North Carolina at Miami odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina at Miami odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (4-1, 1-0 ACC) and the Miami Hurricanes (2-2, 0-0) meet for a conference game Saturday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the North Carolina vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

UNC rebounded after a 45-32 loss at Notre Dame Sept. 24 by paddling Virginia Tech 41-10 at home last Saturday to cover a 9.5-point number. The Heels have covered 3 of their last 4 outings overall and have cashed the Under at a 2-1 clip in the previous 3 games.

Miami has had 2 weeks to stew about an embarrassing 45-31 loss against Middle Tennessee at home Sept. 24. The Hurricanes were favored by 25.5 points in that game. The Canes have posted a 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS mark in 3 games vs. FBS teams this season.

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North Carolina at Miami odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): North Carolina +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Miami -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +3.5 (-110) | Miami -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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North Carolina at Miami picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 38, Miami 33

Moneyline

There is very little to like about Miami (-180) after losing to MTSU last time out. Perhaps anger is a motivating factor, but even with 2 weeks to prepare for NORTH CAROLINA (+155), the Tar Heels are the value play here.

UNC has scored 32 or more points in all 5 games this season, and the defense looked a little better against Virginia Tech last time out. Are the Heels complete? No. But they also haven’t lost to a mid-tier Conference USA team this season, so take your chances with the better team.

Against the spread

NORTH CAROLINA +3.5 (-110) is a strong play if you’re not feeling it straight up.

UNC is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 games overall, while Miami is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 at home, and 2-5 ATS in the previous 7 against winning teams.

UNC has also covered at a 5-2 ATS clip in the previous 7 in this series, with the ‘dog coming through in 5 of the past 6 meetings.

Over/Under

OVER 66.5 (-107) is the play. UNC scores a lot of points, and it allows a lot of points. Watching Tar Heels games is like watching esports players play video games.

Miami’s numbers on offense aren’t bad either, going for 35.0 PPG to rank 42nd in the nation while posting 452.3 total yards per game to rank 37th overall. This team has 30 or more points in 3 of its 4 games this season, so the scoreboard operator had better be ready.

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North Carolina at Miami odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

In Tuesday’s action the North Carolina Tar Heels (6-4, 1-2 ACC) face the Miami Hurricanes (4-4, 0-3) for an 8 p.m. ET tip at the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Fla.

Below, we analyze the North Carolina-Miami college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

North Carolina at Miami: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: North Carolina -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Miami +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: North Carolina -2.5 (-110) | Miami +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 140.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

North Carolina at Miami: Three things to know

  1. The Tar Heels eased past Notre Dame Saturday, winning 66-65 in a thriller at home, although they obviously didn’t come close to covering a 9-point number. While they snapped a two-game losing skid, they’re 0-3 ATS across the past three, and 1-6 ATS over the previous seven outings.
  2. North Carolina is averaging just 72.8 points per game, and it’s hitting just 42.6% from the field and a dismal 28.7% from behind the 3-point line. The Heels have struggled from the charity stripe, too, hitting only 67.1% from the free-throw line. The defense has saved them, however, as they’re allowing just 68.2 PPG.
  3. The Hurricanes were edged 66-65 at home by Clemson Saturday, losing for the second straight game, and for the fourth time in the past five outings. The Over has connected in three in a row for the ‘Canes.

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North Carolina at Miami: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

North Carolina 72, Miami 68

Money line (ML)

NORTH CAROLINA (-150) is a safe play on the road against one of the worst teams in the ACC. The Tar Heels have had some issues on offense, and they have just three scorers averaging double digits in F Armando Bacot, F Garrison Brooks and G Caleb Love. However, G Kerwin Walton has stepped up and provided a tertiary scoring option off the bench lately, something head coach Roy Williams has been searching for all season.

Against the spread (ATS)

NORTH CAROLINA -2.5 (-110) isn’t nearly as good of a play as the money line, but as long as this line remains under two buckets it is worth a small-unit wager. The Heels are just 1-3-1 ATS across their past five road outings, and 5-14-1 ATS in the previous 20 following a straight-up win dating back to last season. However, the road team has cashed in the past five meetings in this series, and this game represents a good chance for UNC to get well and take advantage of a cellar dweller, gaining some much-needed confidence.

Over/Under (O/U)

O/U 140.5 (-110) is going to be too close to call here. In fact, I think the oddsmakers have it just right. If there is a lean, it is slightly to the Under. The Under is 20-8 in UNC’s past 28 road games, and 10-2 in its past 12 dating back to last season. The Under is 7-3 in Miami’s past 10 at Watsco since last season, too. PASS.

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North Carolina at Miami odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s North Carolina at Miami sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

One of the best games of the weekend features North Carolina (7-3) taking on the Miami Hurricanes (8-1) in an ACC matchup. Kickoff for this game is set for December 12 at 3:30 p.m. E.T. Below, we analyze the North Carolina-Miami college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

North Carolina at Miami: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Miami -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | North Carolina +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Miami -3.5 (-105) | North Carolina +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 69.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

North Carolina at Miami: Three things to know

  • North Carolina’s offense is one of the best in college football, averaging over 41 points per game this season. The Tar Heels are averaging over 500 yards of offense per game and have scored over 40 points in six of their 10 games this season.
  • Miami also has one of the best offenses in college football, lead by quarterback D’Eriq King. King has thrown 20 touchdowns in nine games this season, averaging 8.2 yards per attempt.
  • North Carolina hasn’t been a strong road team lately, losing 12 of their last 16 games away from home. Meanwhile, Miami has won five of their last six games at Hard Rock Stadium.

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North Carolina at Miami: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Miami 35, North Carolina 31

Money line (ML)

MIAMI (-150) is a slight home favorite in this ACC matchup on Saturday afternoon. Both teams are excellent on offense, and the game will likely be decided by which defense can get enough stops. With the Hurricanes having multiple top-100 draft picks on their defensive line, look for them to hold North Carolina to 30 or so points. Take Miami to win outright on Saturday.

Against the spread (ATS)

MIAMI (-3.5) is just over a field-goal favorite in this game, and that’s notable as they have played in several close games this season. Their wins against Virginia Tech, North Carolina State and Virginia have come by a total of nine points. It’s worth mentioning that North Carolina is just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games and haven’t always played great against better competition. Take the Hurricanes to cover this 3.5 spread on Saturday afternoon.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 69.5 points is the right play in this one despite both offenses playing at an elite level this season. Given the importance of this game for both sides, look for the pace of this game to slow down some and for each defense to make a few stops each half.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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