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The North Carolina Tar Heels (6-4) meet the Florida Gators (10-0) in Tuesday’s Jumpman Invitational at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte. The opening jump will be at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the North Carolina vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
North Carolina — certainly the home-away-from-home side in this neutral-site affair in Charlotte — last played on Saturday, covering a -21 in a 93-67 triumph over La Salle. The Tar Heels held the Explorers to a 35.6% mark from the floor. and they got 23 points from F Cade Tyson in their second straight victory after losing 3 in a row from Nov. 26-Dec. 4.
Florida, which is No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll, is off to its best start since 2005-06 when the Gators opened with 17 consecutive wins and went on to win the NCAA Tournament. UF has only played one Quad I game this winter, though. That was Saturday when the Gators defeated the Arizona State Sun Devils 83-66 as 7-point favorites on neutral hardwood in Atlanta.
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North Carolina vs. Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds Lines last updated at 6:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: North Carolina +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Florida -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +3.5 (-110) | Florida -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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North Carolina vs. Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 82, North Carolina 77
Moneyline
No interest. PASS.
Against the spread
UNC’s last 6 games have made for a 1-5 mark against the spread. UF has won 5 in a row against the number.
Florida has all the momentum coming in. Recent heavy travel and this being a home-adjacent contest for the Tar Heels makes for some pushback on a Gators lean, but UF has too many other positive factors to ignore. First and foremost is the Gators’ perimeter game at both ends. Florida defends 3s at a top-40 level (33.8%) and is on a roll knocking them down on offense (36.1% over last 7 games).
The ability to extend possessions with strong offensive rebounding and steal away opponent looks with turnovers forced are other key difference makers.
North Carolina plays an up-tempo style. KenPom pegs UNC’s adjusted tempo as fifth-fastest in the nation. But the Gators have handled speed effectively before this season, both in collecting straight-up and ATS wins.
TAKE FLORIDA -3.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
The Gators have played 3 neutral-site games since Nov. 28, and the Under has gone 3-0 with lots of room on the final totals.
The hot expected pace has this matchup getting bet too high on the final tally. UNC has played a slate that leans toward good offenses; figure the Tar Heels defense being better than what shows on paper.
With the neutral background and some potential travel fatigue for UF, the UNDER 166.5 (-110) is the value side here.
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