Chiefs projected atop over/under win totals for 2021 NFL season

BetMGM has the Kansas City Chiefs with the top over/under win total for the 2021 NFL season.

The Kansas City Chiefs are once again heavy offseason favorites to win a lot of games during the 2021 NFL season. BetMGM recently released its over/under win totals for every NFL team and the Chiefs are right at the top of the list, followed closely by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

These numbers could change in the coming weeks as teams have yet to fill out their 90-man offseason rosters. The free agency period is still underway and the 2021 NFL draft is just around the corner. Additions throughout the remainder of the offseason will very likely have some sway on the over/under totals.

These are currently the top 10 teams according to BetMGM’s over/under projections:

  • Chiefs: 12
  • Buccaneers: 11.5
  • Packers: 11
  • Ravens: 11
  • Bills: 10.5
  • Browns: 10
  • Rams: 10
  • Colts: 10
  • 49ers: 10
  • Dolphins 9.5

The betting line for the Chiefs is -115 over / -105 under, meaning you’d have to wager $115 to win $100 for an over bet and $105 to win $100 for an under bet. 

Keep in mind, the Chiefs went 14-2 during last year’s regular season. So if this were a push with Kansas City winning exactly 12 games, they’d win two fewer than last season and finish with a 12-5 record in 2021 given the new 17-game season.

The Ravens are still given the best chance to unseat the Chiefs in terms of win totals in the AFC. The Bills made it to the AFC title game last season, so you’d think they’d have a greater chance. I think that probably has something to do with Lamar Jackson’s 2019 NFL MVP award.

Another interesting note is where teams in the AFC West are viewed. The Chargers, with a first-year head coach, are listed at nine games.

AFC West totals:

  • Chargers: 9
  • Raiders: 7.5
  • Broncos: 7.5

There have been some harsh opinions on the Chiefs’ offseason, but they really seem no worse for wear in the eyes of oddsmakers. In addition to over/under win total favorites, Kansas City is also listed as favorites to win the AFC West, AFC conference and Super Bowl LVI. 

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Vegas sets Cardinals’ 2021 win total near .500

Vegas believes it is more likely that the Cardinals will miss the playoffs than make them in 2021.

It is still just the middle of April, but BetMGM has released win totals for all 32 NFL teams in 2021. This season there will be 17 games instead of a 16-game season.

What are the projections for the Arizona Cardinals?

After an eight-win season in 2020, BetMGM has their projected win total at an even eight. The price for both the Over and the Under is -110 (bet $110 to win $100).

As for playoff odds, the lines suggest it is more likely they will not make the postseason. BetMGM has, among the different team season specials, the odds for whether each team will make the postseason or now. A YES bet is +200 (bet $100 to win $200), while a NO bet is -250 (bet $250 to win $100).

To get over that would mean a season over .500, going at least 9-8.

The next step in the Cardinals’ progress would be a playoff berth. Since 2018, they went from three wins to five and a tie to eight last season. They will likely need at least 10 to make the postseason.

With the additions of J.J. Watt, A.J. Green, James Conner, Malcolm Butler and Rodney Hudson, the Cardinals should be better than last year. If you believe that, then you should bet the Over.

As for the postseason, as tough as the NFC West might be, betting they make the playoffs gives you better value. With the talent they have added, failing to make it would be a massive disappointment and could lead to changes in the organization.


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Rams tied for 6th-highest projected win total in NFL for 2021

BetMGM has set the Rams’ projected win total for 2021 at 10 games. Will they go over or under that number?

Expectations are once again very high for the Los Angeles Rams entering the 2021 season after acquiring Matthew Stafford in the biggest trade of the offseason. They did suffer some losses in free agency, but they have a loaded offense, a top-ranked defense that features Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey, and a coach who’s never had a losing season in Sean McVay.

Playing in Super Bowl LVI at SoFi Stadium is a very real possibility, but before the Rams can do that, they have to make the playoffs. And in order to get into the postseason, they’ll likely have to win at least 10 of their 17 games.

It just so happens that’s the exact number of games BetMGM has set the Rams’ projected win total at for 2021. The sportsbook released win totals for every team and the Rams are tied with the Browns, Colts and 49ers for sixth-best in the league.

A bet on either the Over or Under comes with a line of -110, meaning you have to wager $110 to win $100.

  • Chiefs: 12
  • Bucs: 11.5
  • Packers: 11
  • Ravens: 11
  • Bills: 10.5
  • Browns: 10
  • Rams: 10
  • Colts: 10
  • 49ers: 10

The Seahawks are close behind with a projected win total of 9.5 games, while the Cardinals’ total sits at eight games. All four teams in the NFC West have a decent chance to make the playoffs, especially with the field expanded to seven teams from each conference.

According to BetMGM, the Rams’ odds to make the playoffs are -185 and +150 to miss them. That gives them an implied probability of 64.9% to make the postseason.

