Tag: no_pt

SportsbookWire’s NFL Week 12 picks: ML, ATS and O/U predictions for all games

The SportsbookWire staff makes their NFL Week 12 picks and predictions for moneylines, spreads and totals.

Before looking at SportsbookWire staff’s Week 12 NFL picks, here are the against-the-spread (ATS) and Over/Under (O/U) leaders, according to Teamrankings.com.

At 8-2 ATS each, the Detroit Lions (9-1 straight up) and Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) remain the top NFL teams to bet on when it comes to the spread.

They both covered as home teams in Week 11. Detroit, a 14-point favorite, smoked the Jacksonville Jaguars 52-6, while Pittsburgh upset the Baltimore Ravens 18-16 as a 3-point underdog.

The Steelers visit the rival Cleveland Browns (2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS) Thursday for an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff, while the Lions will play at the Indianapolis Colts (5-6, 8-3) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. BetMGM Sportsbook lists the Steelers as 3.5-point favorites and the Lions as 7.5-point favorites as of Thursday at 9:07 a.m. ET.

Joining the Colts at 8-3 ATS are the Denver Broncos (6-5 SU).

At 1-9 ATS, the Tennessee Titans (2-8) remain the top team to fade — best against — just ahead of the Dallas Cowboys (3-7) at 2-8 ATS and the New York Jets (3-8) at 3-8 ATS.

The Titans are listed as 8-point dogs at the Houston Texans (7-4, 5-5-1) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.

Even though the Ravens played an Under game vs. the Steelers last Sunday, Baltimore is still the top Over team at 9-2. The Cincinnati Bengals (4-7) are 8-3 O/U, while the Carolina Panthers (3-7), Las Vegas Raiders (2-8) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) are each 7-3 O/U.

The top Under team is still Houston at 3-8 O/U; the Chicago Bears (4-6), LA Chargers (7-3), Minnesota Vikings (8-2) and New York Giants (2-8) are each 3-7 O/U.

Six teams have byes this week. They are the Atlanta Falcons (6-5, 5-6), Buffalo Bills (9-2, 7-4) Bengals (6-5 ATS), Jaguars (2-9, 6-5), New Orleans Saints (4-7, 5-6) and Jets.

NFL Week 12 staff picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds and check out more NFL expert picks and predictions from SportsbookWire.com.

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All 32 NFL quarterbacks (including Bo Nix) ranked by Total QBR

Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix has a Total QBR rating of 55.3 through 11 weeks. He ranks 20th in the NFL.

Denver Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix posted a Total QBR rating of 75.5 in the team’s 38-6 win over the Atlanta Falcons last week, bringing his season-long Total QBR average to 55.3.

That’s a slight improvement from last week’s rating (54.4), but Nix’s rank among starting QBs is unchanged from last week (No. 20).

Nix’s traditional passer rating this season is 89.3, which ranks 21st.

Unlike a traditional passer rating, the Total QBR “incorporates all of a quarterback’s contributions to winning, including how he impacts the game on passes, rushes, turnovers and penalties,” according to ESPN.

The metric takes into account scenarios that a traditional passer rating overlooks and considers “a team’s level of success or failure on every play to provide the proper context and then allocates credit to the quarterback and his teammate to produce a clearer measure of quarterback efficiency.”

With that context in mind, here’s a look at how Nix stacks up against the NFL’s other starting quarterbacks this fall.

