Northern Iowa at Wichita State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Northern Iowa at Wichita State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Northern Iowa Panthers (2-1) take on former Missouri Valley Conference-rival Wichita State Shockers (2-0) Thursday evening. Tip-off from Charles Koch Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Northern Iowa vs. Wichita State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The Panthers were tamed by UC-Irvine Sunday in a 80-60 rout at home. Northern Iowa was 3.5-point favorites in the game, and Irvine scored 48 points in the paint and dominated the boards. G Tytan Anderson leads the team with 14 PPG and is 5-for-8 (62.5%) from downtown.

The Shockers have yet to be pushed. They beat Western Kentucky 91-84 as 1-point favorites in their road opener and destroyed Montana State 89-69 in the home opener Saturday. G Justin Hill is averaging 24 points, 6.5 boards and 5.5 assists while shooting 41.7% from distance in the first 2 games.

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Northern Iowa at Wichita State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Northern Iowa +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Wichita State -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northern Iowa +7.5 (-110) | Wichita State -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Northern Iowa at Wichita State picks and predictions

Prediction

Wichita State 85, Northern Iowa 70

Moneyline

These teams battled a lot before Wichita State left the Valley for the AAC. Wichita is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, but they haven’t met since 2017. The Shockers have scored at will with 89 and 91 points in their first 2 games, and there’s no reason to believe a Northern Iowa team that was bullied in the paint by an underdog will change that.

There are no props available, and the ML is too expensive. PASS.

Against the spread

Hill and the Shockers are hard to keep up with. UNI actually shoots better from the 3-point line, but as witnessed in its last game, they are brittle underneath. C Quincy Ballard is a big-bodied, 6-foot-11, 250-pound beast underneath. He’s averaging 11.5 PPG on 90% shooting.

Take WICHITA STATE -7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Shockers play at the 23rd pace in the nation, but UNI resembles snails on the court tied for 209th. The Panthers will try to slow things down and take the best shot.

I think Wichita is a lock for 85, and UNI will just have to hit close to 70 for this number to cash. UNI scored 96 and 87 against lesser teams so that spark is there.

Take the OVER 152.5 (-110).

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Northern Iowa at Nebraska odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Northern Iowa at Nebraska odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 24 Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-0) welcome the Northern Iowa Panthers (2-0) to Memorial Stadium in Lincoln Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Northern Iowa vs. Nebraska odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Nebraska beat UTEP 40-7 to open the season, covering as a 27.5-point favorite. The Cornhuskers then took down the Colorado Buffaloes 28-10 in Week 2, closing as 6.5-point favorite. QB Dylan Raiola has led the show, throwing for 423 yards and 3 TDs in 2 games. The Cornhuskers defense is allowing just 36 rushing yards per game.

Northern Iowa beat the Valparaiso Beacons 35-7 in its 1st game, failing to cover as a 32.5-point favorite. It dominated on the ground in that game, having 2 players hit triple-digit rushing yards. The Panthers then won their Week 2 battle 17-10 against the St. Thomas Tommies. For Northern Iowa, the player to watch is RB Tye Edwards, who has rushed for 315 yards and has 2 TDs in 2 games.

Nebraska is No. 24 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Northern Iowa at Nebraska odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Northern Iowa +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000) | Nebraska Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northern Iowa +32.5 (-110) | Nebraska -32.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Northern Iowa at Nebraska picks and predictions

Prediction

Nebraska 38, Northern Iowa 6

Moneyline

PASS.

Avoid this play. Northern Iowa hasn’t shown enough to suggest it has any chance of pulling off an upset.

Against the spread

BET NEBRASKA -32.5 (-110).

What Northern Iowa does best, the Cornhuskers will be able to take away. Colorado, which has a better running attacking and offensive line than Northern Iowa, has just 16 rushing yards on 22 carries against Nebraska. The Panthers threw for just 99 yards on St. Thomas in their Week 2 battle.

Nebraska is 2-0 ATS and has played both a weaker and stronger side while Northern Iowa has yet to play a team of Nebraska’s caliber, having closed as a favorite in both battles. With that in mind, the Panthers should struggle mightily to move the ball Saturday.