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Odds say Lions will draft WR or QB with their first pick

The betting odds for the position of the Lions first draft pick in 2021 favor wide receiver and quarterback

If you think you know what GM Brad Holmes and the Detroit Lions are going to do with their first pick of the 2021 NFL draft, you have a chance to put your money where your mouth is. The updated betting odds for the position of the Lions top pick are out via BetMGM.

The current favorite position is wide receiver, which is a pressing need for the Lions. At a +120 line, it’s the clear top projection. That moneyline translates to a 45 percent probability. Next up is quarterback at +450, an 18 percent probability based on the odds conversion.

Linebacker, offensive line and cornerback round out the top five positional odds for Detroit’s first pick. It’s important to note the verbiage of the bet; it’s for the position of the Lions first selection, not the No. 7 overall pick where the team is currently slotted.

The full list at BetMGM as of April 15th, which includes specialists for those truly looking to make a longshot wager:

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Pelicans vs. Wizards: Prediction, point spread, odds, over/under, betting picks

New Orleans (25-30) could be back to near full strength on Friday against the surging Wizards (21-33).

New Orleans (25-30) could be back to near full strength on Friday against the surging Wizards (21-33), and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, moneyline odds and over-under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet on BetMGM.

Lonzo Ball is set to rejoin the starting lineup after missing the last three games with left hip flexor soreness. He comes back at the right time as the Wizards, winners of four of their last five, welcome the Pelicans.

The lines, courtesy of BetMGM

  • Point spread: Pelicans -2.5
  • Moneyline: Pelicans -145 / Knick +120
  • Over-under: 242.5

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN and WV at BetMGM.

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Advice and prediction

With Ball’s return tonight, the Pelicans’ starting lineup reunites for the first time in a month. It should lead to lots of points once again, even against a Wizards team on the rise. Take New Orleans minus-2.5.

Prediction: Pelicans 114, Wizards 109

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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Hornets vs. Nets: Prediction, point spread, odds, over/under, betting picks

As injuries continue to pile up and the schedule offers no breaks, the Hornets (27-27) travel to Brooklyn to face the Nets (37-18).

As injuries continue to pile up and the schedule offers no breaks, the Hornets (27-27) travel to Brooklyn to face the Nets (37-18), and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, moneyline odds and over-under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet on BetMGM.

On top of being LaMelo Ball, Gordon Hayward, Malik Monk and Nate Darling all being out, Devonte’ Graham will join them while P.J. Washington is doubtful and Brad Wanamaker is questionable. It leaves the Hornets massively shorthanded and potentially with just one guard available.

The lines, courtesy of BetMGM

  • Point spread: Hornets -12.5
  • Moneyline: Hornets +525 / Nets -750
  • Over-under: 222.5

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN and WV at BetMGM.

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Advice and prediction

The Hornets are down to bare bones as injuries continue to ruin what was a fun and promising season. There’s a possibility that Terry Rozier is the lone ballhandler available for tonight’s game.

Any bet tonight should be on the Nets winning big. Brooklyn minus-12.5 is the safest of the bets, especially considering the Nets won by 22 when Charlotte had more players available two weeks ago.

Prediction: Brooklyn 115, Hornets 90

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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Nuggets at Rockets: Prediction, point spread, odds, over/under, betting picks

Houston has allowed 75 or more points in the first half of consecutive games. That’s a dangerous formula versus Nikola Jokic and Denver.

In what looks to be a mismatch on paper, MVP frontrunner Nikola Jokic takes his Denver Nuggets (35-20) to Houston to face off with Christian Wood, John Wall, and the rest of the rebuilding Rockets (14-41).

Friday’s game at Toyota Center tips off at 7 p.m. Central and can be seen on Houston’s local television affiliate, AT&T SportsNet Southwest.

The Rockets enter Friday’s matchup with just one win in their last 10 games, whereas the Nuggets have won nine times in their last 11 outings. Denver is currently in the No. 4 spot of the Western Conference standings and jostling for playoff positioning, whereas the Rockets have effectively been eliminated already, for all practical purposes.

The lines, courtesy of BetMGM

  • Point spread: Nuggets -8.5
  • Money line: Nuggets -375 / Rockets +290
  • Over-under: 226.5
  • Player scoring props: Nikola Jokic 24.5, Michael Porter 21.5, Will Barton 14.5, Aaron Gordon 13.5, Monte Morris 10.5; John Wall 22.5, Christian Wood 19.5, Kevin Porter Jr. 16.5, Kelly Olynyk 13.5, Jae’Sean Tate 11.5

Place your legal, online sports bets in VA, CO, IA, IN, NJ, PA, TN and WV at BetMGM.

The Nuggets are reeling after the season-ending loss of Jamal Murray (torn left ACL) earlier this week, but that may not be an issue versus the struggling Rockets. As for Jokic, he’s likely to be initially guarded by Kelly Olynyk, who offers more strength than Wood in the post.

However, the Rockets will try to take advantage of Jokic on the other end — either via the 3-point shooting of Olynyk, or with Wood using his superior speed and athleticism in pick-and-roll scenarios.

