North Carolina vs NC State Prediction Game Preview

North Carolina vs NC State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Friday, November 25

North Carolina vs NC State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Friday, November 25


North Carolina vs NC State Prediction Game Preview

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North Carolina vs NC State How To Watch

Date: Friday, November 25
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
How To Watch: ABC
Record: North Carolina (9-2), NC State (7-4)
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Why NC State Will Win

Even with all of the problems over the last two weeks with losses to Boston College and Louisville, the defense continues to be terrific against the run and the takeaways continue to come with ten in a four game stretch before the loss to Louisville.

The North Carolina defense continues to be absent in key moments. The pass rush isn’t there, there earned any tackles for loss, and the takeaways aren’t coming with just two games – wins over Florida A&M and Miami – with more than one forced mistake.

At the very least, the Wolfpack should be able to grind out the running game a bit because …

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Why North Carolina Will Win

The NC State passing game has crashed after star QB Devin Leary was knocked out for the year.

MJ Morris was okay, but he struggled in the loss to Boston College. Ben Finley threw for over 200 yards against Louisville, but he failed to hit half of his passes.

There will be just enough of an offensive punch for the Wolfpack O to work against this mediocre North Carolina defense, but there won’t be enough production to keep up the pace.

The Tar Heels were off against Georgia Tech. Give the Yellow Jackets credit for rising up with a strong game, but there’s too much talent and too much pop to the North Carolina attack to be held down two games in a row. That’s why …

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What’s Going To Happen

NC State will get a good day out of the defense, but it’s not going to be enough.

North Carolina might be looking ahead to the ACC Championship, but the rivalry aspect of this – combined with the kerfuffle after QB Drake Maye made his innocuous comments earlier in the season dogging NC State – will crank up the intensity.

It will take a half to get going, but the North Carolina offense will take over in the second half.

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North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Line

North Carolina 27, NC State 24
Line: North Carolina -6.5, o/u: 55.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
North Carolina vs NC State Must See Rating (out of 5): 3
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North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Game Preview

North Carolina vs NC State prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Friday.

North Carolina vs NC State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Friday, November 26


North Carolina vs NC State How To Watch

Date: Friday, November 26
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: North Carolina (6-5), NC State (8-3)
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North Carolina vs NC State Game Preview


Why North Carolina Will Win

From all indications, Sam Howell is supposed to be back after missing the Wofford game with what’s being called an upper body injury.

The offense moved just fine last week without him, but obviously having a future NFL starter under center makes a difference.

This hasn’t been the most consistent of teams from the start, but the offense kicked it all in over the finishing stretch.

The running game has been amazing – 220 yards or more in five of the last six games and over 300 in two of the last three – and the passing attack has been 200 yards or better in every game but the win over Miami, and now it’s time to let loose.

The pressure is ALL on the other side of the field because …

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Why NC State Will Win

NC State will play for the ACC Championship with a win and a Wake Forest loss at Boston College on Saturday. If it loses, it’s out, and if it loses and Wake Forest also loses, Clemson is in.

The Wolfpack, though, have been smoking.

They lost to Wake Forest – hence the issues with controlling their own destiny – but Devin Leary and the passing game have rolled for over 300 yards in each of he last five games and for 230 or more in every game.

The O is more than equipped to keep up in a shoot out.

However, the defense is just good enough to keep Howell and the Tar Heel passing game in check.

The Wolfpack have come up with 14 interceptions on the year and allowed multiple touchdown pass just twice in the last six games. They’re great at keeping the big plays downfield to a minimum, the defense leads the ACC in third down stops, and …

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What’s Going To Happen

Be really disappointed if this isn’t a fun shootout.

Both teams will bomb away, the two quarterbacks will have a whole lot of fun in what should be an emotional firefight.

North Carolina won’t be able to run like it wants to and it won’t be able to move the chains often enough. This game will be about which defense can do a better job of holding serve.

NC State is great at getting the D off the field, and North Carolina isn’t. NC State can protect Leary, North Carolina can’t protect Howell.

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North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Lines

NC State 40, NC State 31
Line: NC State -6, o/u: 62.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 4

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North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Game Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack prediction and game preview.

North Carolina vs NC State prediction and game preview.


North Carolina vs NC State Broadcast

Date: Saturday, October 24
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Network: ESPN

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Why NC State Will Win

(In whisper voice) Shhhhhhhhh. We’re not supposed to say anything but warm fuzzy glowing things about North Carolina, but as the loss to Florida State showed … the team is just okay.

I know, I know, this goes completely against the fawning narrative over the Tar Heels – and Mack Brown really is doing a great job at cranking up the talent level – but they’re not forcing any takeaways, they’re not getting into the backfield enough, and for all the offensive fun, they’re not making things all that easy on themselves.

NC State’s offense has been wildly inconsistent, but the special teams are fine, the pass rush has been fantastic, and outside of the issues against a Virginia Tech team that’s ripping up everyone on the ground, the run D has been terrific.

Buuuuuuut ….

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Why North Carolina Will Win

NC State starting quarterback Devin Leary is out for at least a month with a broken leg.

He hasn’t been perfect, but he’s been able to move the offense and he’s 3-0 over his last three games as the caretaker of the attack.

Okay, okay, so North Carolina is really talented and really good – maybe just not top-five good – with Sam Howell and the passing game able to get hot and light up just about anyone. There might have been too many late dropped passes against FSU, but the offense roared back late and lost pulled it off.

The offense can score in bunches, the downfield attack has been dangerous, and the passing game should be able to bomb away on an NC State secondary that got hit for well over ten yards per pass in the loss to Virginia Tech and the close call win over Pitt.

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What’s Going To Happen

NC State won three straight in the series before getting rolled 41-10 last year. It’s not going to get destroyed without Leary at the helm, but it won’t have the offensive punch to keep up.

Howell and the North Carolina passing game will get up early, and despite a mid-game lull that allows the Wolfpack back in the battle, there won’t be a ton of drama.

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North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Line

North Carolina 38, NC State 23
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North Carolina -16, o/u: 51.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3.5

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