NFL QBs ranked by Total QBR after Week 11

  1. Joe Burrow: 76.1
  2. Lamar Jackson: 75.0
  3. Kyler Murray: 74.9
  4. Josh Allen: 72.7
  5. Jayden Daniels: 67.6
  6. Brock Purdy: 67.4
  7. Patrick Mahomes: 67.0
  8. Derek Carr: 62.1
  9. Jalen Hurts: 62.0
  10. Matthew Stafford: 60.6
  11. Tua Tagovailoa: 60.4
  12. Drake Maye: 59.6
  13. Jared Goff: 59.4
  14. Jordan Love: 59.3
  15. Kirk Cousins: 56.3
  16. Justin Herbert: 56.3
  17. Baker Mayfield: 56.2
  18. Sam Darnold: 55.7
  19. Geno Smith: 55.4
  20. Bo Nix: 55.3
  21. C.J. Stroud: 54.4
  22. Aaron Rodgers: 51.0
  23. Jameis Winston: 61.0
  24. Russell Wilson: 59.5
  25. Anthony Richardson: 45.9
  26. Caleb Williams: 44.5
  27. Gardner Minshew: 39.1
  28. Will Levis: 32.6
  29. Bryce Young: 32.5
  30. Cooper Rush: 28.4
  31. Mac Jones: 17.7
  32. Drew Lock: 8.7

Nix and Co. will go on the road to face the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 12.

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Broncos vs. Raiders broadcast map: Will the game be on TV?

Fans in the BLUE will get the Broncos-Raiders on TV this week, via 506sports.

The Denver Broncos (6-5) are set to go on the road to face the Las Vegas Raiders (2-8) at Allegiant Stadium in Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season on Sunday, Nov. 24 at 2:05 p.m. MT (4:05 p.m. ET).

The AFC West showdown will be regionally televised on CBS. In-market fans can stream the Broncos-Raiders game on fuboTV (try it free).

Kevin Harlan (play-by-play) and Trent Green (analyst) will call the game for CBS with Melanie Collins reporting from the sideline.

On the radio, the game will be nationally broadcast on ESPN Radio and locally available on KOA Radio.

Fans in the blue areas on the map below will get the Broncos-Raiders game on their local CBS channel, according to 506sports.com.

(506sports.com)

The Broncos and Raiders were founding members of the AFL in 1960 before later joining the NFL as part of the NFL-AFL merger in 1970.

Las Vegas leads the all-time series against Denver 73-55-2, but the Broncos beat the Raiders 34-18 at home earlier this season.

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Broncos release depth chart for Week 12 vs. Raiders

Here’s a look at the Broncos’ depth chart going into their game against the Raiders this week.

The Denver Broncos have released their depth chart ahead of Sunday’s game against the Las Vegas Raiders.

So far, there are no changes from last week, but the Broncos might make some changes to the bottom of the roster later this week.

Here’s a look at how the depth chart stands going into Week 12.

Broncos offensive depth chart

WR Marvin Mims Troy Franklin
LT Garett Bolles Matt Peart
LG Ben Powers Calvin Throckmorton
C Luke Wattenberg Alex Forsyth
RG Quinn Meinerz Alex Palczewski
RT Mike McGlinchey Frank Crum
TE Adam Trautman Greg Dulcich Lucas Krull
WR Courtland Sutton Lil’Jordan Humphrey Devaughn Vele
RB Javonte Williams Jaleel McLaughlin Audric Estime
FB Michael Burton Nate Adkins
QB Bo Nix Jarrett Stidham Zach Wilson

Broncos defensive depth chart

DE Zach Allen Jordan Jackson
NT D.J. Jones Malcolm Roach
DE John Franklin-Myers Eyioma Uwazurike
SLB Jonathon Cooper Jonah Elliss
WLB Nik Bonitto Dondrea Tillman
ILB Justin Strnad Levelle Bailey
ILB Cody Barton Levelle Bailey
LCB Pat Surtain Levi Wallace Tremon Smith
RCB Riley Moss Damarri Mathis Kris Abrams-Draine
NCB Ja’Quan McMillian
S P.J. Locke JL Skinner
S Brandon Jones Devon Key

Broncos special teams depth chart

PK Wil Lutz
KO Wil Lutz
P Riley Dixon
H Riley Dixon
LS Mitchell Fraboni
KR Marvin Mims Tremon Smith Jaleel McLaughlin
PR Marvin Mims Tremon Smith

Sunday’s game will be regionally televised on CBS (TV map). Despite playing on the road, the Broncos are considered favorites this week.

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