Advice and prediction

Houston’s injury report is extensive, as has often been the case during an injury ravaged 2020-21 season. Sterling Brown (left knee), DJ Augustin (left ankle), Danuel House Jr. (right ankle), David Nwaba (right wrist), Dante Exum (right calf) and Eric Gordon (right groin) are out. Denver’s report is much more skim, by comparison, with the Nuggets listing only Murray and Shaquille Harrison (out, health and safety protocols).

The short-handed Rockets have given up 75 or more points in the first half of each of their last two games, and that’s a dangerous formula versus the Nuggets. Even without Murray, Jokic and Porter have sufficient firepower to take advantage of any lapses in defensive intensity.

Prediction: Nuggets 119, Rockets 108

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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Raiders 10-1 underdog to win AFC West in 2021

Raiders 10-1 underdog to win AFC West in 2021

It’s been a long, long time since the Raiders have won the AFC West. The last time they’ve accomplished that feat is in 2002. Since then, the Chiefs, Broncos and Chargers have each won the division at least five times.

Heading into the 2021 season, the expectation is that the Raiders won’t be a real threat to win the division title anytime soon. According to BetMGM, the Raiders are a 10-1 underdog (-1000) to win the division this year.

As expected, the Chiefs are overwhelming favorites at -450. They’ve won the division five straight years and with the combination of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes, that isn’t likely to change anytime soon.

After Kansas City, the Los Angeles Chargers actually have the next-best odds to win the division at +550. Oddsmakers believe that with Justin Herbert under center, the Chargers might be a legitimate threat to the Chiefs sooner rather than later.

The good news for the Raiders is that they don’t have the worse odds in the division as the Broncos sit at +1800. Denver has the most unstable quarterback situation in the division and unless they address it in the 2021 NFL draft, their odds to win likely won’t change anytime soon.

Unfortunately, this is one of the least competitive divisions in the NFL due to just how dominant the Chiefs have been over the last half-decade. Don’t expect that to change anytime soon.

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Celtics at Lakers: Prediction, point spread, odds, over/under, betting picks

Our prediction and best bet for Thursday’s Celtics-Lakers game.

The Boston Celtics visit the Los Angeles Lakers for a nationally televised game on Thursday night, and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, moneyline odds and over-under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet on BetMGM.

The game tips off at 10 p.m. ET and can be seen on TNT.

The Lakers are still without LeBron James and Anthony Davis, and Markieff Morris is listed as questionable with an ankle sprain. The Celtics will be without Evan Fournier, and Robert Williams has been downgraded to questionable on Thursday.

The lines, courtesy of BetMGM

  • Point spread: Celtics -6
  • Money line: Celtics -250 / Lakers +195
  • Over-under: 213.5

Place your legal, online sports bets in VA, CO, IA, IN, NJ, PA, TN and WV at BetMGM.

Advice and prediction

The Lakers edged the Celtics 96-95 in their first meeting in Boston, but that was with a very different lineup than the one that will take the court on Thursday. Los Angeles has alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, going 5-3 against the spread in that span, while the Celtics are on a four-game winning streak, including impressive wins over the Blazers and Nuggets.

The Lakers are still playing solid defense, and Andre Drummond could be a problem for Boston, especially if Williams does not play. Yet I’m taking the Celtics -2 first half here at -125. The Celtics have been getting off to slow starts during their current winning streak, but are generally much better in the second quarter. Against a Lakers team lacking star power and playing at a fairly average pace, I’m less worried that the Celtics could struggle out of the gates again.

Prediction: Celtics 113, Lakers 106

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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Celtics at Lakers: Prediction, point spread, odds, over/under, betting picks

Our prediction and best bet for Thursday’s Celtics-Lakers game.

The Boston Celtics visit the Los Angeles Lakers for a nationally televised game on Thursday night, and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, moneyline odds and over-under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet on BetMGM.

The game tips off at 10 p.m. ET and can be seen on TNT.

The Lakers are still without LeBron James and Anthony Davis, and Markieff Morris is listed as questionable with an ankle sprain. The Celtics will be without Evan Fournier, and Robert Williams has been downgraded to questionable on Thursday.

The lines, courtesy of BetMGM

  • Point spread: Celtics -6
  • Money line: Celtics -250 / Lakers +195
  • Over-under: 213.5

Place your legal, online sports bets in VA, CO, IA, IN, NJ, PA, TN and WV at BetMGM.

Advice and prediction

The Lakers edged the Celtics 96-95 in their first meeting in Boston, but that was with a very different lineup than the one that will take the court on Thursday. Los Angeles has alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, going 5-3 against the spread in that span, while the Celtics are on a four-game winning streak, including impressive wins over the Blazers and Nuggets.

The Lakers are still playing solid defense, and Andre Drummond could be a problem for Boston, especially if Williams does not play. Yet I’m taking the Celtics -2 first half here at -125. The Celtics have been getting off to slow starts during their current winning streak, but are generally much better in the second quarter. Against a Lakers team lacking star power and playing at a fairly average pace, I’m less worried that the Celtics could struggle out of the gates again.

Prediction: Celtics 113, Lakers 106

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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