Take NEBRASKA -32.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 47.5 (-110).

The Cornhuskers offense could hit this by themselves. They put up 40 on UTEP and then 28 on Colorado. This should be an easier battle than either of those. Raiola has a 73.7% completion rate, and Nebraska has been a passing-heavy side, so it should be able to get up and down the field.

Northern Iowa may have its offensive crux taken away, but it has scored 26 points per game and should be able to at least get on the board and aid the total. With that in mind, take OVER 47.5 (-110).

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MVC Tournament: Northern Iowa vs. Bradley odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Northern Iowa at Bradley MVC Tournament odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks and predictions.

The Northern Iowa Panthers (14-17) and Bradley Braves (23-8) meet Friday in a quarterfinal of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament in St. Louis. Tip-off from Enterprise Center is at 1 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Northern Iowa vs. Bradley odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

No. 8-seeded Northern Iowa beat Illinois State 75-62 Thursday in the opening round. The win marked just the Panthers’ 2nd since Jan. 25 and they finished 9-11 in MVC play. UNI struggled defensively, allowing a 50.3% mark from the floor in going 1-6 from Feb. 4-26.

The Braves won the league by going 16-4 in MVC play. The tournament’s top seed leads the 12-team circuit in defense, allowing just 61.3 points per game. Bradley swept 2 regular-season games from UNI and heads into the tournament on a 10-game winning streak.

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Northern Iowa vs. Bradley odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Northern Iowa +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Bradley -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northern Iowa +10.5 (-110) | Bradley -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Northern Iowa vs. Bradley picks and predictions

Prediction

Bradley 73, Northern Iowa 66

Moneyline

Peg the Braves’ defense as being too far out over its skis with recent performances, and question if Bradley’s extra day of rest (the Braves haven’t played since Sunday) will become a rest/rust issue? Bradley is 0-2 straight-up when playing on 4 or more days of rest.

Consider a fractional unit (maybe 1/4?) on NORTHERN IOWA (+400).

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Against the spread

The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral-site games and the Braves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral-site games.

UNI lost to Bradley twice in the regular season (Nov. 30 and Feb. 4), but the Panthers were within 6 points in the final 10 minutes on both occasions. The way they have played lately — not only against the Braves close in that second meeting but also the way they stayed in recent games against quality MVC foes Drake and Indiana State — makes the Panthers a worthy underdog play in this spot.

Bradley can be had from distance and the mid-range. UNI can score both of those ways and perhaps in bigger doses than what shows in flat surface numbers. The Panthers have shot 34.6% on 3s since Jan. 18.

TAKE THE PANTHERS +10.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The last 8 UNI-BU games have produced 7 Overs, and that’s the lean here. However, it’s only an actionable lean at a better number for the right amount of value cushion. PASS, but look to leverage the Over if the total gets to 134.5.

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MVC Tournament: Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa MVC Tournament odds, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Illinois State Redbirds (11-20, 6-14 MVC) and Northern Iowa Panthers (13-17, 9-11) meet Thursday at Enterprise Center in St. Louis in the first round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Illinois State snapped a 6-game losing skid with a 72-53 win over lowly Evansville in the regular-season finale Sunday. It was also the team’s first cover in 7 games, snapping a 0-6-1 against-the-spread (ATS) skid previously.

Northern Iowa dropped its final 2 games, and 8 of the last 9 games of the regular season, while covering the spread just once in its final 7 contests. The Over cashed in the final 4 outings and was 11-3-1 in the last 15 games overall.

UNI swept the regular-season series, winning 66-60 at Redbird Arena as a 1-point underdog as the Under (134.5) cashed on New Year’s Eve. The Panthers then posted a 65-63 home win on Jan. 18, with ISU covering (+8.5) and the Under (135) connecting.

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Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Illinois State +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Northern Iowa -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Illinois State +3.5 (-105) | Northern Iowa -3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Northern Iowa 71, Illinois State 66

Moneyline

The moneyline is a little on the steep side as NORTHERN IOWA (-180) is right at my personal limit for a standalone play.

