%).

The Wolverines lost to Iowa 93-84 on Thursday, failing to cover as 5.5-point road favorites. They are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games and 8-8 ATS this season. Michigan’s defense has struggled this season, ranking 215th in the nation for opponent points per game (70.2).

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Northwestern at Michigan odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Northwestern +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Michigan -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northwestern +4.5 (-115) | Michigan -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Northwestern at Michigan picks and predictions

Prediction

Northwestern 69, Michigan 61

Moneyline

BET NORTHWESTERN +155.

The Wildcats are undefeated on the road this season while Michigan has lost 2 of their last 5 at home. Northwestern’s top-ranked defense facing off against the Wolverines will play a role in its success on the road. Northwestern has won 2 of its last 3 games as the ATS underdog, including an ATS and straight up win on the road against a top Indiana team.

Against the spread

PASS on the points, unless you want a little insurance.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 135.5 (-105).

The Under is 18-8 in the Wildcats’ last 26 games and 5-1 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Northwestern has not performed well on offense this season, ranking 258th in points per game (68.4) and its defense faces a Michigan offense that ranks 154th in field goal percentage (44.95%).

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Northwestern at Michigan odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan Wolverines sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

In a Top 25 battle, the 22nd-ranked Northwestern Wildcats (6-2 overall, 3-1 Big Ten) visit the No. 15 Michigan Wolverines (8-0, 3-0) Sunday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Northwestern-Michigan college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Northwestern at Michigan: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Northwestern +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Michigan -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Northwestern +8.5 (-120) | Michigan -8.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Northwestern at Michigan: Three things to know

  1. Northwestern suffered its first Big Ten loss of the season with an 87-72 setback at No. 11 Iowa Tuesday as an 11-point underdog. Wildcats junior F Pete Nance scored 17 of his career-high 21 points in the first half as NU trailed 45-36 at the break. The ‘Cats cut the deficit to 63-60 with 10:41 to go, but the Hawkeyes closed with a 24-12 run. Junior F Miller Kopp’s 14.6 points per game lead four Wildcats in double-figure scoring.
  2. Michigan is the only remaining undefeated team in the Big Ten, a conference that boasts 9 programs in the Top 25 of the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll. The Wolverines have won the last 3 in their head-to-head series vs. the Wildcats, the most recent being a 79-54 rout on the road as 5.5-point favorites Feb. 12.
  3. The Wolverines are coming off back-to-back road victories at Nebraska (80-69 Dec. 25) and at Maryland (84-73 Thursday). Freshman C Hunter Dickinson, Michigan’s leading scorer at 16.6 PPG, tallied 26 points on 10-for-11 shooting with 11 rebounds in the Nebraska win. The Wolverines trailed 54-50 with 15:05 to go before Dickinson scored 9 points in a 23-5 run as Michigan pulled away.

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Northwestern at Michigan: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Michigan 83, Northwestern 72

Money line (ML)

PASS. Northwestern has lost its last nine at Michigan, but the Wolverines’ -400 price is too chalky and not worth the risk.

Against the spread (ATS)

The play is MICHIGAN -8.5 (+100). Northwestern has two impressive home wins vs. then-No. 4 Michigan State and then-No. 23 Ohio State, but Iowa exposed the ‘Cats when they hit the road vs. a very good team. The Wolverines have quietly opened 8-0 overall and have covered 5 of their last six games. They’re a very good team.

ATS records: Northwestern 5-2 | Michigan 6-2

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 144.5 is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Northwestern averages 83.6 PPG, just a tad bit more than Michigan’s 82.3 PPG. In Big Ten games only, the ‘Cats average 74.0 PPG and the Wolverines are scoring 75.3 PPG. If they stick with their averages, this one finishes above 150.

O/U records: Northwestern 4-3 | Illinois 5-3

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Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays 17-17 / 6-10
2019-20 CBK record / Strongest plays 5-3 / 5-0
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 8-2 / 4-1
2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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