The Tampa Bay Lightning are in the Stanley Cup Final for the second straight year and look to go back-to-back as Stanley Cup champions in a best-of-7 series against the Montreal Canadiens. Below, we analyze the Lightning vs. Canadiens 2021 Stanley Cup Final odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
The Lightning have home-ice advantage in the series. The Central Division representatives went 36-17-3 in the regular season and advanced past the Florida Panthers, Carolina Hurricanes and New York Islanders in the playoffs. Tampa Bay booked its spot in the final with a 1-0 Game 7 win over New York in its semifinal series.
The Canadiens went just 24-21-11 in the regular season and finished fourth in the all-Canadian North Division. They upset the Toronto Maple Leafs, Winnipeg Jets and Vegas Golden Knights to get to their first Stanley Cup Final since winning the Cup at the end of the 1992-93 season.
2021 Stanley Cup Final: Lightning vs. Canadiens odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, June 26, at 11:55 a.m. ET.
- To win the Stanley Cup: Lightning -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Canadiens +200 (bet $100 to win $100)
The Lightning are heavily favored with an implied win probability of 71.43% in the best-of-7 series. The Canadiens’ implied win probability is just 33.33% but a fourth straight underdog series victory would return a profit of $200 on a $100 bet.
Correct series result
- Lightning to win 4-1: +350
- Lightning to win 4-2: +400
- Lightning to win 4-3: +400
- Lightning to win 4-0: +600
- Canadiens to win 4-3: +650
- Canadiens to win 4-2: +700
- Canadiens to win 4-1: +1100
- Canadiens to win 4-0: +1800
Series spread
- Lightning -1.5 (-120) | Canadiens +1.5 (-105)
- Lightning -2.5 (+185) | Canadiens +2.5 (-250)
- Canadiens -1.5 (+320) | Lightning +1.5 (-450)
- Canadiens -2.5 (+650) | Lightning +2.5 (-1250)
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2021 Stanley Cup Final: Lightning vs. Canadiens Game 1 odds
- Money line: Canadiens +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Lightning -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Canadiens +1.5 (-170) | Lightning -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: 5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
2021 Stanley Cup Final: Conn Smythe Trophy odds
| NAME | ODDS |
| Lightning G Andrei Vasilevskiy | +125 |
| Canadiens G Carey Price | +175 |
| Lightning RW Nikita Kucherov | +250 |
| Lightning C Brayden Point | +275 |
| Lightning D Victor Hedman | +2500 |
| Canadiens RW Cole Caufield | +3000 |
| Lightning C Steven Stamkos | +3500 |
| Canadiens C Tyler Toffoli | +3500 |
| Canadiens C Nick Suzuki | +3500 |
| Canadiens RW Brendan Gallagher | +8000 |
| Lightning LW Alex Killorn | +8000 |
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