UNI swept the regular-season series, and the Panthers have won 9 straight meetings in this series dating back to Dec. 31, 2019.

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Against the spread

While it’s difficult to beat an opponent 3 times in a single season, NORTHERN IOWA -3.5 (-115) seems to have Illinois State’s number.

Both teams are rather dismal against the number lately, with ISU just 1-6-1 ATS in the past 8 games overall and 0-4 ATS in the past 4 at a neutral site.

UNI has managed to cover just once in the past 7 outings, but it is a solid 5-1 ATS in the past 6 neutral site contests. The latter, coupled with its dominance in the series, makes Northern Iowa the play.

Over/Under

OVER 134.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The total has gone high in 5 of the past 7 games overall for Illinois State and is 5-2 in its last 7 neutral-site outings.

UNI cashed the Over in the final 4 regular-season games and is 5-2-1 in the past 8 games following a non-cover and 5-2 in the past 7 after a straight-up loss.

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Belmont at Northern Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Belmont at Northern Iowa odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Belmont Bruins (20-10, 13-6 MVC) battle the Northern Iowa Panthers (13-16, 9-10) Sunday with tip from the McLeod Center set for 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Belmont vs. Northern Iowa odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Bruins beat the Panthers at home 76-72 on Jan. 14, failing to cover as a 5-point favorite while the Over 143 hit.

Belmont beat Indiana State 89-88 Wednesday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite. The Bruins are 3-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games. They are 14-13-2 ATS this season.

The Panthers lost to Southern Illinois 86-63 Wednesday, failing to cover as a 6.5-point road underdog. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games and 13-15 ATS on the season.

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Belmont at Northern Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Belmont -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Northern Iowa +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Belmont -2.5 (-115) | Northern Iowa  +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Belmont at Northern Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Belmont 78, Northern Iowa 72

Moneyline

PASS.

The Bruins are a solid road favorite here and is deserving of the (-155) tag. Nonetheless, they are unplayable, as is the home underdog.

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Against the spread

BET BELMONT -2.5 (-115).

Northern Iowa has been the Missouri Valley Conference’s worst-covering team at home, posting just a 5-9 ATS record. It is also just 9-10 ATS in conference games which doesn’t compare well to Belmont’s 10-8-1 ATS in MVC competition.

Northern Iowa ranks outside the top 260 in opponents’ FG percentage (44.9%) and opponents’ 3-point FG percentage (35.9%). The efficient Belmont attack, ranking 45th in FG percentage (47%) and 12th in 3-point FG percentage (39.1%), will be a key reason the Bruins should be able to win and cover on the road.

Back BELMONT -2.5 (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 148.5 (-110).

Both teams have rewarded bettors that have wagered on the Over this season. UNI is 16-11 O/U this season while Belmont is 16-13 O/U. The two programs are 22-15-1 O/U combined in MVC competition.

UNI is 10-5-1 O/U as an underdog while Belmont is 13-8 O/U as a favorite. Put it all together and back the OVER 148.5 (-110).

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Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Northern Iowa Panthers (13-15, 9-9 MVC) visit the Southern Illinois Salukis (20-9, 12-6) on Wednesday. Tip from Banterra Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Northern Iowa vs. Southern Illinois odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Northern Iowa beat Missouri State 69-66 on Saturday to cover as a 4.5-point road underdog. The victory snapped a 6-game losing streak. The Panthers are just 4-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games to fall to 13-14 ATS on the season.

Southern Illinois fell to Bradley 50-48 on Sunday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point home underdog. While they are 6-4 outright in their last 10 games, the Salukis are just 3-7 ATS in that span and have slipped to 11-16-1 ATS on the season.

Northern Iowa beat Southern Illinois 69-57 as it easily covered as a 1.5-point home underdog in the first matchup between these programs on Jan.7.

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Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Northern Iowa +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Southern Illinois -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northern Iowa +6.5 (-115) | Southern Illinois -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois picks and predictions

Prediction

Southern Illinois 69, Northern Iowa 64

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline odds do not present enough value in this matchup.

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Against the spread

LEAN NORTHERN IOWA +6.5 (-115).

The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an outright win and 5-5 ATS on the road.

The Salukis are just 5-8 ATS at home including 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 there against a team with a losing road record.

Over/Under

BET OVER 129.5 (-110).

The Over is 5-1 in the Panthers’ last 6 road games and 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. They also boast a 15-11-1 O/U record on the season.

The Over is 5-1 in the Salukis’ last 6 home games, 5-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing road record and 6-4 in their last 10 games overall. Southern Illinois is 14-13-1 O/U on the year.

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Drake at Northern Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Drake at Northern Iowa odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Drake Bulldogs (21-6, 12-4 MVC) and Northern Iowa Panthers (12-14, 8-8) meet Wednesday for a Missouri Valley Conference tilt in Cedar Falls. The contest at McLeod Center will tip off at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Drake vs. Northern Iowa odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Drake enters on a 7-game win streak. The Bulldog offense has been cranked up and has scored 80 or more points in 5 of those wins. One of those wins was an 88-81 double-overtime triumph over Northern Iowa on Feb. 1. DU is 5-1 across its last half-dozen meetings against UNI, but the last 3 games in the series have gone past regulation.

The Panthers head into Wednesday’s game on a streak of a different kind. Northern Iowa has lost 5 straight (1-4 against the spread). Struggles on the boards have been costly as UNI has logged just 4.5 offensive rebounds per game over its last 6 games.

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Drake at Northern Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board (OTB)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Drake -6.5 (-105) | Northern Iowa +6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Drake at Northern Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Drake 75, Northern Iowa 67

Moneyline

The moneyline was OTB at the time of publication. Drake will likely be too expensive for a standalone wager when this does open. Focus on the spread and/or the total instead.

PASS.

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Against the spread

The road team has won 4 straight ATS in this series.

That’s the small-to-moderate lean here. Drake is on a nice roll and its offensive efficiency numbers of late have been quite good and consistent. Consider a partial-unit play on the BULLDOGS -6.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-0 in Drake’s last 5 games overall, 5-0 in its last 5 road games, 5-1-1 in UNI’s last 7 games against teams playing .600 ball and 3-1 across the last 4 DU-UNI games.

This figures as a mid-pace game and many of the normal point-spiral factors swing toward the low side except for Drake’s recent 3-point shooting (51.6% last 3 games).

However, add in the fact that both sides have had schedules tilt toward more difficulty in the defenses they’ve faced.

This one figures more as a 140-to-145 proposition. BACK THE OVER 137.5 (-105).

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Northern Iowa at Evansville odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Northern Iowa at Evansville odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Northern Iowa Panthers (12-12, 8-6 Missouri Valley) and Evansville Purple Aces (4-21, 0-14) meet Wednesday at the Ford Center in Evansville, Ind. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Northern Iowa vs. Evansville game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Panthers have dropped 3 games in a row, including a 77-69 loss against Bradley last time out on Saturday as 3.5-point home underdogs. The Over has cashed in 5 straight games for UNI, while going 7-1 in the last 8 games.

The Purple Aces have dropped 12 straight games since their last win Dec. 21 against Bellarmine in a non-conference tilt. Evansville is just 2-9-1 ATS in the last 12 games overall. The Under is on a 3-1 run in the last 4 games following a crazy 11-0 run to the Over.

Northern Iowa beat Evansville 72-55 on Dec. 3 as an 11-point home favorite while the Under 130.5 cashed

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Northern Iowa at Evansville odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northern Iowa -10.5 (-105) | Evansville +10.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Northern Iowa at Evansville picks and predictions

Prediction

Northern Iowa 79, Evansville 66

Moneyline

The moneyline was off the board at the time of publishing and youcan expect Northern Iowa to be too expensive when a moneyline is made available.

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Against the spread

NORTHERN IOWA -10.5 (-105) is a decent play at almost even-money against the cellar-dwellers from Evansville +10.5 (-115).

UNI has covered 5 of the last 7 games on the road, while also going 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games following a non-cover.

Evansville is a dismal 4-15-2 ATS in the last 21 games overall, while cashing just once in the last 6 games at home. The underdog is just 4-10-1 ATS in the past 15 meetings in this series, too.

Over/Under

OVER 139.5 (-115) is the play, but go with a half-unit play at best.

The Over has connected in 5 in a row for UNI, while going 4-0 in the previous 4 outings on the road.

For Evansville, the Under is 3-1 in the last 4 outings overall, but the total has gone high in 7 of the last 9 games at Ford Center for the Purple Aces, while going 7-0 in the last 7 home games against teams with a losing road record.

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Northern Iowa at Drake odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Northern Iowa at Drake odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Northern Iowa Panthers (12-10, 8-4 MVC) tangle with the Drake Bulldogs (17-6, 8-4) Wednesday in Missouri Valley Conference action.
Tip-off at the Knapp Center in Des Moines is slated for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Northern Iowa vs. Drake odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Northern Iowa lost as a 6-point underdog in its last game, falling 79-70 Saturday at Indiana State. The MVC’s fifth best defensive squad (66.9 points per game) had not allowed more than 76 points in a game since Dec. 28. The Panthers were hurt by 11 Indiana State 3-pointers in the loss that snapped a 3-game win streak.

Drake is 6-1 over its last 7 games. Over that stretch, the Bulldogs have shot 50% from the field. Dating back to last season, Drake is 12-1 in its last 13 games at home.

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Northern Iowa at Drake odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Northern Iowa +255 (bet $100 to win $255) | Drake -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Northern Iowa +7.5 (-110) | Drake -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Northern Iowa at Drake picks and predictions

Prediction

Drake 75, Northern Iowa 66

Moneyline

PASS. Not worth spending 3 1/2 times your potential return on Drake.

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Against the spread

The favorite is 21-6-2 ATS in the last 29 series meetings. Drake is the slight lean here. But with the number and the pricing, there is no value here. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1-1 in UNI’s last 7 overall. The Over is 2-1 in the last 3 series meetings, and both teams have exhibited upticks in offensive efficiency of late.

Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 136.5 (-115).

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Valparaiso at Northern Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Valparaiso at Northern Iowa odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Valparaiso Beacons (9-12, 3-7 MVC) limp into battle with the Northern Iowa Panthers (11-9, 7-3) in Cedar Falls on Wednesday. Tip from McLeod Center is at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Valparaiso vs. Northern Iowa odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Valparaiso won its last game 71-51 at Illinois State Saturday, winning outright as a 6.5-point underdog. The Beacons were able to stomp out the 20-point victory for a 3rd straight win but have had very few high points this season. Ranked 260th with 68.6 points per game and 264th with 72.2 points allowed per game, Valparaiso has struggled this season. These struggles have been even worse on the road where the Beacons are just 2-7.

Northern Iowa is one of the top teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Panthers have the advantage on home hardwood where they are 7-4. Their defense ranks 91st in the nation with 66.3 points allowed per game, although the offense is not much better then the Beacons at just 70.2 points per game (213th).

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Valparaiso at Northern Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Valparaiso +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Northern Iowa -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Valparaiso +7.5 (-105) | Northern Iowa -7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Valparaiso at Northern Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Northern Iowa 72, Valparaiso 66

Moneyline

PASS.

Valparaiso is 2-7 on the road this season while the Panthers are 7-4 at home. Valparaiso is struggling in conference play while Northern Iowa has been solid within the MVC. This makes me favor the home team, but not enough to lay almost 4-to-1 odds on it.

Against the spread

BET VALPARAISO +7.5 (-105).

While Northern Iowa is better, the Panthers should not be favored by this many points.

The Panthers squeezed out a 69-67 victory at Valpapaiso on Jan. 4 as 2.5-point favorites, but NIU should not gain a 5-point additional advantage just because this game on is on its home court. This line should be closer to 3.5 and I will take the value with the Beacons to keep it closer than the spread suggests.

Over/Under

OVER 137.5 (-115) is the total to make a play on.

While neither offense is good, neither are the defenses and this will allow both teams to gain easy baskets. As long as the pace stays high enough, this total is too low.

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